Best Ball

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Mind the Gap: Relative ADP at Running Back and the Psychology of Overconfidence

Everyone wants to draft Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook. They’re probably the two best players in fantasy, and adding an elite running back to your squad in Round 1 gives you a massive leg up over your opponents. The reason those high-end RB1s are so valuable is that there are so few of them. Most teams use a committee nowadays, which makes sense from a…...

Best Ball: Why WR Depth Functions Differently for Zero RB and Robust RB … and Not the Way You’d Think

Want to join our writers in winning big contests and turning your best ball entries into a money-making machine? Shawn Siegele helps explain how to generate win rates more than double the average in this edition of the Best Ball Workshop. This week I got a chance to talk to one of my favorite structural drafters – and one of my favorite fantasy writers overall…...

The Post-Draft Sleeper Cheat Sheet You Need Now – Get Ahead of the New Wave of Best Ball Picks

With the NFL Draft officially in the books, a quick look at the FFPC Exposures and ADP tool shows a number of players who were ignored pre-draft now going in the late rounds of FFPC best ball drafts. While there’s always risk incurred when drafting some of these late-round darlings at this point in the season, we shouldn’t dismiss them to lack of familiarity. But…...

Use This Surprising and Low-Cost Tactic to Load Your Best Ball Squads with Maximum Firepower

The 2021 NFL Draft class is not your run-of-the-mill draft class. While the positional upside at non-QB positions could leave a bit to be desired, there’s a chance that we could see five quarterbacks taken in the first round of this year’s draft. As I continue to dive into best ball content and drafts, I find myself constantly questioning how we can benefit from drafting…...

Risers and Fallers – Free Agency Fallout, Part 2: A Second-Year WR Becomes a Late Round Value as an Unexpected TE Breakout Candidate Emerges

Last week I took a look at FFPC best ball ADP, covering risers and fallers and the quarterback and running back position after a wild free agency period. This week, we’ll take a look at risers and fallers at wide receiver and tight end. Pre-free agency, we saw a handful of talented players go undervalued in drafts. Now, after joining new teams, drafters have re-awakened…...

Quarterback ADP Gold Rush: QBs Are Being Drafted Earlier Than Ever

Late-Round Quarterback has been a staple of value-based drafting strategy for nearly a decade. Are we seeing the tides turn as many are advocating for drafting early-round dual-threat QBs? The two primary ways to measure the success of fantasy football draft picks are production and value, with production largely measured by fantasy points and value accounting for the cost to acquire (aka draft capital). Earlier…...

Daniel Jones And Kenny Golladay Are Poised to Follow in the ADP Smashing Footsteps of Allen and Diggs

Last year, when many fantasy analysts were bemoaning an elite receiver switching teams to a run-first offense led by an inaccurate but mobile quarterback, I wrote that both the receiver and the quarterback were targets. The receiver was Stefon Diggs. The quarterback was Josh Allen. They each finished third in PPR scoring. This year a similar situation has arisen, with Kenny Golladay headed to the…...

Navigating the Running Back Landscape During the Free Agency Frenzy, and Identifying Values in FFPC Best Ball Drafts

During the first week of free agency, several teams saw changes to their running back depth chart. While the Texans added two seasoned veterans in Mark Ingram and Phillip Lindsay, the Raiders and Falcons added one each of their own in Kenyan Drake and Mike Davis. While some of these moves may bode well for the newly signed running backs, they could also negatively impact the incumbent backs on their…...

Jonathan Taylor’s Rookie Comps Are Awesome, But Even They Understate His 2021 Upside

Amr Gabr examines the Jonathan Taylor disconnect between fantasy owners and NFL GMs. Were the armchair experts right all along? And what does this mean for his chances to join the truly elite in 2021? Fantasy and draft Twitter collectively had few questions about Wisconsin star Jonathan Taylor as he headed into the 2020 NFL draft. The consensus RB1 was often considered the next great…...

Davante Adams Superfoods: 2020’s Functional Fantasy Points King

Michael Dubner continues his 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, this time using Functional Fantasy Points to reveal the WRs who contributed the most fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position on a weekly basis. FFP accounts for the volatility that we care…...

Corey Davis Lands in New York After a Highly Efficient 2020 Season, but Will it Be Wheels Up in 2021?

Earlier today it was announced that former Titans wide receiver Corey Davis will be continuing his career in New York with the Jets. The former first-round pick signed a three-year, $37.5 million deal ($27 million guaranteed) and now looks to be a part of the new system ushered in under first year head coach Robert Saleh. As a member of the Titans, Davis never quite produced at…...

Revisiting ADP Risers and Fallers in FFPC Best Ball Drafts, Part 2: Pre-Free Agency Buys at WR and TE That You Can’t Overlook

At the beginning of February, I wrote an article about players whose ADPs could rise and fall in FFPC best ball tournaments prior to the player movement that will take place during free agency. As rumors continue to swirl, and teams make cuts/trades in hopes of finding more salary cap space to work with, we are left to watch the fluctuation of ADPs all offseason…....

Revisiting ADP Risers and Fallers in FFPC Best Ball Drafts, and Pinpointing a Few More Pre-Free Agency Buys at QB and RB

At the beginning of February, I wrote an article about players whose ADPs could rise and fall in FFPC best ball tournaments prior to the player movement that will take place during free agency. As rumors continue to swirl, and teams make cuts/trades in hopes of finding more salary cap space to work with, we are left to watch the fluctuation of ADPs all offseason…....

Jalen Reagor Infamously Headlines 2020’s Empty Calorie Fantasy Scorers List

In this 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, Michael Dubner uses Functional Fantasy Points to expose the WRs who contributed the fewest fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position calculated on a weekly basis. Essentially, FFP measures the number of points a player…...

Just How Crazy Was 2020? Insights from the Win the Flex App and Strategies for 2021 Drafts

Drafting successfully means, at least in part, picking the right kinds of players and avoiding the wrong kinds. We provide a lot of guidance at RotoViz on who the right and wrong kind of players to draft are. Still, getting the player selection tactics down is only part of the solution for finding the game-changing win rates we know are possible. Shawn Siegele has detailed…...

Tyler Boyd Headlines the 5 Best Values in Early Best Ball Drafts

Shawn Siegele locates the five best values in early best ball drafts, including always overlooked star Tyler Boyd. In the Best Ball Workshop I’ve been showing you how to beat your FFPC Classic and Slim drafts in a wide variety of ways. The initial Superflex lesson provides a quick QB hack to boost your win rate above 10%. The PK lesson demonstrates how a couple of…...

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