Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Why Danny Woodhead Is a Trap Player and Melvin Gordon a Must Own

Earlier this summer Justin Winn provided an excellent breakdown of his Projection Machine outlook for the San Diego Chargers fantasy positions. Danny Woodhead is projected for 77 receptions compared to only 29 for Melvin Gordon. Those numbers feel right, but do they properly represent the range of outcomes? Let’s use the RotoViz Screener to get a sense of what we can expect in terms of RB receptions based…...

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One Indicator Suggests the Seahawks Could Pass a Lot More in 2016

If you haven’t had the chance yet to play around with our new Screener app, I highly recommend it. It’s an extremely powerful tool for looking at your assumptions and I now find myself keeping multiple tabs of it open throughout the day…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Fantasy playoff schedules

Can Mike Evans Finish as WR1? – Greg Auman (Tampa Bay Times): Buccaneers 2016 Preview, RotoViz Radio

July 13, 2016: RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), featuring an interview with Greg Auman of the Tampa Bay Times and a preview of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2016 season…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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One Undrafted Rookie Could Quickly Find Himself Among the Top Pass-Catching Backs

One of the most important indicators of potential breakouts is opportunity. Barriers to playing time is one variable that is important for valuing rookie running backs. Josh Ferguson is an under-appreciated talent that has an easy route to making an early impact in 2016…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DFS Contrarian

Monte Carlo Strategies to Win 2016 MFL10s – Part II

Editor’s note: This is one of two Monte Carlo simulation articles aimed at solving the best-ball puzzle, each using different assumptions. We believe doing so gives a good idea of the range of possible outcomes. For the other article by A.J. Bessette and Greg Meade, click here…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DFS Contrarian

Monte Carlo Strategies to Win 2016 MFL10s – Part I

Editor’s note: This is one of two Monte Carlo simulation articles aimed at solving the best-ball puzzle, each using different assumptions. We believe doing so gives a good idea of the range of possible outcomes. For the other article by Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc), click here…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Diary of an MFL10 Novice: July QB Thoughts

In my first article I talked about formulating a plan for the first five picks in my first MFL10 draft and covered pros and cons of a variety of positional distributions, but there was one constant: no quarterbacks. It may have been implied through not mentioning them, but let me be as clear as possible: I am as much of a believer in the ZeroQB philosophy in seasonal leagues…...

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Here Comes Duke Johnson: Jake Ciely – RotoViz Radio, 12 July 2016

July 12, 2016: RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), featuring a discussion of building player projections and Jake Ciely’s most underrated players of 2016…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Jamaal Charles ADP

Were 2015 RB Injury Rates Abnormally High?

As Ben Gretch recently noted, Zero RB is an uncomfortable strategy to fully commit to. For this reason, it comes as no surprise that the approach is still facing a level of resistance in the fantasy community. Anthony Amico has explained why the running back position could make a comeback in 2016, and there’s no denying that 2015 was a great year to be a…...

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Should You Stalk MFL’s Player List For This Canadian Collegiate?

Source: Calgary Dinos receiver Simonise works out for NFL clubs at pro day – Winnipeg Free Press Simonise worked out before scouts representing six NFL teams — New York Jets, Arizona Cardinals, Washington Redskins, Los Angeles Rams, Green Bay Packers and Indianapolis Colts. The Calgary Stampeders were the only CFL team on hand. Simonise posted a 40-yard dash time of 4.52 seconds in windy conditions…...

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Is Jarvis Landry Good? Does it Really Matter?

One of the ideas that’s most difficult to pin down when talking football is the idea of talent. Stephen Gostkowski is a very good kicker and I’ve seen arguments that say his impact on a game could be equal to a running back’s impact on a game. But how many conversations about the top players in the game would you have to have before Gostkowski’s…...

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rb watch list

Is This Fantasy RB1 Being Set Up To Fail?

Source: Turner wants to decrease Freeman’s carries in 2016 | www.myajc.com “It’s about growth,” Turner told The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. “Free had a good year, but I’m expecting even a better year. Well, you’re saying, how can it be better? It can be even better with less carries or less catches because I’d obviously like to get Tevin (Coleman) more involved and that also keeps Free…...

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Why I Can’t Pull the Trigger on 2016’s Best Blend of Opportunity and Price

If the Washington backfield stays status quo through training camp, Matt Jones will be one of the least accomplished running backs to ever enter a season as an unquestioned NFL starter…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Fantasy Asch Experiment: What Is Jonathan Stewart?

Jonathan Stewart is in the exact same situation as last year, and is getting drafted far too low in fantasy leagues. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Davante Adams Stock Has Fallen Too Far

Does anybody not named Davante Adams mom still like him? I mean other than me. Take a look at Adams dynasty value since last year. Jeff Janis is now worth more than Davante Adams. That’s…unusual. Not only has Janis barely been on the (regular season) field, he’s somehow even worse on a per-target basis, although his sample size is certainly quite small. Sure, sure, Janis could develop…...

