O/U – 40.5
TEN – 21.5
DEN – 18.75
K.J. Hamler has been practicing in a limited fashion for most of the week, but the real story is regarding Courtland Sutton. Sutton has a sprained AC Joint that kept him out of practice the last two days. If Sutton can’t go, that’s a substantial downgrade for the offense as a whole. It would, however, send the target floors and ceilings for Jerry Jeudy and Noah Fant to the moon. Also, keep in mind that Von Miller is out and may not be returning anytime soon.
It’s unfortunate Sutton will either be limited or out entirely, because Adoree Jackson has already been ruled out for this contest. Darrynton Evans will also be out for this game, meaning Derrick Henry could realistically play 100% of the snaps.
Pace and Play Calling Tendencies
TEN at DEN had arguably the grossest projected pace of any game in Week 1. Both of these teams ranked in the bottom-half of the league in seconds per play last year, and they both consistently kept the clock moving with the fourth and 10th-highest run rates (all situations). DEN has a new play caller in Pat Shurmur, who conducted an offense last season that was relatively fast-moving and pass-heavy. Shurmur’s Giants ranked 10th in pace, and were the fourth-most pass-heavy team according to our Pace Tool at RotoViz.