Dynasty

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

What Metrics Are Most Important for WR Evaluation? Machine Learning Provides Several Surprising Answers – The Wrong Read, No. 68

In the 68th edition of the Wrong Read, Blair Andrews uses a random forest to help you find the most important metrics for wide receiver evaluation. A couple of years ago, I did a fun study called the Ultimate WR Prospect Metrics Guide to determine which metrics best correlated with NFL success. That was a good first step, but it had a couple of holes…....

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RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty Leagues – Positional Value and Trade Opportunities in Round 1

The 2021 RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty Leagues have launched, and we’re excited to be involved in this fantastic new product from the FFPC. The new format adds a starting WR spot and includes three flexes, one of which can be a QB. So how do you attack this new format which combines the great interface and customer service of the FFPC with a deeper starting lineup?…...

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Pro Day Times and How You Can Gain an Edge by Doing Nothing At All

The year is 2021 and we are still having the same debate that’s been going on for over 10 years. It is particularly poignant this year with the cancellation of the NFL combine due to COVID-19. Why are pro day forty times faster than combine forty times and should we be adjusting them to get an apples-to-apples comparison with official combine laser timing? With no…...

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2021 Breakaway Rush Scores: The Backs That Exploded In One of Our Most Important Metrics

Dave Caban unveils his 2021 RB Breakaway Rush Scores — a metric that has proven to be one of the most predictive measures of NFL success for RB prospects. It’s easy to love explosive running backs — players that can take a handoff, find a hole, juke past a linebacker, and race to the end zone. These are the type of plays that circle through…...

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The Makings of An RB1: How to Maximize Your Chances of Selecting Elite RBs in Dynasty

Elite running backs are a precious commodity in dynasty fantasy football. Dave Caban outlines a simple way to maximize your chances of finding tomorrow’s stars. Earlier this month I used regression tree analysis to better understand wide receiver prospect profiles. Regression trees help us to understand the mixture of attributes that tend to drive NFL performance and provide a visual way to understand how these…...

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Top 15 Future NFL Stars Returning to College Football

Believe it or not, it’s time to start talking about the 2021 College Football season! Spring practices are already in bloom. Spring games are kicking off here soon. Early enrollees have been on campus for weeks now. Most transfers are finalized. Some impatient devy fantasy football drafts are already in progress. It’s time we talk about the next generation of future NFL stars set to…...

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Dynasty Rankings Update: Where Do WRs Like Kenny Golladay, Will Fuller, and Curtis Samuel Rank Now?

Shawn Siegele updates his dynasty rankings with most of the big free agent WRs off the board. Where do Kenny Golladay, Will Fuller, and Curtis Samuel rank after changing teams? As free agency winds down and pro days continue at a fevered pace, Sam Wallace and I find ourselves embroiled in Scott Barrett’s Animal Shelter startup. Any dynasty startup is a blast, but this format…...

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Dynasty Trading – Rebalancing Your Assets

In Dynasty Trading, Curtis Patrick journals moves from his own dynasty fantasy football leagues.  I’ve been a trade-hound this month. On the low side, I’ll estimate I’ve sent something like 50 offers across 11 leagues, and that’s not including a flurry of activity in my latest dynasty startup. Dynasty trading is essential to finding sustained success. Trading can help you address an injury or a retirement…....

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Jonathan Taylor’s Rookie Comps Are Awesome, But Even They Understate His 2021 Upside

Amr Gabr examines the Jonathan Taylor disconnect between fantasy owners and NFL GMs. Were the armchair experts right all along? And what does this mean for his chances to join the truly elite in 2021? Fantasy and draft Twitter collectively had few questions about Wisconsin star Jonathan Taylor as he headed into the 2020 NFL draft. The consensus RB1 was often considered the next great…...

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Finding Touchdowns With The New Running Back Freak Score

Freak Score is our home-grown size-adjusted speed metric that uses height, weight, and speed to project the TD-scoring potential for NFL prospects. Unlike many other measures for an NFL prospect’s size/athleticism profile, the Freak Score incorporates player height. Since its inception 6 years ago the NFL has seen a great many changing trends, but the Freak Score has remained a top predictor. I recently went…...

