Neil Dutton

Lead Writer, soft spot for the tight end position. Will never stop loving Duke Johnson.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Rookies RotoViz Like More Than I Do

Following my award winning piece championing rookies that my fellow scribes are down on, it seems only fair that I turn my gaze in the opposite direction. To that end, here are players of whom I am less than enamored with, at least in relation to my colleagues here at RotoViz…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a...

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fantasy sleepers

Super-Deep Fantasy Sleepers: San Francisco 49ers

Fantasy football analysis is typically devoted to players that are likely to have an immediate impact. But to paraphrase Rod Serling, there is another land, whose boundaries are that of imagination…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Splitting the Camp – Rookies I like Better than RotoViz

War! Since the publication of the RotoViz Rookie Rankings, the RotoViz Slack channel is filled with attacks against writers by other writers. There are heroes on both sides. Evil is everywhere…well, not really. But it is evident that certain writers have stronger feelings towards some players than others…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Rebuilding From Outside the First 5 Picks: 4 Rookies to Target

RotoViz extensively covered the NFL draft with QB and TE models as well as multiple RB and WR models. During draft week, 24 writers penned 59 draft reactions. This week we released our rookie rankings. Twenty-two writers and dynasty owners ranked 60-plus rookies. This is a look at four rookies you should target in the first two rounds. Part 2 will focus on how to…...

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2017 Air Yards Projection Countdown | Mike Wallace – WR 33

Now that the draft is over I’m excited to report that I’ve finished my air yards model for NFL receivers. Well-validated models are the best and most unbiased forecast of NFL receiver production there is.((The air yards model combined four separate machine learning models into one ensemble model. The models used included a Bayesian neural net, a nearest neighbors algorithm, a random forest algorithm and a…...

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Taking a Look Under the Hood

Editor’s Note: John Lapinski won the 2017 RotoViz Writing Contest. His winning entry is here; the following version has been updated to reflect the NFL draft. If you’d like to write for RotoViz, we have a standing offer for new writers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Team Wins

Using Sabermetrics to Project 2017 NFL Team Wins

Earlier this offseason I looked at which teams got lucky in 2016 from a sabermetrics perspective regarding won-loss record. Using each team’s Pythagorean win percentage, we can use their 2017 schedules to give an estimate of wins for each team in 2017…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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mike pouncey

Can Talent Overcome Circumstances? Jay Ajayi’s 2017 Fantasy Prospects

Going into the 2016 season, me and my RotoViz Report podcast co-host Anthony Amico were on an island, given our love for Jay Ajayi as a value in the middle rounds…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Yards Per Attempt NFC East/West

Yards Per Attempt And What It Means For 2017: NFC East/West

I first read about yards before contact or “vision yards” in this article by Zero RB inventor Shawn Siegele. He explained that while it’s useful to see which running backs had the best blocking, it also helps to identify which backs got more than what was blocked on average…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log...

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LeGarrette Blount to the Eagles

Not since Greg Bell suited up for the 1990 Raiders a year after scoring 15 rushing touchdowns for the Rams has a single-season rushing touchdown leader played for a different team the next season. Sadly, Bell’s landmark is now consigned to history, after the Eagles signed former Patriots running back LeGarrette Blount to a one-year deal…. Membership Required You must be a member to access...

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Jonnu Smith

5 Rookies I Like More Than RotoViz

We posted our 2017 dynasty rookie rankings earlier this week; now it’s time for us to plant some flags as individual analysts. Here are five rookies I like more than our overall rookie rankings. Jonnu Smith, TE, Tennessee Titans RotoViz Rank 31.4 — My Rank 15 I’m handily the highest on Jonnu Smith, so let me briefly explain why. Smith earned the highest likelihood of…...

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nfl draft prospect rankings

What’s Wrong With Every First Round Rookie Pick: Picks 7 to 12

Once the NFL draft ends, there is one thing we can be certain of: Rookie Derangement Syndrome is going to set in. That means the hype and excitement over rookie picks are about to peak. Everyone wants to move up in the draft, acquire more picks, or simply get “their guy”…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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NFL Draft Marlon Mack

3 Rookies We’ve Ranked Too Low

We just released our 2017 Post-Draft rookie rankings, where 23 RotoViz contributors ranked the rookies 1-50 (or even deeper in some cases). The composite rankings are great because the provide a bit of a wisdom of the crowd approach to rookie ranks…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Keenan Allen

Mike Williams is a Contingency Plan: The Case for Keenan Allen

The Los Angeles Chargers made waves on draft day, selecting Clemson’s Mike Williams seventh overall. For a team loaded with pass catchers including Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry, Tyrell Williams, Travis Benjamin, and Dontrelle Inman, the move signified a lack of faith in Keenan Allen’s ability to stay healthy and produce at a WR1 level…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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rookie rankings

2017 Rookie Rankings: Post-Draft Edition

Now that the NFL draft is complete, and the initial wave of undrafted free agent signings is over, it’s time to update our rookie rankings. The RotoViz crew got together at our lab and cooked up a fresh batch of dynasty fantasy football rookie ranks…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Rookies RotoViz Like More Than I Do

Following my award winning piece championing rookies that my fellow scribes are down on, it seems only fair that I turn my gaze in the opposite direction. To that end, here are players of whom I am less than enamored with, at least in relation to my colleagues here at RotoViz…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a...

