From a Historical Perspective: What Is Going On with Tight End Scoring?
Image Credit: Steven King/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Sam LaPorta.

After Monday night, Jared Goff has more receiving touchdowns on the year than Sam LaPorta. I don’t need to remind anyone who drafted LaPorta in the first round of FFPC leagues how disappointing he’s been. But it’s not only LaPorta who’s disappointed. Mark Andrews, Dalton Kincaid, Kyle Pitts, and Travis Kelce have all failed to live up to expectations. Indeed, the perception is that tight end scoring is down across the board.

The perception, in this case, is right.

Through four weeks, top-12 TEs are scoring less PPR points than they have since 2003. In fact only the years 2003 and 2000 were worse than 2024 for the top-12 TEs. But TE scoring is down at all levels. It’s not simply that the top TEs aren’t scoring as much as they used and the position is flat. TE2 scoring is at its lowest level since 2004. Even TEs outside the top 25 are scoring less than they used to. TE3 scoring hasn’t been this low since 2008.

In large part this phenomenon is explained by a lack of opportunity. Across the position, TE targets are down to the lowest level they have been since 2005. TE expected points haven’t been this low since 2000.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Good Players Are Good, But Good Values Are Better: How to Beat the Running Back Market in Fantasy

Blair Andrews explores the metrics that best predict running back outperformance. The RB fantasy market is exploitable, if we know where to look. My last article detailed the key wide receiver metrics you need to chase to beat ADP — that is, to return an above-average win rate. In a 12-team league, every team can expect to win about 8.3% of the time, as a…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Good Players Are Still Good: The Most Undervalued Wide Receiver Metric

If you think you fully understand the importance of fantasy efficiency, think again. Fantasy football doesn’t have to be difficult. We love digging into all the advanced metrics, refining our models, and finding tiny edges using new data sources. But sometimes the old standbys still give you the best bang for your buck. We’ve advocated using win rates to evaluate player seasons for several years…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

This Contrarian Strategy Helped Me Finish No. 2 Overall in the 2024 Scott Fish Bowl . . . and It’s Even More Potent in 2025

Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Good Players Are Good, But Good Values Are Better: How to Beat the Running Back Market in Fantasy

Blair Andrews explores the metrics that best predict running back outperformance. The RB fantasy market is exploitable, if we know where to look. My last article detailed the key wide receiver metrics you need to chase to beat ADP — that is, to return an above-average win rate. In a 12-team league, every team can expect to win about 8.3% of the time, as a…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Good Players Are Still Good: The Most Undervalued Wide Receiver Metric

If you think you fully understand the importance of fantasy efficiency, think again. Fantasy football doesn’t have to be difficult. We love digging into all the advanced metrics, refining our models, and finding tiny edges using new data sources. But sometimes the old standbys still give you the best bang for your buck. We’ve advocated using win rates to evaluate player seasons for several years…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

This Contrarian Strategy Helped Me Finish No. 2 Overall in the 2024 Scott Fish Bowl . . . and It’s Even More Potent in 2025

Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.