RotoDoc

Co-Owner and Editor-in-Chief at RotoViz. Mathematics Ph.D. 3x qualifier for the DraftKings NASCAR Main Event.

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In-Season Articles

win the flex

Win the Flex: The 2017 Edition

Perhaps the most complicated position in fantasy football is not an actual position at all, but rather a confluence of multiple skill positions more commonly known as “the flex.” It’s something we’ve written a lot about at RotoViz, because the key to success is to win the flex position…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log...

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Doug Martin’s Job Is Not Guaranteed

With Doug Martin suspended the first three games of the season, news out of Tampa Bay Buccaneers training camp has been hot and heavy concerning their running back situation. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Will Fuller and Sterling Shepard Injury Outlook

Yesterday in training camp, Texans wide receiver Will Fuller and Giants receiver Sterling Shepard suffered injuries. Dr. Jeffrey Budoff, M.D. is here to provide an injury outlook for the two second-year wideouts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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RB Countdown: No. 32 Darren Sproles

What can you expect from Philadelphia Eagles running back Darren Sproles in 2017?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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2017 Projections: Kenny Britt and the Cleveland Browns

In this series, I use an internal version of the Projection Machine to explore likely outcomes for offensive players on all 32 NFL teams…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2017 Carry Leader Survey – 6 Favorites Emerge

Twenty-five RotoViz scribes voted for the 2017 carry leader and offered explanations for their votes. While fewer RBs received first-place votes than during our WR Target Series, we had much more disagreement among those players. Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham were not left off of any ballots in the WR voting, but every RB was absent from at least five ballots…. Membership Required You must be a member to access...

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Trends That Changed the Game in 2016 Are About to Change It Again

Did you know that for four consecutive years, NFL teams have averaged the fewest rush attempts in league history? How about that for four consecutive years, the league-wide completion percentage has been higher than ever before? Or that NFL teams run plays out of the shotgun formation over 50 percent more than five years ago?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this...

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PGA DFS Picks

PGA DFS Picks and Projections: WGC Bridgestone Invitational

[Editor’s note: Last week, John’s model was a huge success. Today, the PGA DFS picks and model go behind the paywall.] After a solid week we’re back with more PGA DFS picks and projections, this time for the World Golf Championships Bridgestone Invitational. Like all WGC events, there is no cut this week. I’ll cover the course, some strategy tweaks for this week, and give my DFS…...

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DFS Contrarian

Weekly MFL10 ADP Battle “Ty”ed up over Montgomery

This week Neil Dutton and I discuss Ty Montgomery and his recent ADP rise which has seen him go from about pick 50 up to pick 38. Neil takes the pro-Montgomery side, and I provide reasons why Montgomery has gotten too pricey for me…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Why Buy Joe Mixon When This RB is Cheaper?

Why buy a car for $20,000 when you can buy the same car with a crappy paint job for half the price? That, in a crude nutshell, is one way of looking at arbitrage, a concept the Fantasy Douche first applied to fantasy football several years ago…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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News or Noise? Where There’s “Smokey,” There’s Fire

As fantasy players, we spend the offseason under a constant barrage of news. Under assault from stories, anecdotes, rumors, soundbites, coachspeak, and hot takes, it’s difficult for even the most diligent analyst to sort out the useful information from the meaningless noise for every player. In this series, I’ll take a look at some recent news items and try to determine if they’re meaningful, or…...

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Injury Impact: Sterling Shepard and Will Fuller

No one wants to go to work and be bored, but team medical staff probably hope and wish for quiet days at the office on the whole. Sadly, this was not the case for the trainers for the New York Giants and Houston Texans on Wednesday. Both teams saw injuries to wide receivers they drafted in 2016, with the Giants Sterling Shepard suffering a “rolled…...

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25 Writers Vote for the 2017 Carry Leader – Part 1

Twenty-five RotoViz scribes voted for the 2017 carry leader and offered explanations for their votes. While fewer RBs received first-place votes than during our WR Target Series, we had much more disagreement among those players. Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham were not left off of any ballots in the WR voting, but every RB was absent from at least five ballots…. Membership Required You must...

