Zachary Krueger

Staff writer & fantasy analyst. I like best ball and dislike early-round TEs.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC South

Neil Dutton and I have been going division by division to find players that RotoViz rankers are higher on than FFPC drafters. The previous two articles are here: 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC East 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC East Today we turn our attention to the NFC South. Here are three players that RotoViz rankers think FFPC drafters should be taking earlier. ADP Data for period June 22 – July 5 Ito Smith, RB, ATL The Atlanta Falcons signed Todd Gurley this offseason after cutting ties with…...

What Is the Best Month to Enter The Drafters Best Ball Championship to Maximize Fantasy Points?

With Drafters offering a Best Ball Championship, Dubner looks to gain an edge by looking at the best month to enter the tournament for maximizing points. Drafters launched their Best Ball Championship on July 3. Within three days, over 1,700 owners have already taken their shot at the $25K prize pool. In a tournament with such a top-heavy prize pool (40% of the prizes going to first place), we need to maximize every advantage we can find to land first place. Just like last year with the DRAFT Best Ball Championship, we can see how draft month impacts a roster’s…...

These 3 Backup Running Backs Are an Injury Away From Massive Opportunity and Are Available at a Discount

Injuries suck. It’s one of the worst feelings to see a guy who’s carried you so far throughout the season, a player you might have become a genuine fan of outside of fantasy, go down in brutal fashion. Todd Gurley’s injury late in 2018 cost thousands of fantasy players (including myself) a likely championship. David Johnson’s wrist injury in week 1 of 2017 ended many seasons before they even really got started. Even last year, Saquon Barkley’s three-week hiatus due to injury was likely the main culprit towards his dismal 4.8% best ball win rate, despite him having an otherwise…...

Applying Lessons From Historical Best Ball Win Rates: 7 Running Backs with Intriguing Efficiency Profiles

Derrick Henry, Austin Ekeler, and Aaron Jones were historically efficient in 2019. They were just efficient in different ways. Ekeler had the most receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) among all RBs over the last two decades. Henry paced all RBs in rushing Fantasy Points Over Expectation (ruFPOE) last year – just edging out second-place Jones. They aren’t going to do that again. Fortunately, they don’t need to; none of them are being drafted at a price point where they’d have to match their 2019 production to return value. A couple of weeks ago, I used best ball win rate…...

Could Amon-Ra St. Brown be the Darkhorse WR1 Candidate in 2021? USC’s Future NFL Draft Prospects

Welcome to the RotoViz Future NFL Draft Prospects series! We’ll be tackling all the top future NFL Draft prospects on the best teams in college football one university at a time. And no, we’re not talking just 2021. We’re peering into our crystal ball to predict the future of numerous prospects out as far as the 2024 NFL Draft! Don’t think that’s possible? Dive into the series here with us and see for yourself. We’ll take it one step at a time, position by position, to help you map out when and where to select these future playmakers for all…...

3 Sneaky Second-Year Breakout Candidates Poised to Be the Next D.J. Chark

Patience. That’s what we hear all the time as dynasty owners. We know it can take several years for our rookie draft picks to return on value and become consistent producers in both real and fantasy football. Some positions, like tight ends, can take even longer to develop. So, why do we lose patience so quickly? In a world dominated by instant gratification, the fantasy community is no different. Remember how bad the rookie season was for D.J. Chark? He was tossed aside by many after that year, despite his second-round pedigree and elite athleticism. Now, he’s being drafted as…...

Scott Fish Bowl Strategy: When To Draft Your #SFBX QB1 and When to Go Zero RB

A few days ago, I provided a quick overview on the impact that the #SFBX scoring system has for historical finishes. Additionally, I converted Dave Caban’s fantastic projections for anyone looking to gain an edge in their #SFBX leagues. If you’re looking to play around with the data, I urge you to check out the new Scott Fish Bowl Points Explorer tool. However, I have come here to chew bubblegum and provide my thoughts on #SFBX strategy. And I’m all out of bubblegum. Refresher on Points Per First Down Scoring For starters, it’s important to note that first downs are simply…...

