Because the human brain is so wired to give in to the recency effect, it blocks out the ability for many to understand and exploit regression to the mean. This point is extremely important to emphasize when dealing with the sport of football, which is subject to extreme variance on a week-to-week and year-to-year basis. Since the recency effect causes us to put too much…...

In my last dynasty orphan journal, I chronicled my preparation for the league’s rookie draft. This time I’ll review that draft and talk about the players I selected, and why. Whoopsidoodle First things first – I made a mistake. I prepared thinking that veteran free agents were not eligible for the rookie draft. I was wrong about that; veteran free agents were indeed eligible for…...

Throughout this offseason, Carlos Hyde’s draft position has continuously dropped. The factors behind his plummet are mostly narrative driven, whether it’s the addition of a fourth-round running back or the talk about the dumpster fire known as the 49ers offense…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Why buy a car for $20,000 when you can buy the same car with a crappy paint job for half the price? That, in a crude nutshell, is one way of looking at arbitrage, a concept the the Fantasy Douche first applied to fantasy football several years ago…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

I compared our composite player projections against recent MFL10 ADP to find the best draft target in each round. Which player makes the best selection in the 11th – 15th rounds of fantasy football drafts?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

I’ve been writing about the same wide receivers finishing in the top-24 for a couple years now. The yearly PPR finishes offer clues to players’ potential futures and may possibly point to undervalued players in both dynasty and re-draft…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Little things bother me. I am far from OCD, but the fact that quarterback scoring is broken does bother me and has for some time. I think the goal of Fantasy Football scoring should be to make it so trendy positional theories should be nice, but they shouldn’t over ride picking the best players as the most important thing when building a fantasy football team…. Membership Required...

Is starting a running back or wide receiver instead of a second quarterback in a Superflex league a viable option? League scoring certainly plays a factor, but what’s your initial thought?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

What can you expect from Cincinnati Bengals running back Giovani Bernard in 2017?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Opportunity Depth Chart is a series about Fantasy Points Per Team Attempt, a way to identify high-value wide receiver opportunity…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

The week started off with a massive Ezekiel Elliott bombshell…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Opportunity Depth Chart is a series about Fantasy Points Per Team Attempt, a way to identify high-value wide receiver opportunity…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Like many RotoViz writers, I take a heavily numbers-based approach to fantasy football. In dynasty, whenever I get new ADP, is to compare current prices to expected prices, which I estimate using projections for next year and age. Large discrepancies between those two give me a set of players to buy or sell…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready...

Why buy a car for $20,000 when you can buy the same car with a crappy paint job for half the price? That, in a crude nutshell, is one way of looking at arbitrage, a concept the the Fantasy Douche first applied to fantasy football several years ago…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

If you want to have a shot at winning your dynasty league, you’ve got to get players on your team who will provide outsized returns relative to the cost to acquire them. Based on his dynasty ADP, most people think Emmanuel Sanders is no longer a top-24 dynasty wide receiver. He’s currently the 36th WR off the board in dynasty startups. I think this price…...

What can you expect from Philadelphia Eagles running back LeGarrette Blount in 2017?… Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

The Oakland offensive line returns three Pro Bowlers, including First-Team All-Pro Kelechi Osemele. I’m buying the whole backfield…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Three major college football programs – Alabama, Ohio State, and LSU — added new offensive coordinators this offseason. These personnel moves will not only affect their overall success in 2017 but will also play a role in shaping the 2018 draft class…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Bad football players don’t tend to win the Heisman Trophy. Derrick Henry managed to do this during his time at Alabama. He is a very talented young running back and is itching to become a fantasy superstar. But this is not going to happen in 2017, so I cannot understand why MFL10 drafters are taking him so high…. Membership Required You must be a member to access...