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fanduel value plays

Golden Tate is Fraudulent Volume Bait

As we inch closer to the 2017 season, Golden Tate is being drafted in the middle of the fourth round as the 23rd wide receiver off the board according to current My Fantasy League ADP…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Hurry Up: Chester Rogers and the Colts WR Depth Chart

The Hurry-Up keeps you up-to-date on the latest news through the filter of RotoViz tools and related content. When Kamar Aiken signed with the Colts in March, fantasy analysts thought he would compete with Phillip Dorsett for the team’s third wide receiver spot — or even Donte Moncrief for the second spot. But second-year wideout Chester Rogers has received positive buzz throughout the offseason, and it’s carrying over into training…...

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Why Buy Doug Baldwin When This WR is Cheaper?

Why buy a car for $20,000 when you can buy the same car with a crappy paint job for half the price? That, in a crude nutshell, is one way of looking at arbitrage, a concept the Fantasy Douche first applied to fantasy football several years ago…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Buy Dalvin Cook Before It’s Too Late

One of the most puzzling things so far this offseason is Dalvin Cook’s ADP in comparison to his rookie peers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Better Start/Sit Decisions: Nathan Braun (fantasymath), 2 Aug 2017

Aug 2, 2017: The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz, you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. Host: Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc): Editor, Top-Five NASCAR DFS player, Math Host: Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh): Contributor to RotoViz, inventor of WR Air Yards SPONSOR Fantasy Football Players Championship. Premium leagues start at…...

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win the flex

Win the Flex: The 2017 Edition

Perhaps the most complicated position in fantasy football is not an actual position at all, but rather a confluence of multiple skill positions more commonly known as “the flex.” It’s something we’ve written a lot about at RotoViz, because the key to success is to win the flex position…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log...

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Doug Martin’s Job Is Not Guaranteed

With Doug Martin suspended the first three games of the season, news out of Tampa Bay Buccaneers training camp has been hot and heavy concerning their running back situation. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Will Fuller and Sterling Shepard Injury Outlook

Yesterday in training camp, Texans wide receiver Will Fuller and Giants receiver Sterling Shepard suffered injuries. Dr. Jeffrey Budoff, M.D. is here to provide an injury outlook for the two second-year wideouts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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RB Countdown: No. 32 Darren Sproles

What can you expect from Philadelphia Eagles running back Darren Sproles in 2017?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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2017 Projections: Kenny Britt and the Cleveland Browns

In this series, I use an internal version of the Projection Machine to explore likely outcomes for offensive players on all 32 NFL teams…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2017 Carry Leader Survey – 6 Favorites Emerge

Twenty-five RotoViz scribes voted for the 2017 carry leader and offered explanations for their votes. While fewer RBs received first-place votes than during our WR Target Series, we had much more disagreement among those players. Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham were not left off of any ballots in the WR voting, but every RB was absent from at least five ballots…. Membership Required You must be a member to access...

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Trends That Changed the Game in 2016 Are About to Change It Again

Did you know that for four consecutive years, NFL teams have averaged the fewest rush attempts in league history? How about that for four consecutive years, the league-wide completion percentage has been higher than ever before? Or that NFL teams run plays out of the shotgun formation over 50 percent more than five years ago?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this...

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PGA DFS Picks

PGA DFS Picks and Projections: WGC Bridgestone Invitational

[Editor’s note: Last week, John’s model was a huge success. Today, the PGA DFS picks and model go behind the paywall.] After a solid week we’re back with more PGA DFS picks and projections, this time for the World Golf Championships Bridgestone Invitational. Like all WGC events, there is no cut this week. I’ll cover the course, some strategy tweaks for this week, and give my DFS…...

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DFS Contrarian

Weekly MFL10 ADP Battle “Ty”ed up over Montgomery

This week Neil Dutton and I discuss Ty Montgomery and his recent ADP rise which has seen him go from about pick 50 up to pick 38. Neil takes the pro-Montgomery side, and I provide reasons why Montgomery has gotten too pricey for me…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Why Buy Joe Mixon When This RB is Cheaper?