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British Open: Fantasy Golf Projections and Picks

Welcome to my fantasy golf projections and player recommendations for the Open Championship at Royal Troon. I will first discuss some key strategy differences for this week, then get into my British Open fantasy golf projections and player recommendations…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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At Some Point, It’s OK to Draft the Good Football Player

Source: Seahawks Running Back Thomas Rawls Expects To Be Ready For Training Camp | Seattle Seahawks “Rehab is going phenomenal,” Rawls said. “Running, cutting, working hard to get back out there. I’m looking forward to being out there the first week. Rehab has been going phenomenal this whole offseason. I didn’t have a break because I’ve got to work 10 times harder. I’m excited to…...

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Betting Against History: Demaryius Thomas Is A Unicorn

Demaryius Thomas is trying to rewrite the history books of what a wide receiver can do over five seasons. If you want to own him in fantasy football, you’re betting on him to do it. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Potential for Faster Pace Leads to Ryan Tannehill’s Lofty Staff Projections

A new head coach, and yet another offensive coordinator, have entered Ryan Tannehill’s life in Miami. Tannehill has shown a few growing pains as he adjusts to another new offense, occasionally inaccurate and inconsistent. But many prominent thinkers within the game think that 2016 will be a breakout year for the fifth year man…and so does Brady Quinn. We don’t like to say breakout, but RotoViz…...

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Why Danny Woodhead Is a Trap Player and Melvin Gordon a Must Own

Earlier this summer Justin Winn provided an excellent breakdown of his Projection Machine outlook for the San Diego Chargers fantasy positions. Danny Woodhead is projected for 77 receptions compared to only 29 for Melvin Gordon. Those numbers feel right, but do they properly represent the range of outcomes? Let’s use the RotoViz Screener to get a sense of what we can expect in terms of RB receptions based…...

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One Indicator Suggests the Seahawks Could Pass a Lot More in 2016

If you haven’t had the chance yet to play around with our new Screener app, I highly recommend it. It’s an extremely powerful tool for looking at your assumptions and I now find myself keeping multiple tabs of it open throughout the day…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Fantasy playoff schedules

Can Mike Evans Finish as WR1? – Greg Auman (Tampa Bay Times): Buccaneers 2016 Preview, RotoViz Radio

July 13, 2016: RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), featuring an interview with Greg Auman of the Tampa Bay Times and a preview of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2016 season…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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One Undrafted Rookie Could Quickly Find Himself Among the Top Pass-Catching Backs

One of the most important indicators of potential breakouts is opportunity. Barriers to playing time is one variable that is important for valuing rookie running backs. Josh Ferguson is an under-appreciated talent that has an easy route to making an early impact in 2016…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DFS Contrarian

Monte Carlo Strategies to Win 2016 MFL10s – Part II

Editor’s note: This is one of two Monte Carlo simulation articles aimed at solving the best-ball puzzle, each using different assumptions. We believe doing so gives a good idea of the range of possible outcomes. For the other article by A.J. Bessette and Greg Meade, click here…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DFS Contrarian

Monte Carlo Strategies to Win 2016 MFL10s – Part I

Editor’s note: This is one of two Monte Carlo simulation articles aimed at solving the best-ball puzzle, each using different assumptions. We believe doing so gives a good idea of the range of possible outcomes. For the other article by Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc), click here…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Diary of an MFL10 Novice: July QB Thoughts

In my first article I talked about formulating a plan for the first five picks in my first MFL10 draft and covered pros and cons of a variety of positional distributions, but there was one constant: no quarterbacks. It may have been implied through not mentioning them, but let me be as clear as possible: I am as much of a believer in the ZeroQB philosophy in seasonal leagues…...

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Here Comes Duke Johnson: Jake Ciely – RotoViz Radio, 12 July 2016

July 12, 2016: RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), featuring a discussion of building player projections and Jake Ciely’s most underrated players of 2016…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Jamaal Charles ADP

Were 2015 RB Injury Rates Abnormally High?

As Ben Gretch recently noted, Zero RB is an uncomfortable strategy to fully commit to. For this reason, it comes as no surprise that the approach is still facing a level of resistance in the fantasy community. Anthony Amico has explained why the running back position could make a comeback in 2016, and there’s no denying that 2015 was a great year to be a…...

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Should You Stalk MFL’s Player List For This Canadian Collegiate?

