The AFC’s Big Free Agency Spenders Aren’t Done Adding WR Firepower: NFL Draft Landing Spots, Part 3
Image Credit: David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Alec Pierce.

Kevin Szafraniec provides a team-by-team breakdown of every AFC wide receiver corps to find the most advantageous landing spots for 2026’s incoming rookie wideouts.

Wide receiver has become one of the most valuable positions in the NFL over the past decade. Quarterbacks, edge defenders, and wideouts are the only positions to claim a spot among the NFL’s top 32 players in average annual salary, with eight of those players being WRs. If we open things up to look at the top 50, five more wideouts join the list. That means 26% of the 50 highest-paid players in the league come from the WR position.

Since wideout is such a premium position, elite talents only become available via trade or free agency every so often. And when star WRs do hit the market, there is always a high price tag attached, whether it be in trade compensation, a hefty contract extension, or both. These elements make finding a star in the draft a more cost-effective route.  But landing in the wrong situation can stunt the growth of even the best WR prospect, which makes finding a favorable landing spot so crucial for early-career production.

Two factors to look for in an ideal landing spot are a wealth of vacated opportunities and a lack of high-end talent. The former is easy to calculate now that nearly all of the big-name free agents have settled. As for the latter, Sports Info Solutions helps us out with their points above average (PAA) metric, which isolates individual player performance on each play and compares it to a baseline outcome. Like most metrics, PAA is not perfect. But it still gives us a decent understanding of whether a player is more likely to help or hurt their team on any given play. To add a little more context, I’ve added some RotoViz favorites like on-target catch rate and yards per route for good measure.

After working through the AFC backfields in Part 1 and Part 2 of the series, something that became apparent is the lack of balance between the two conferences when it comes to 2026 draft capital. Six AFC teams own 10 or more selections, while not a single NFC team’s total gets out of the single digits. Ten of the 16 AFC franchises have at least nine picks versus only three NFC clubs. Meanwhile, four NFC teams have fewer than seven picks compared to only one AFC team falling below that threshold.

Since finding WR talent is so crucial in the modern NFL, a lack of draft capital is unlikely to stop teams from taking stabs at the position. However, it will limit how many shots a front office can take. But considering the 2026 class has a deep collection of intriguing prospects to choose from, every team should get a chance to scratch their WR itch at some point in this year’s draft.

Do you want to predict which rookies could land on your favorite team? Volume 2 of the 2026 RotoViz Rookie Draft Guide is the perfect way to get to know this year’s incoming draft class!

Jam-packed with comprehensive player profiles, advanced stats, player comps, strategies, and rankings from the RotoViz staff, it is a must-have for every fantasy manager who wants to crush their best ball, dynasty, and redraft leagues in 2026! Keep an eye out for Volume 3, which will drop after the 2026 NFL Draft!

AFC North

Baltimore Ravens

Draft Picks (11): 14, 45, 80, 115, 154, 162, 173, 174, 211, 250, 253

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Kevin Szafraniec

Lead Writer and Full-time Cat Dad. Sneakerhead, Record Collector, Beatmaker, Lord of the Rings Superfan, and Jeopardy Enthusiast in my free time. Follow me on X and Bluesky @thecatdadff

These 9 WR2s Are in Danger of Tumbling Down Their Depth Charts: Challenging the Wisdom of the Crowds, Part 3

Kevin Szafraniec applies historical ADP trends to the 2026 best ball landscape in an effort to predict which team WR2s could end up tumbling down depth charts this season. In Part 1 of this series, I asked the question: How effective is the fantasy community at predicting wide receiver depth charts? To answer this question, we compared ADP data from the past six years against how WRs ranked…...

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The Stars are Aligning for These 5 WRs to Emerge as Their Team’s Alpha in 2026: Challenging the Wisdom of the Crowds, Part 2

Kevin Szafraniec applies historical ADP trends to the 2026 best ball landscape in an effort to predict which team WR2s have the best chances of taking over the top spot on their depth charts. In Part 1 of this series, I asked the question: How effective is the fantasy community at predicting wide receiver depth charts? To answer this question, we compared ADP data from…...

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How Good Are We at Drafting Wide Receivers? Challenging the Wisdom of the Crowds, Part 1

Kevin Szafraniec analyzes the past six years of best ball ADP data in the Win Rate Explorer and compares it against wide receiver PPR scoring to find out how accurately drafters are predicting team depth charts prior to the season. While reviewing best ball stacks in my previous article, I found that there was a pretty significant drop-off in success rates for stacks that feature…...

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These 9 WR2s Are in Danger of Tumbling Down Their Depth Charts: Challenging the Wisdom of the Crowds, Part 3

Kevin Szafraniec applies historical ADP trends to the 2026 best ball landscape in an effort to predict which team WR2s could end up tumbling down depth charts this season. In Part 1 of this series, I asked the question: How effective is the fantasy community at predicting wide receiver depth charts? To answer this question, we compared ADP data from the past six years against how WRs ranked…...

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The Stars are Aligning for These 5 WRs to Emerge as Their Team’s Alpha in 2026: Challenging the Wisdom of the Crowds, Part 2

Kevin Szafraniec applies historical ADP trends to the 2026 best ball landscape in an effort to predict which team WR2s have the best chances of taking over the top spot on their depth charts. In Part 1 of this series, I asked the question: How effective is the fantasy community at predicting wide receiver depth charts? To answer this question, we compared ADP data from…...

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How Good Are We at Drafting Wide Receivers? Challenging the Wisdom of the Crowds, Part 1

Kevin Szafraniec analyzes the past six years of best ball ADP data in the Win Rate Explorer and compares it against wide receiver PPR scoring to find out how accurately drafters are predicting team depth charts prior to the season. While reviewing best ball stacks in my previous article, I found that there was a pretty significant drop-off in success rates for stacks that feature…...

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