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fantasy sleepers

Super-Deep Fantasy Sleepers: San Francisco 49ers

Fantasy football analysis is typically devoted to players that are likely to have an immediate impact. But to paraphrase Rod Serling, there is another land, whose boundaries are that of imagination…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Splitting the Camp – Rookies I like Better than RotoViz

War! Since the publication of the RotoViz Rookie Rankings, the RotoViz Slack channel is filled with attacks against writers by other writers. There are heroes on both sides. Evil is everywhere…well, not really. But it is evident that certain writers have stronger feelings towards some players than others…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Rebuilding From Outside the First 5 Picks: 4 Rookies to Target

RotoViz extensively covered the NFL draft with QB and TE models as well as multiple RB and WR models. During draft week, 24 writers penned 59 draft reactions. This week we released our rookie rankings. Twenty-two writers and dynasty owners ranked 60-plus rookies. This is a look at four rookies you should target in the first two rounds. Part 2 will focus on how to…...

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2017 Air Yards Projection Countdown | Mike Wallace – WR 33

Now that the draft is over I’m excited to report that I’ve finished my air yards model for NFL receivers. Well-validated models are the best and most unbiased forecast of NFL receiver production there is.((The air yards model combined four separate machine learning models into one ensemble model. The models used included a Bayesian neural net, a nearest neighbors algorithm, a random forest algorithm and a…...

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Taking a Look Under the Hood

Editor’s Note: John Lapinski won the 2017 RotoViz Writing Contest. His winning entry is here; the following version has been updated to reflect the NFL draft. If you’d like to write for RotoViz, we have a standing offer for new writers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Team Wins

Using Sabermetrics to Project 2017 NFL Team Wins

Earlier this offseason I looked at which teams got lucky in 2016 from a sabermetrics perspective regarding won-loss record. Using each team’s Pythagorean win percentage, we can use their 2017 schedules to give an estimate of wins for each team in 2017…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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mike pouncey

Can Talent Overcome Circumstances? Jay Ajayi’s 2017 Fantasy Prospects

Going into the 2016 season, me and my RotoViz Report podcast co-host Anthony Amico were on an island, given our love for Jay Ajayi as a value in the middle rounds…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Yards Per Attempt NFC East/West

Yards Per Attempt And What It Means For 2017: NFC East/West

I first read about yards before contact or “vision yards” in this article by Zero RB inventor Shawn Siegele. He explained that while it’s useful to see which running backs had the best blocking, it also helps to identify which backs got more than what was blocked on average…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log...

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LeGarrette Blount to the Eagles

Not since Greg Bell suited up for the 1990 Raiders a year after scoring 15 rushing touchdowns for the Rams has a single-season rushing touchdown leader played for a different team the next season. Sadly, Bell’s landmark is now consigned to history, after the Eagles signed former Patriots running back LeGarrette Blount to a one-year deal…. Membership Required You must be a member to access...

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Jonnu Smith

5 Rookies I Like More Than RotoViz

We posted our 2017 dynasty rookie rankings earlier this week; now it’s time for us to plant some flags as individual analysts. Here are five rookies I like more than our overall rookie rankings. Jonnu Smith, TE, Tennessee Titans RotoViz Rank 31.4 — My Rank 15 I’m handily the highest on Jonnu Smith, so let me briefly explain why. Smith earned the highest likelihood of…...

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nfl draft prospect rankings

What’s Wrong With Every First Round Rookie Pick: Picks 7 to 12

Once the NFL draft ends, there is one thing we can be certain of: Rookie Derangement Syndrome is going to set in. That means the hype and excitement over rookie picks are about to peak. Everyone wants to move up in the draft, acquire more picks, or simply get “their guy”…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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NFL Draft Marlon Mack

3 Rookies We’ve Ranked Too Low

We just released our 2017 Post-Draft rookie rankings, where 23 RotoViz contributors ranked the rookies 1-50 (or even deeper in some cases). The composite rankings are great because the provide a bit of a wisdom of the crowd approach to rookie ranks…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Keenan Allen

Mike Williams is a Contingency Plan: The Case for Keenan Allen

The Los Angeles Chargers made waves on draft day, selecting Clemson’s Mike Williams seventh overall. For a team loaded with pass catchers including Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry, Tyrell Williams, Travis Benjamin, and Dontrelle Inman, the move signified a lack of faith in Keenan Allen’s ability to stay healthy and produce at a WR1 level…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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rookie rankings

2017 Rookie Rankings: Post-Draft Edition

Now that the NFL draft is complete, and the initial wave of undrafted free agent signings is over, it’s time to update our rookie rankings. The RotoViz crew got together at our lab and cooked up a fresh batch of dynasty fantasy football rookie ranks…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Rookies RotoViz Like More Than I Do

Following my award winning piece championing rookies that my fellow scribes are down on, it seems only fair that I turn my gaze in the opposite direction. To that end, here are players of whom I am less than enamored with, at least in relation to my colleagues here at RotoViz…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a...