Tight End Is the New Running Back: How to Benefit from Injury Risk in the Scott Fish Bowl (and Elsewhere)

Last week I published an article recommending a TEx5 start to your Scott Fish Bowl drafts. This week we added SFBX scoring settings to the Win the Flex app, and it disagreed with my take in no uncertain terms. According to the Win the Flex numbers (using SFBX scoring and FFPC Superflex ADP), tight ends don’t become the best pick until about the eighth round. In fact, picking a tight end anywhere in the first three rounds appears to be the worst pick you can make. Come on, Win the Flex, why would you do this to me? How Win…...

FFPC Pros v Joes Dynasty Superflex Startup: Blockbuster Trades, QB Dilemmas, and Widespread Skepticism About RB ADP

Shawn Siegele breaks down the most recent developments in his FFPC Superflex Dynasty League startup. He profiles the blockbuster trades, examines the best picks, and explains why owners are ignoring the RB-heavy ADP of the format. Curtis Patrick and I are drafting in a loaded Pros vs Joes event that includes long-time friend Patrick Kerrane and many other talented owners. In 5 Takeaways from an FFPC Pros v Joes Superflex Startup, I detailed the early-round trends and broke down a couple of big trades that reshaped our roster. Today, we move into the middle rounds where fireworks continue to go…...

The Future Is Bright In Eugene! Oregon’s Future NFL Draft Prospects

Welcome to the RotoViz Future NFL Draft Prospects series! We’ll be tackling all the top future NFL Draft prospects on the best teams in college football one university at a time. And no, we’re not talking just 2021. We’re peering into our crystal ball to predict the future of many prospects out as far as the 2024 NFL Draft! Don’t think that’s possible? Dive into the series here with us and see for yourself. We’ll take it one step at a time, position by position, to help you map out when and where to select these future playmakers for all…...

3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC South

Neil Dutton and I have been going division by division to find players that RotoViz rankers are higher on than FFPC drafters. The previous two articles are here: 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC East 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC East Today we turn our attention to the NFC South. Here are three players that RotoViz rankers think FFPC drafters should be taking earlier. ADP Data for period June 22 – July 5 Ito Smith, RB, ATL The Atlanta Falcons signed Todd Gurley this offseason after cutting ties with…...

What Is the Best Month to Enter The Drafters Best Ball Championship to Maximize Fantasy Points?

With Drafters offering a Best Ball Championship, Dubner looks to gain an edge by looking at the best month to enter the tournament for maximizing points. Drafters launched their Best Ball Championship on July 3. Within three days, over 1,700 owners have already taken their shot at the $25K prize pool. In a tournament with such a top-heavy prize pool (40% of the prizes going to first place), we need to maximize every advantage we can find to land first place. Just like last year with the DRAFT Best Ball Championship, we can see how draft month impacts a roster’s…...

These 3 Backup Running Backs Are an Injury Away From Massive Opportunity and Are Available at a Discount

Injuries suck. It’s one of the worst feelings to see a guy who’s carried you so far throughout the season, a player you might have become a genuine fan of outside of fantasy, go down in brutal fashion. Todd Gurley’s injury late in 2018 cost thousands of fantasy players (including myself) a likely championship. David Johnson’s wrist injury in week 1 of 2017 ended many seasons before they even really got started. Even last year, Saquon Barkley’s three-week hiatus due to injury was likely the main culprit towards his dismal 4.8% best ball win rate, despite him having an otherwise…...

Applying Lessons From Historical Best Ball Win Rates: 7 Running Backs with Intriguing Efficiency Profiles

Derrick Henry, Austin Ekeler, and Aaron Jones were historically efficient in 2019. They were just efficient in different ways. Ekeler had the most receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) among all RBs over the last two decades. Henry paced all RBs in rushing Fantasy Points Over Expectation (ruFPOE) last year – just edging out second-place Jones. They aren’t going to do that again. Fortunately, they don’t need to; none of them are being drafted at a price point where they’d have to match their 2019 production to return value. A couple of weeks ago, I used best ball win rate…...

Could Amon-Ra St. Brown be the Darkhorse WR1 Candidate in 2021? USC’s Future NFL Draft Prospects

Welcome to the RotoViz Future NFL Draft Prospects series! We’ll be tackling all the top future NFL Draft prospects on the best teams in college football one university at a time. And no, we’re not talking just 2021. We’re peering into our crystal ball to predict the future of numerous prospects out as far as the 2024 NFL Draft! Don’t think that’s possible? Dive into the series here with us and see for yourself. We’ll take it one step at a time, position by position, to help you map out when and where to select these future playmakers for all…...

