Stats on Stats on Stats: The Dynasty Dealbook Gets Stuffed
Image Credit: Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Chase Brown.

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In the Dynasty Dealbook series, Jesse Cohen spotlights unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open.

Stats on Stats on Stats

Leveraging the Advanced Stat Explorer to get a better sense of player performance is a lot of fun, and it can be quite profitable.

In Chase or Charlie? The Dynasty Dealbook Recommends Doubling Down on Brown in Week 8, we flagged that Chase Brown’s above-average ability to evade tackles and avoid stuffs in 2024 had translated to 2025 despite the early-season results. On stuff avoidance:

Using data from the Advanced Stats Explorer, I developed a “Stuff% Over/Under” metric that descriptively (but not necessarily predictively) evaluates an RB’s ability to avoid stuffs after accounting for how often they are hit at or behind the line of scrimmage. Brown’s Stuff% O/U of -3.2 in 2024 and -1.9 in 2025 both reflect above-average performance in avoiding stuffs.

Brown was a top-five fantasy RB the rest of the way.

Stuff% Over/Under

Of course, Brown had other things going for him too, but let’s focus on Stuff% Over/Under.

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Winning the Analytics War with Humility, Part 2; Plus a Few Final Post-Draft Thoughts

In Part 2, Jesse Cohen applies the lesson from Part 1 to the 2026 draft class and shares a few other contrarian post-draft thoughts. Winning the Analytics Wars, Part 1 Recap In Part 1, we reached a limited but important finding: For Tier 1-3 QBs and WRs in the RotoViz rookie rankings that have skeptical NFL.com grades (<6.40), the bust rate jumps from about 25%…...

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Contrarian Draft Thoughts: The Dynasty Dealbook Reacts to Days 2 and 3 of the NFL Draft

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In the Dynasty Dealbook series, Jesse Cohen spotlights unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open. More Contrarian Reactions And so ends, by all accounts, a weird draft. But hey, there may still be some edges to be had…. Membership Required You must be a member to...

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Contrarian Draft Thoughts: The Dynasty Dealbook Reacts to Day 1 of the NFL Draft

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In the Dynasty Dealbook series, Jesse Cohen spotlights unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open. Contrarian Reactions For a fulsome write-up of last night’s festivities, see Kevin’s Landing Spot Instant Reactions From the 2026 NFL Draft. Here are some additional thoughts that may not fully align…...

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Winning the Analytics War with Humility, Part 2; Plus a Few Final Post-Draft Thoughts

In Part 2, Jesse Cohen applies the lesson from Part 1 to the 2026 draft class and shares a few other contrarian post-draft thoughts. Winning the Analytics Wars, Part 1 Recap In Part 1, we reached a limited but important finding: For Tier 1-3 QBs and WRs in the RotoViz rookie rankings that have skeptical NFL.com grades (<6.40), the bust rate jumps from about 25%…...

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Contrarian Draft Thoughts: The Dynasty Dealbook Reacts to Days 2 and 3 of the NFL Draft

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In the Dynasty Dealbook series, Jesse Cohen spotlights unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open. More Contrarian Reactions And so ends, by all accounts, a weird draft. But hey, there may still be some edges to be had…. Membership Required You must be a member to...

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Contrarian Draft Thoughts: The Dynasty Dealbook Reacts to Day 1 of the NFL Draft

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In the Dynasty Dealbook series, Jesse Cohen spotlights unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open. Contrarian Reactions For a fulsome write-up of last night’s festivities, see Kevin’s Landing Spot Instant Reactions From the 2026 NFL Draft. Here are some additional thoughts that may not fully align…...

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