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fantasy sleepers

Super-Deep Fantasy Sleepers: San Francisco 49ers

Fantasy football analysis is typically devoted to players that are likely to have an immediate impact. But to paraphrase Rod Serling, there is another land, whose boundaries are that of imagination…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Splitting the Camp – Rookies I like Better than RotoViz

War! Since the publication of the RotoViz Rookie Rankings, the RotoViz Slack channel is filled with attacks against writers by other writers. There are heroes on both sides. Evil is everywhere…well, not really. But it is evident that certain writers have stronger feelings towards some players than others…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

Membership Required

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Rebuilding From Outside the First 5 Picks: 4 Rookies to Target

RotoViz extensively covered the NFL draft with QB and TE models as well as multiple RB and WR models. During draft week, 24 writers penned 59 draft reactions. This week we released our rookie rankings. Twenty-two writers and dynasty owners ranked 60-plus rookies. This is a look at four rookies you should target in the first two rounds. Part 2 will focus on how to…...

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2017 Air Yards Projection Countdown | Mike Wallace – WR 33

Now that the draft is over I’m excited to report that I’ve finished my air yards model for NFL receivers. Well-validated models are the best and most unbiased forecast of NFL receiver production there is.((The air yards model combined four separate machine learning models into one ensemble model. The models used included a Bayesian neural net, a nearest neighbors algorithm, a random forest algorithm and a…...

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Taking a Look Under the Hood

Editor’s Note: John Lapinski won the 2017 RotoViz Writing Contest. His winning entry is here; the following version has been updated to reflect the NFL draft. If you’d like to write for RotoViz, we have a standing offer for new writers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Team Wins

Using Sabermetrics to Project 2017 NFL Team Wins

Earlier this offseason I looked at which teams got lucky in 2016 from a sabermetrics perspective regarding won-loss record. Using each team’s Pythagorean win percentage, we can use their 2017 schedules to give an estimate of wins for each team in 2017…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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mike pouncey

Can Talent Overcome Circumstances? Jay Ajayi’s 2017 Fantasy Prospects

Going into the 2016 season, me and my RotoViz Report podcast co-host Anthony Amico were on an island, given our love for Jay Ajayi as a value in the middle rounds…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Yards Per Attempt NFC East/West

Yards Per Attempt And What It Means For 2017: NFC East/West

I first read about yards before contact or “vision yards” in this article by Zero RB inventor Shawn Siegele. He explained that while it’s useful to see which running backs had the best blocking, it also helps to identify which backs got more than what was blocked on average…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log...

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LeGarrette Blount to the Eagles

Not since Greg Bell suited up for the 1990 Raiders a year after scoring 15 rushing touchdowns for the Rams has a single-season rushing touchdown leader played for a different team the next season. Sadly, Bell’s landmark is now consigned to history, after the Eagles signed former Patriots running back LeGarrette Blount to a one-year deal…. Membership Required You must be a member to access...

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Jonnu Smith

5 Rookies I Like More Than RotoViz

We posted our 2017 dynasty rookie rankings earlier this week; now it’s time for us to plant some flags as individual analysts. Here are five rookies I like more than our overall rookie rankings. Jonnu Smith, TE, Tennessee Titans RotoViz Rank 31.4 — My Rank 15 I’m handily the highest on Jonnu Smith, so let me briefly explain why. Smith earned the highest likelihood of…...

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nfl draft prospect rankings

What’s Wrong With Every First Round Rookie Pick: Picks 7 to 12

Once the NFL draft ends, there is one thing we can be certain of: Rookie Derangement Syndrome is going to set in. That means the hype and excitement over rookie picks are about to peak. Everyone wants to move up in the draft, acquire more picks, or simply get “their guy”…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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NFL Draft Marlon Mack

3 Rookies We’ve Ranked Too Low

We just released our 2017 Post-Draft rookie rankings, where 23 RotoViz contributors ranked the rookies 1-50 (or even deeper in some cases). The composite rankings are great because the provide a bit of a wisdom of the crowd approach to rookie ranks…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Keenan Allen

Mike Williams is a Contingency Plan: The Case for Keenan Allen

The Los Angeles Chargers made waves on draft day, selecting Clemson’s Mike Williams seventh overall. For a team loaded with pass catchers including Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry, Tyrell Williams, Travis Benjamin, and Dontrelle Inman, the move signified a lack of faith in Keenan Allen’s ability to stay healthy and produce at a WR1 level…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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rookie rankings

2017 Rookie Rankings: Post-Draft Edition

Now that the NFL draft is complete, and the initial wave of undrafted free agent signings is over, it’s time to update our rookie rankings. The RotoViz crew got together at our lab and cooked up a fresh batch of dynasty fantasy football rookie ranks…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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