Why buy a car for $20,000 when you can buy the same car with a crappy paint job for half the price? That, in a crude nutshell, is one way of looking at arbitrage, a concept the Fantasy Douche first applied to fantasy football several years ago…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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News or Noise? Where There’s “Smokey,” There’s Fire

As fantasy players, we spend the offseason under a constant barrage of news. Under assault from stories, anecdotes, rumors, soundbites, coachspeak, and hot takes, it’s difficult for even the most diligent analyst to sort out the useful information from the meaningless noise for every player. In this series, I’ll take a look at some recent news items and try to determine if they’re meaningful, or…...

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Injury Impact: Sterling Shepard and Will Fuller

No one wants to go to work and be bored, but team medical staff probably hope and wish for quiet days at the office on the whole. Sadly, this was not the case for the trainers for the New York Giants and Houston Texans on Wednesday. Both teams saw injuries to wide receivers they drafted in 2016, with the Giants Sterling Shepard suffering a “rolled…...

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25 Writers Vote for the 2017 Carry Leader – Part 1

Twenty-five RotoViz scribes voted for the 2017 carry leader and offered explanations for their votes. While fewer RBs received first-place votes than during our WR Target Series, we had much more disagreement among those players. Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham were not left off of any ballots in the WR voting, but every RB was absent from at least five ballots…. Membership Required You must...

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fanduel value plays

Golden Tate is Fraudulent Volume Bait

As we inch closer to the 2017 season, Golden Tate is being drafted in the middle of the fourth round as the 23rd wide receiver off the board according to current My Fantasy League ADP…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Hurry Up: Chester Rogers and the Colts WR Depth Chart

The Hurry-Up keeps you up-to-date on the latest news through the filter of RotoViz tools and related content. When Kamar Aiken signed with the Colts in March, fantasy analysts thought he would compete with Phillip Dorsett for the team’s third wide receiver spot — or even Donte Moncrief for the second spot. But second-year wideout Chester Rogers has received positive buzz throughout the offseason, and it’s carrying over into training…...

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Why Buy Doug Baldwin When This WR is Cheaper?

Why buy a car for $20,000 when you can buy the same car with a crappy paint job for half the price? That, in a crude nutshell, is one way of looking at arbitrage, a concept the Fantasy Douche first applied to fantasy football several years ago…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Buy Dalvin Cook Before It’s Too Late

One of the most puzzling things so far this offseason is Dalvin Cook’s ADP in comparison to his rookie peers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Better Start/Sit Decisions: Nathan Braun (fantasymath), 2 Aug 2017

Aug 2, 2017: The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz, you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. Host: Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc): Editor, Top-Five NASCAR DFS player, Math Host: Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh): Contributor to RotoViz, inventor of WR Air Yards SPONSOR Fantasy Football Players Championship. Premium leagues start at…...

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win the flex

Win the Flex: The 2017 Edition

Perhaps the most complicated position in fantasy football is not an actual position at all, but rather a confluence of multiple skill positions more commonly known as “the flex.” It’s something we’ve written a lot about at RotoViz, because the key to success is to win the flex position…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log...

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Doug Martin’s Job Is Not Guaranteed

With Doug Martin suspended the first three games of the season, news out of Tampa Bay Buccaneers training camp has been hot and heavy concerning their running back situation. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Will Fuller and Sterling Shepard Injury Outlook

Yesterday in training camp, Texans wide receiver Will Fuller and Giants receiver Sterling Shepard suffered injuries. Dr. Jeffrey Budoff, M.D. is here to provide an injury outlook for the two second-year wideouts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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RB Countdown: No. 32 Darren Sproles

What can you expect from Philadelphia Eagles running back Darren Sproles in 2017?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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2017 Projections: Kenny Britt and the Cleveland Browns

In this series, I use an internal version of the Projection Machine to explore likely outcomes for offensive players on all 32 NFL teams…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2017 Carry Leader Survey – 6 Favorites Emerge

Twenty-five RotoViz scribes voted for the 2017 carry leader and offered explanations for their votes. While fewer RBs received first-place votes than during our WR Target Series, we had much more disagreement among those players. Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham were not left off of any ballots in the WR voting, but every RB was absent from at least five ballots…. Membership Required You must be a member to access...