Source: Calgary Dinos receiver Simonise works out for NFL clubs at pro day – Winnipeg Free Press Simonise worked out before scouts representing six NFL teams — New York Jets, Arizona Cardinals, Washington Redskins, Los Angeles Rams, Green Bay Packers and Indianapolis Colts. The Calgary Stampeders were the only CFL team on hand. Simonise posted a 40-yard dash time of 4.52 seconds in windy conditions…...

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Is Jarvis Landry Good? Does it Really Matter?

One of the ideas that’s most difficult to pin down when talking football is the idea of talent. Stephen Gostkowski is a very good kicker and I’ve seen arguments that say his impact on a game could be equal to a running back’s impact on a game. But how many conversations about the top players in the game would you have to have before Gostkowski’s…...

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rb watch list

Is This Fantasy RB1 Being Set Up To Fail?

Source: Turner wants to decrease Freeman’s carries in 2016 | www.myajc.com “It’s about growth,” Turner told The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. “Free had a good year, but I’m expecting even a better year. Well, you’re saying, how can it be better? It can be even better with less carries or less catches because I’d obviously like to get Tevin (Coleman) more involved and that also keeps Free…...

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Why I Can’t Pull the Trigger on 2016’s Best Blend of Opportunity and Price

If the Washington backfield stays status quo through training camp, Matt Jones will be one of the least accomplished running backs to ever enter a season as an unquestioned NFL starter…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Fantasy Asch Experiment: What Is Jonathan Stewart?

Jonathan Stewart is in the exact same situation as last year, and is getting drafted far too low in fantasy leagues. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Davante Adams Stock Has Fallen Too Far

Does anybody not named Davante Adams mom still like him? I mean other than me. Take a look at Adams dynasty value since last year. Jeff Janis is now worth more than Davante Adams. That’s…unusual. Not only has Janis barely been on the (regular season) field, he’s somehow even worse on a per-target basis, although his sample size is certainly quite small. Sure, sure, Janis could develop…...

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British Open: Fantasy Golf Projections and Picks

Welcome to my fantasy golf projections and player recommendations for the Open Championship at Royal Troon. I will first discuss some key strategy differences for this week, then get into my British Open fantasy golf projections and player recommendations…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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At Some Point, It’s OK to Draft the Good Football Player

Source: Seahawks Running Back Thomas Rawls Expects To Be Ready For Training Camp | Seattle Seahawks “Rehab is going phenomenal,” Rawls said. “Running, cutting, working hard to get back out there. I’m looking forward to being out there the first week. Rehab has been going phenomenal this whole offseason. I didn’t have a break because I’ve got to work 10 times harder. I’m excited to…...

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Betting Against History: Demaryius Thomas Is A Unicorn

Demaryius Thomas is trying to rewrite the history books of what a wide receiver can do over five seasons. If you want to own him in fantasy football, you’re betting on him to do it. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Potential for Faster Pace Leads to Ryan Tannehill’s Lofty Staff Projections

A new head coach, and yet another offensive coordinator, have entered Ryan Tannehill’s life in Miami. Tannehill has shown a few growing pains as he adjusts to another new offense, occasionally inaccurate and inconsistent. But many prominent thinkers within the game think that 2016 will be a breakout year for the fifth year man…and so does Brady Quinn. We don’t like to say breakout, but RotoViz…...

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Why Danny Woodhead Is a Trap Player and Melvin Gordon a Must Own

Earlier this summer Justin Winn provided an excellent breakdown of his Projection Machine outlook for the San Diego Chargers fantasy positions. Danny Woodhead is projected for 77 receptions compared to only 29 for Melvin Gordon. Those numbers feel right, but do they properly represent the range of outcomes? Let’s use the RotoViz Screener to get a sense of what we can expect in terms of RB receptions based…...

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One Indicator Suggests the Seahawks Could Pass a Lot More in 2016

If you haven’t had the chance yet to play around with our new Screener app, I highly recommend it. It’s an extremely powerful tool for looking at your assumptions and I now find myself keeping multiple tabs of it open throughout the day…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Fantasy playoff schedules

Can Mike Evans Finish as WR1? – Greg Auman (Tampa Bay Times): Buccaneers 2016 Preview, RotoViz Radio

July 13, 2016: RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), featuring an interview with Greg Auman of the Tampa Bay Times and a preview of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2016 season…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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One Undrafted Rookie Could Quickly Find Himself Among the Top Pass-Catching Backs

One of the most important indicators of potential breakouts is opportunity. Barriers to playing time is one variable that is important for valuing rookie running backs. Josh Ferguson is an under-appreciated talent that has an easy route to making an early impact in 2016…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DFS Contrarian

Monte Carlo Strategies to Win 2016 MFL10s – Part II

Editor’s note: This is one of two Monte Carlo simulation articles aimed at solving the best-ball puzzle, each using different assumptions. We believe doing so gives a good idea of the range of possible outcomes. For the other article by A.J. Bessette and Greg Meade, click here…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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DFS Contrarian

