Stats on Stats on Stats: The Dynasty Dealbook Gets Stuffed
Image Credit: Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Chase Brown.

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In the Dynasty Dealbook series, Jesse Cohen spotlights unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open.

Stats on Stats on Stats

Leveraging the Advanced Stat Explorer to get a better sense of player performance is a lot of fun, and it can be quite profitable.

In Chase or Charlie? The Dynasty Dealbook Recommends Doubling Down on Brown in Week 8, we flagged that Chase Brown’s above-average ability to evade tackles and avoid stuffs in 2024 had translated to 2025 despite the early-season results. On stuff avoidance:

Using data from the Advanced Stats Explorer, I developed a “Stuff% Over/Under” metric that descriptively (but not necessarily predictively) evaluates an RB’s ability to avoid stuffs after accounting for how often they are hit at or behind the line of scrimmage. Brown’s Stuff% O/U of -3.2 in 2024 and -1.9 in 2025 both reflect above-average performance in avoiding stuffs.

Brown was a top-five fantasy RB the rest of the way.

Stuff% Over/Under

Of course, Brown had other things going for him too, but let’s focus on Stuff% Over/Under.

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In this article, Jesse Cohen shares his dirty secret and sees if it survives the analytical sunlight. In the Analytics Wars, There’s Safety in Numbers The divide between film- and analytics-based prospecting has been narrowing, but remains an essential part of our dynasty DNA: Years ago it was fashionable to argue about whether NFL prospect scouting should rely on film-based evaluation, or on the analytics…...

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