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Trends That Changed the Game in 2016 Are About to Change It Again

Did you know that for four consecutive years, NFL teams have averaged the fewest rush attempts in league history? How about that for four consecutive years, the league-wide completion percentage has been higher than ever before? Or that NFL teams run plays out of the shotgun formation over 50 percent more than five years ago?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this...

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PGA DFS Picks

PGA DFS Picks and Projections: WGC Bridgestone Invitational

[Editor’s note: Last week, John’s model was a huge success. Today, the PGA DFS picks and model go behind the paywall.] After a solid week we’re back with more PGA DFS picks and projections, this time for the World Golf Championships Bridgestone Invitational. Like all WGC events, there is no cut this week. I’ll cover the course, some strategy tweaks for this week, and give my DFS…...

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DFS Contrarian

Weekly MFL10 ADP Battle “Ty”ed up over Montgomery

This week Neil Dutton and I discuss Ty Montgomery and his recent ADP rise which has seen him go from about pick 50 up to pick 38. Neil takes the pro-Montgomery side, and I provide reasons why Montgomery has gotten too pricey for me…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Why Buy Joe Mixon When This RB is Cheaper?

Why buy a car for $20,000 when you can buy the same car with a crappy paint job for half the price? That, in a crude nutshell, is one way of looking at arbitrage, a concept the Fantasy Douche first applied to fantasy football several years ago…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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News or Noise? Where There’s “Smokey,” There’s Fire

As fantasy players, we spend the offseason under a constant barrage of news. Under assault from stories, anecdotes, rumors, soundbites, coachspeak, and hot takes, it’s difficult for even the most diligent analyst to sort out the useful information from the meaningless noise for every player. In this series, I’ll take a look at some recent news items and try to determine if they’re meaningful, or…...

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Injury Impact: Sterling Shepard and Will Fuller

No one wants to go to work and be bored, but team medical staff probably hope and wish for quiet days at the office on the whole. Sadly, this was not the case for the trainers for the New York Giants and Houston Texans on Wednesday. Both teams saw injuries to wide receivers they drafted in 2016, with the Giants Sterling Shepard suffering a “rolled…...

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25 Writers Vote for the 2017 Carry Leader – Part 1

Twenty-five RotoViz scribes voted for the 2017 carry leader and offered explanations for their votes. While fewer RBs received first-place votes than during our WR Target Series, we had much more disagreement among those players. Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham were not left off of any ballots in the WR voting, but every RB was absent from at least five ballots…. Membership Required You must...

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fanduel value plays

Golden Tate is Fraudulent Volume Bait

As we inch closer to the 2017 season, Golden Tate is being drafted in the middle of the fourth round as the 23rd wide receiver off the board according to current My Fantasy League ADP…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Hurry Up: Chester Rogers and the Colts WR Depth Chart

The Hurry-Up keeps you up-to-date on the latest news through the filter of RotoViz tools and related content. When Kamar Aiken signed with the Colts in March, fantasy analysts thought he would compete with Phillip Dorsett for the team’s third wide receiver spot — or even Donte Moncrief for the second spot. But second-year wideout Chester Rogers has received positive buzz throughout the offseason, and it’s carrying over into training…...

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Why Buy Doug Baldwin When This WR is Cheaper?

Why buy a car for $20,000 when you can buy the same car with a crappy paint job for half the price? That, in a crude nutshell, is one way of looking at arbitrage, a concept the Fantasy Douche first applied to fantasy football several years ago…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Buy Dalvin Cook Before It’s Too Late

One of the most puzzling things so far this offseason is Dalvin Cook’s ADP in comparison to his rookie peers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Better Start/Sit Decisions: Nathan Braun (fantasymath), 2 Aug 2017

Aug 2, 2017: The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast. If you’re a listener of the show who hasn’t subscribed yet to RotoViz, you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast. Host: Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc): Editor, Top-Five NASCAR DFS player, Math Host: Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh): Contributor to RotoViz, inventor of WR Air Yards SPONSOR Fantasy Football Players Championship. Premium leagues start at…...

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