Week 9 WR Advanced Stats: Garrett Wilson is the Perfect Example of How Primacy Effect Can Get the Best of Us in Fantasy
Image Credit: Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Garrett Wilson.

Primacy effect is the tendency for us to recall the first events of a series rather than those that come later. This is why sports teams and players getting off to fast starts can linger in our minds as still being current long after the initial hot streak has since faded.

The same can also be true for slow starts. If a team or player fall flat on their face out of the gate, it takes an overabundance of information to the contrary to change our perception of the situation.

The blade of primacy effect cuts both ways in fantasy football, and is something that can be taken advantage of if we are aware of it and stay vigilant in keeping an eye out for when it rears its head.

Before we get into the latest information available in the Advanced Stats Explorer, just a few quick reminders about the article.

  • Leading up to the season, I looked at the five years of data available in the Advanced Stats Explorer and broke it down into four separate articles: Routes and Targets, Intended Air Yards, Yards After the Catch and Evasion, and Catchable Targets, Drops, First Downs, and Touchdowns.
  • When working through the five-year sample, we found that the 90th percentile and above generally included most of the top-24 wide receivers for each metric in any given season. The 75th percentile and above included the top 55 to 60 WRs in any given metric per season. Given that these two cohorts easily apply to a normal 12-team fantasy league, they will be referenced often throughout the article.

In Week 9 the total number of players who earned at least one target during the 2024 season grew to 201 after our Week 8 sample included 195 players.[1]

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Footnotes

Footnotes
1 Players who have been members of multiple teams this season have their production for each team listed as separate entries in the Advanced Stats Explorer.

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Kevin Szafraniec

Full-time Cat Dad, Sneakerhead, Record Collector, LOTR Fanboy, and Jeopardy Enthusiast. Fantasy football writer and beatmaker in my free time. Follow me on X and Bluesky @thecatdadff

2025’s Most Dominant Fantasy Offense Is About to Go Nuclear: Why This Is Lamar Jackson’s Super Bowl Year and How to Exploit Baltimore’s Loaded Roster

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down why 2025 might be Lamar Jackson’s best shot at Super Bowl glory and how fantasy managers can capitalize on Baltimore’s loaded roster. Fantasy championships aren’t won by chasing last year’s production – they’re secured by managers who understand how team-level changes create cascading effects throughout a roster. This exhaustive 32-team outlook series leverages our proprietary metrics and tools to identify these…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle Are Priced for the Darkest Timeline . . . That Might Still Be Optimistic

Kevin Szafraniec launches our comprehensive 2025 NFL Team Breakdown series with a deep dive into Miami’s troubling offensive regression and the fantasy implications of their myriad roster changes. Fantasy championships aren’t won by chasing last year’s production – they’re secured by managers who understand how team-level changes create cascading effects throughout a roster. This exhaustive 32-team outlook series leverages our proprietary metrics and tools to…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Next Kyren Williams Is Already on the Rams’ Roster: Is This Day-3 After-Contact Monster Your Ultimate Late-Round Lottery Ticket?

Kyren Williams flew under the radar as a rookie after being selected on Day 3 of the draft and missing half of the year due to injury. Heading into his second season, there was a steady drumbeat of positive reports surrounding Williams during training camp before he emerged in Week 1 as the Rams’ workhorse and finished as a top-10 fantasy running back that year…....

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

2025’s Most Dominant Fantasy Offense Is About to Go Nuclear: Why This Is Lamar Jackson’s Super Bowl Year and How to Exploit Baltimore’s Loaded Roster

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down why 2025 might be Lamar Jackson’s best shot at Super Bowl glory and how fantasy managers can capitalize on Baltimore’s loaded roster. Fantasy championships aren’t won by chasing last year’s production – they’re secured by managers who understand how team-level changes create cascading effects throughout a roster. This exhaustive 32-team outlook series leverages our proprietary metrics and tools to identify these…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle Are Priced for the Darkest Timeline . . . That Might Still Be Optimistic

Kevin Szafraniec launches our comprehensive 2025 NFL Team Breakdown series with a deep dive into Miami’s troubling offensive regression and the fantasy implications of their myriad roster changes. Fantasy championships aren’t won by chasing last year’s production – they’re secured by managers who understand how team-level changes create cascading effects throughout a roster. This exhaustive 32-team outlook series leverages our proprietary metrics and tools to…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Next Kyren Williams Is Already on the Rams’ Roster: Is This Day-3 After-Contact Monster Your Ultimate Late-Round Lottery Ticket?

Kyren Williams flew under the radar as a rookie after being selected on Day 3 of the draft and missing half of the year due to injury. Heading into his second season, there was a steady drumbeat of positive reports surrounding Williams during training camp before he emerged in Week 1 as the Rams’ workhorse and finished as a top-10 fantasy running back that year…....

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.