Running back Devin Singletary will depart Houston and join the New York Giants after agreeing to a free-agent contract last month. The deal has been announced as a three-year $16.5 million contract worth up to $19.5 million, with $9.5 million in guaranteed money and a potential out after the 2025 season. This represents one of the more significant offseason moves for the Giants, who have left free agency well enough alone, and their biggest splash has been a trade with Carolina for budding star edge rusher Brian Burns. As the flawed Giants move from Saquon Barkley to Singletary, it represents an apparent uphill climb for both parties in terms of fantasy football production, but are things as they initially appear, or is there hope that Singletary can remain viable?

GIANT DISAPPOINTMENTS

The Giants are coming off a six-win season in which Daniel Jones was lost for most of the year. He spent Weeks 6-8 nursing a neck injury and then tore his ACL almost immediately upon his return in Week 9. However, the Giants’ problems ran deeper than missing their starter under center. They were already off to a 1-4 start before Jones’s initial injury and produced negative offensive team expected points for all but one of those games.

The Giants’ offense was 30th-ranked in the NFL in 2023, and it objectively improved after Jones was lost in basically every measure, fantasy or otherwise. Jones’s 2023 statistical outputs are part of a small sample, so we shouldn’t be quick to use those to bolster the entire case. A far better case can be made using Jones’s career efficiency stats as a passer. He has logged the second-worst passing fantasy points over expected (paFPOE) in the NFL since 2019, trailing only Zach Wilson.