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The 2021 Backfield Dominator Ratings Uncover 3 Sleepers and 1 Surprising Superstar in the Making

Every year there are college running backs whose counting stats underrate (or overrate) their true ability. This is especially true following the 2020 season, in which many teams played only a handful of games. Among the most powerful adjustments we can make in order to correct for the problem of counting stats is to use the Backfield Dominator Rating (BDR). If you’ve forgotten or perhaps…...

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The Prospect Workout Explorer is Here and It Boasts A Bevy of Super Useful Features

D.K. Metcalf turned heads and raised his draft stock at the 2018 NFL combine by displaying an incredible mixture of straight-line speed, leaping ability, and strength. He posted a 4.33 forty-yard dash, a broad jump of 134 inches, a vertical leap of 40.5 inches, and 27 reps on the bench press. I can tell you that those numbers are insane, but with no context, it’s…...

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2021 Superflex Dynasty Mock: Round 5 is the Time of Reckoning For Dynasty Managers

Sam Wallace breaks down Round 5 of a 2021 Superflex dynasty startup and explains why this is the round that truly separates dynasty managers as a massive tier break looms large. In the Dynasty Draft-Off series, Shawn Siegele and I are in a pitched battle to see who can build the best startup rosters. We’ll alternate picks with each of us responsible for six squads…....

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6 Years In And Freak Score Is Still Finding You Touchdowns

Freak Score is our home grown size adjusted speed metric that uses height, weight, and speed to project the TD-scoring potential for NFL prospects. Unlike many other measures for an NFL prospect’s size/athleticism profile, the Freak Score incorporates player height. Since its inception 6 years ago the NFL has seen a great many changing trends, but the Freak Score has remained a top predictor. The Freak…...

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Dynasty Draft Navigator 1.0

Curtis Patrick emerges from the Command Center with a new reference tool for your next dynasty SuperFlex TE Premium startup draft — the Dynasty Draft Navigator. When you essentially never stop staring at the same information, it can be difficult to stay sharp. This is especially true of dynasty rankings, tiers, and other value tools. I plan on entering two or three new dynasty startups this…...

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The Raiders Wanted Henry Ruggs to Be Their Tyreek Hill, But Is He Actually Another Mecole Hardman?

There was great excitement within the Las Vegas Raiders after taking Henry Ruggs III with the 12th overall selection in the 2020 NFL Draft. Ruggs had blazed a 4.27 forty-yard dash time in the pre-draft process, and the feeling was that the Raiders had found their own version of Tyreek Hill. This would give them an offensive piece to use as they attempted to go…...

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Jalen Reagor’s Rookie Campaign Was Disappointing, But You’re Probably Too Low on Him in 2021

Wide receiver is a position that the Philadelphia Eagles have struggled to get production from in recent years. You have to go back to 2014 for the last time an Eagles wideout — Jeremy Maclin — crested 1,000 receiving yards. But they have certainly tried to find playmakers at the WR spot over the years. A year after re-acquiring DeSean Jackson and drafting J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, neither of…...

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Jerry Jeudy’s Rookie Season Comps Display a Wide Range of Outcomes, But a Breakout May Be On the Horizon

Going into the 2020 NFL season, the Denver Broncos offense had the hallmarks of a unit that could surprise the league. While not 100% sure that Drew Lock was the answer at quarterback, the Broncos were going to give him a chance to succeed. They already had Courtland Sutton and Noah Fant, but in the first round of the draft, they added Alabama wide receiver…...

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Improvements to Breakout Age Make It Even More Effective in Locating Wide Receiver Gems

It’s rookie season again in the NFL analytics community and the fights are already starting at the wide receiver position. Be prepared to stumble into many arguments over how Jaylen Waddle failed to breakout or how it took Devonta Smith until his fourth and senior season to achieve his breakout all while we are forced to use Ja’Marr Chase’s age-adjusted production from 2019 due to…...

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A.J. Dillon Might Not Be the Next Derrick Henry, but His Comps Suggest We Haven’t Seen His Ceiling Yet

Last week, as part of the RotoViz Rookie Review Series, I took a look at Rams running back Cam Akers and some of his closest rookie comps according to the RotoViz Screener. For this week’s article, I take a look at yet another running back, but one who saw significantly less work than Akers did in 2020. The Green Bay Packers had a controversial rookie draft class. Coming off…...

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