After an exciting 2023 FFPC season where he placed two Main Event teams and reached an FFPC best ball finals for the third straight year, Shawn Siegele provides an early look at his priority targets for the summer.
In the past, I’ve put my priority targets list out in August to get subscribers ready for their most important Main Event and home league drafts. As fantasy becomes more popular at all times of the calendar, I want to introduce summer FFPC best ball targets for the 2024 season.
I currently have rankings on the site for FFPC dynasty, SF dynasty, best ball, and SF best ball, but rankings offer an interesting quirk: they’re not always the most useful for drafts if you’re also concerned with price. There are some good ways to potentially address this, but I prefer to post my rankings in mostly unmodified fashion. This allows subscribers to see the size of the hit I’m forecasting (or the relative potential for an outsized hit to dramatically shift your results) and gives subs a chance to maximize total rankings value without emphasis on price, if that is their individual preference. (The unalloyed rankings also better contribute to a true wisdom of crowds.)
Of course, many drafters will also want insight into how I’m incorporating the rankings into actual drafts. As a result, this exercise sorts by ADP and then puts fantasy options into the following buckets:
- Priority: This is the group I want to create the most exposure to. They offer broken ADPs, asymmetric upside, and tournament-winning potential.
- Target: These players are relatively straightforward picks, and should be vacuumed up when they’re available around ADP.
- When Falls: I’m not necessarily targeting this group, but these players aren’t overvalued to the extent that you want to avoid them entirely, especially when you can create that exposure at a bargain to ADP.
- Occasional: This label mostly applies to players later in the draft where grabbing fallers and creating ADP value is less of an issue. You usually still want to get them at a discount, but fitting them within specific-draft tactics and balancing your portfolio is often more important.
- In Emergency: These players will land on few teams but they’ll occasionally help if you get caught out at a position late.
- Specific Action: In this exercise, I’ve also detailed specific scenarios in which you might select players who otherwise are poor fits for rosters. In many cases, this type of label applies to QBs who rely on context to make sense as part of a coherently constructed roster.
While this isn’t a Superflex plan, Colm Kelly and I drafted our first Overtime listener league Sunday afternoon. I’ll have quite a bit of content on that format over the next couple of months. For a sneak peak at our SF draft strategy, check out our most recent episode.
Want to dominate your RV TriFlex startup? Perpetual Reloading and the Permanent Championship Window is the place to start.