3 Sneaky Second-Year Breakout Candidates Poised to Be the Next D.J. Chark

Patience. That’s what we hear all the time as dynasty owners. We know it can take several years for our rookie draft picks to return on value and become consistent producers in both real and fantasy football. Some positions, like tight ends, can take even longer to develop. So, why do we lose patience so quickly? In a world dominated by instant gratification, the fantasy community is no different. Remember how bad the rookie season was for D.J. Chark? He was tossed aside by many after that year, despite his second-round pedigree and elite athleticism. Now, he’s being drafted as…...

Scott Fish Bowl Strategy: When To Draft Your #SFBX QB1 and When to Go Zero RB

A few days ago, I provided a quick overview on the impact that the #SFBX scoring system has for historical finishes. Additionally, I converted Dave Caban’s fantastic projections for anyone looking to gain an edge in their #SFBX leagues. If you’re looking to play around with the data, I urge you to check out the new Scott Fish Bowl Points Explorer tool. However, I have come here to chew bubblegum and provide my thoughts on #SFBX strategy. And I’m all out of bubblegum. Refresher on Points Per First Down Scoring For starters, it’s important to note that first downs are simply…...

Tight End Is the New Running Back: How to Benefit from Injury Risk in the Scott Fish Bowl (and Elsewhere)

Last week I published an article recommending a TEx5 start to your Scott Fish Bowl drafts. This week we added SFBX scoring settings to the Win the Flex app, and it disagreed with my take in no uncertain terms. According to the Win the Flex numbers (using SFBX scoring and FFPC Superflex ADP), tight ends don’t become the best pick until about the eighth round. In fact, picking a tight end anywhere in the first three rounds appears to be the worst pick you can make. Come on, Win the Flex, why would you do this to me? How Win…...

FFPC Pros v Joes Dynasty Superflex Startup: Blockbuster Trades, QB Dilemmas, and Widespread Skepticism About RB ADP

Shawn Siegele breaks down the most recent developments in his FFPC Superflex Dynasty League startup. He profiles the blockbuster trades, examines the best picks, and explains why owners are ignoring the RB-heavy ADP of the format. Curtis Patrick and I are drafting in a loaded Pros vs Joes event that includes long-time friend Patrick Kerrane and many other talented owners. In 5 Takeaways from an FFPC Pros v Joes Superflex Startup, I detailed the early-round trends and broke down a couple of big trades that reshaped our roster. Today, we move into the middle rounds where fireworks continue to go…...

The Future Is Bright In Eugene! Oregon’s Future NFL Draft Prospects

Welcome to the RotoViz Future NFL Draft Prospects series! We’ll be tackling all the top future NFL Draft prospects on the best teams in college football one university at a time. And no, we’re not talking just 2021. We’re peering into our crystal ball to predict the future of many prospects out as far as the 2024 NFL Draft! Don’t think that’s possible? Dive into the series here with us and see for yourself. We’ll take it one step at a time, position by position, to help you map out when and where to select these future playmakers for all…...

3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: NFC South

Neil Dutton and I have been going division by division to find players that RotoViz rankers are higher on than FFPC drafters. The previous two articles are here: 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters: AFC East 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters:…...

3 Sneaky Second-Year Breakout Candidates Poised to Be the Next D.J. Chark

Patience. That’s what we hear all the time as dynasty owners. We know it can take several years for our rookie draft picks to return on value and become consistent producers in both real and fantasy football. Some positions, like tight ends, can take even longer to develop. So, why…...

Scott Fish Bowl Strategy: When To Draft Your #SFBX QB1 and When to Go Zero RB

A few days ago, I provided a quick overview on the impact that the #SFBX scoring system has for historical finishes. Additionally, I converted Dave Caban’s fantastic projections for anyone looking to gain an edge in their #SFBX leagues. If you’re looking to play around with the data, I urge…...

The Future Is Bright In Eugene! Oregon’s Future NFL Draft Prospects

Welcome to the RotoViz Future NFL Draft Prospects series! We’ll be tackling all the top future NFL Draft prospects on the best teams in college football one university at a time. And no, we’re not talking just 2021. We’re peering into our crystal ball to predict the future of many…...

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