If you missed my first article introducing the “Joe 2 Pro” series, you can read it here. It gives a brief overview on how to attack daily fantasy sports without feeling like you’re drowning. What I am trying to do with the Joe 2 Pro series is bring up topics regarding daily fantasy sports that I wish I knew about when I had first started playing. There’s definitely a learning curve when you go from seasonal leagues to daily fantasy sports.
Trying to decide which games to join on a weekly basis seems to be a pretty common question in the daily fantasy sports industry, and I noticed some readers were curious about how I approach my games. For starters, I don’t play any more more than 14 percent of my bankroll in a given week. I normally stay within the 10 to 14 percent range. By doing this you’re able to absorb some of the losses you may face during the season without going bankrupt. The NFL season is a grind, not a sprint. If you’re putting the majority of your bankroll out in a given week and your teams don’t hit, it’s going to be trouble.
The majority of my play is built around cash games. Meaning head-to-head and 50/50 games. 50/50 games can offer some safety because with a great score you’ll likely cash 100 percent of the time. However, if you enter many of them and your team has a poor outing, you’re not going to cash in any of them. In head-to-head games, you could put together a poor score and still maybe scrape by with a few wins.
I usually invest seven percent of my bankroll in head-to-head (H2H) games, three percent in 50/50s and two percent in tournaments or GPPs. There are some guys I know who only play 50/50 games and avoid H2H all together. It just comes down to personal preference and how risk averse you are.
Week 6 Thought Process
I am immediately drawn to the Chicago Bears and Atlanta Falcons game because of the high O/U under at 53.5. Matt Ryan at home with a high projected total is almost an auto-play for me. The Falcons have the fewest rushing attempts in the league and have a very putrid defense against a Bears offense that is more than capable of putting up points. Matt Forte is expensive, but could be worth it against a defense that gives up 32.4 fantasy points per game to running backs. I like both Ryan and Jay Cutler as cash game plays this week. The whole Bears offense is in play this week. Julio Jones is the obvious wide receiver to start for Atlanta, and Roddy White could also be in play at his price point.
Eli Manning could also be in play this weekend against an Eagles defense that gives up the second most FPPG to quarterbacks this year. The Eagles defense allows a league high 74 offensive plays per game, while the Giants run the fifth most plays in the league at 68 player per game. There should be no shortage of offensive production this week for Manning and the Giants.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins played 98 percent of the snaps in Week 4 and 95 percent in Week 5. This is the kind of thing you want to look for when looking for a cheap tight end for your daily fantasy sports team. Vincent Jackson is also battling an injury right now, so ASJ could be even more of a factor.
Andre Ellington makes for a great play at running back on both DraftKings and FanDuel this week. The RB corps I construct my cash game lineups around is going to be a mix of Le’Veon Bell, Matt Forte, and Andre Ellington. Giovanni Bernard might deserve a look with AJ Green looking like he’ll be out.
With the loss of Montee Ball and how suspect the Jets secondary is, you should be seeking some exposure to the Broncos passing game, whether it’s with Peyton Manning or his WRs. That said, I am not a fan of the price point of Emmanuel Sanders on both sites this week. Take another high volume WR in Golden Tate at a much cheaper price tag.
Russell Wilson, like every week this year, remains under priced throughout the industry. If you’re over-thinking the QB position this week, just plug Wilson into your roster and sleep soundly knowing you’re guaranteed a top 10 QB play without overpaying. Wilson has scored 16 points or more in 100 percent of his games this year, with half of those games being over 20 points. Wilson remains underrated and I am not sure why.
I just wanted to thank everyone for all the positive feedback I have received from these articles. It is greatly appreciated. If any of you have anything you might want covered in future articles, feel free to comment below. I’m here to help! Good luck in Week 6 to everyone.
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