Monte Carlo Strategies to Win 2016 MFL10s – Part I

Editor’s note: This is one of two Monte Carlo simulation articles aimed at solving the best-ball puzzle, each using different assumptions. We believe doing so gives a good idea of the range of possible outcomes. For the other article by Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc), click here…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Diary of an MFL10 Novice: July QB Thoughts

In my first article I talked about formulating a plan for the first five picks in my first MFL10 draft and covered pros and cons of a variety of positional distributions, but there was one constant: no quarterbacks. It may have been implied through not mentioning them, but let me be as clear as possible: I am as much of a believer in the ZeroQB philosophy in seasonal leagues…...

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Here Comes Duke Johnson: Jake Ciely – RotoViz Radio, 12 July 2016

July 12, 2016: RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), featuring a discussion of building player projections and Jake Ciely’s most underrated players of 2016…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Jamaal Charles ADP

Were 2015 RB Injury Rates Abnormally High?

As Ben Gretch recently noted, Zero RB is an uncomfortable strategy to fully commit to. For this reason, it comes as no surprise that the approach is still facing a level of resistance in the fantasy community. Anthony Amico has explained why the running back position could make a comeback in 2016, and there’s no denying that 2015 was a great year to be a…...

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Should You Stalk MFL’s Player List For This Canadian Collegiate?

Source: Calgary Dinos receiver Simonise works out for NFL clubs at pro day – Winnipeg Free Press Simonise worked out before scouts representing six NFL teams — New York Jets, Arizona Cardinals, Washington Redskins, Los Angeles Rams, Green Bay Packers and Indianapolis Colts. The Calgary Stampeders were the only CFL team on hand. Simonise posted a 40-yard dash time of 4.52 seconds in windy conditions…...

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Is Jarvis Landry Good? Does it Really Matter?

One of the ideas that’s most difficult to pin down when talking football is the idea of talent. Stephen Gostkowski is a very good kicker and I’ve seen arguments that say his impact on a game could be equal to a running back’s impact on a game. But how many conversations about the top players in the game would you have to have before Gostkowski’s…...

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rb watch list

Is This Fantasy RB1 Being Set Up To Fail?

Source: Turner wants to decrease Freeman’s carries in 2016 | www.myajc.com “It’s about growth,” Turner told The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. “Free had a good year, but I’m expecting even a better year. Well, you’re saying, how can it be better? It can be even better with less carries or less catches because I’d obviously like to get Tevin (Coleman) more involved and that also keeps Free…...

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Why I Can’t Pull the Trigger on 2016’s Best Blend of Opportunity and Price

If the Washington backfield stays status quo through training camp, Matt Jones will be one of the least accomplished running backs to ever enter a season as an unquestioned NFL starter…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Fantasy Asch Experiment: What Is Jonathan Stewart?

Jonathan Stewart is in the exact same situation as last year, and is getting drafted far too low in fantasy leagues. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Davante Adams Stock Has Fallen Too Far

Does anybody not named Davante Adams mom still like him? I mean other than me. Take a look at Adams dynasty value since last year. Jeff Janis is now worth more than Davante Adams. That’s…unusual. Not only has Janis barely been on the (regular season) field, he’s somehow even worse on a per-target basis, although his sample size is certainly quite small. Sure, sure, Janis could develop…...

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British Open: Fantasy Golf Projections and Picks

Welcome to my fantasy golf projections and player recommendations for the Open Championship at Royal Troon. I will first discuss some key strategy differences for this week, then get into my British Open fantasy golf projections and player recommendations…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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At Some Point, It’s OK to Draft the Good Football Player

Source: Seahawks Running Back Thomas Rawls Expects To Be Ready For Training Camp | Seattle Seahawks “Rehab is going phenomenal,” Rawls said. “Running, cutting, working hard to get back out there. I’m looking forward to being out there the first week. Rehab has been going phenomenal this whole offseason. I didn’t have a break because I’ve got to work 10 times harder. I’m excited to…...

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Betting Against History: Demaryius Thomas Is A Unicorn

Demaryius Thomas is trying to rewrite the history books of what a wide receiver can do over five seasons. If you want to own him in fantasy football, you’re betting on him to do it. … Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Potential for Faster Pace Leads to Ryan Tannehill’s Lofty Staff Projections

A new head coach, and yet another offensive coordinator, have entered Ryan Tannehill’s life in Miami. Tannehill has shown a few growing pains as he adjusts to another new offense, occasionally inaccurate and inconsistent. But many prominent thinkers within the game think that 2016 will be a breakout year for the fifth year man…and so does Brady Quinn. We don’t like to say breakout, but RotoViz…...

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