Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 16 – Ronald Jones and Jeff Wilson Look Like Fantasy Semifinal Gems
Image Credit: Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Ronald Jones.

Blair Andrews tries to console fantasy managers who must rely on Saquon Barkley for the fantasy semifinals and offers condolences to those who must rely on Ezekiel Elliott, if there are any of you left.

Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile backs. Understanding workloads is key to making tough redraft and dynasty trades.

The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of the focus is on how RBs score their points. We emphasize expected points (EP) and fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) to better understand each player’s fantasy volume. Being able to conceptualize the relationship between touches and fantasy points is the most important element of making good RB decisions, whether that’s start/sit or waiver pickups.

This year we’ll also be featuring metrics from the Advanced Stats Explorer, including elements like broken tackles, yards after contact, evasion percentage, stuff rate, and more. We’ll also look at the new Stealing Signals tool for metrics such as high-value touches and green-zone carries, stats that translate directly into high expected point totals and big fantasy days.

Check out Shawn Siegele’s companion piece on the AFC.

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Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

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Blair Andrews reveals 10 running backs that high-stakes drafters are taking earlier than your home league opponents. Are these sharky selections the key to fantasy glory? You don’t have to be a high-stakes fantasy player to have just as much “at stake” in taking home a fantasy title. Even those of us who compete for large sums of money still relish the opportunity to beat…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 2

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such, they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Skin in the Game and the Wisdom of the Sharks, Part 2: The 10 Best Home League Wide Receiver Values

Blair Andrews finds the 10 wide receivers that high-stakes drafters are scooping up while your home league opponents remain skeptical. Swim with the sharks and bring home a championship. If you haven’t yet read the introduction to the running back piece, go there eventually (perhaps after you read this article). This gist is this: high-stakes drafters aren’t omniscient, but they do have a potent feedback…...

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Skin in the Game and the Wisdom of the Sharks: The 10 Best Home League Running Back Values

Blair Andrews reveals 10 running backs that high-stakes drafters are taking earlier than your home league opponents. Are these sharky selections the key to fantasy glory? You don’t have to be a high-stakes fantasy player to have just as much “at stake” in taking home a fantasy title. Even those of us who compete for large sums of money still relish the opportunity to beat…...

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