If you missed my first article introducing the “Joe 2 Pro” series, you can read it here. It gives a brief overview on how to attack daily fantasy football without feeling like you’re drowning. What I am trying to do with the Joe 2 Pro series is bring up topics regarding daily fantasy football that I wish I knew about when I had first started playing. There’s definitely a learning curve when you go from seasonal leagues to daily fantasy football.
With the short week because of Thanksgiving, and other time constraints, my Joe 2 Pro article is going to have a little different format than usual. I’ve put together a quick-start guide on some of the plays I am looking at for my daily fantasy football rosters as we head into Week 13.
Week 13 Quick Start Guide
With an over/under of 58.5 you probably can’t go wrong selecting Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers this week. Andrew Luck disappointed last week against the lowly Jaguars, but this week his matchup is even better against a horrid Washington secondary that gives Luck the second-best matchup according to the RotoViz Buy Low Machine.
If you’re looking to save at QB this week, I am most likely leaning towards Ben Roethlisberger who has some extreme home/road splits. Luckily for us, he’s at home this week against a New Orleans defense that just got throttled by the Ravens.
I’ve used Le’Veon Bell 11 of the 11 weeks he’s been available for fantasy goodness. He’s normally been very under-priced relative to his skill-set and workload and now his price has seen a substantial increase. I don’t care. Bell is one of the safest plays you can have for your DFS rosters. He has over 20 touches in eight of his games this year and he has 17 percent market share through the air. Next up, the Saints “defense” who just got torched by Justin Forsett on Monday night.
Tre Mason makes for an intriguing discounted RB this week as they host Oakland and they’re 7-point favorites. Home favorite RBs are among my favorite type of RBs to plug into my DFS lineup.
Andre Ellington is another RB that I am partial to this week. He’s moderately priced around the industry, and faces an Atlanta rush defense that is more than generous to opposing offenses, as they give up the third-most FPPG to RBs.
An obvious, but one of the safest plays at WR every week is Antonio Brown. New Orleans has the third-worst adjusted DVOA against No. 1 WRs according to Football Outsiders, and Brown has 30 percent market share among his teammates.
I think it’s good news for DeAndre Hopkins that Ryan Fitzpatrick has taken control of this offense again.
In weeks 1-10, Johnson has had more of the market share among the two WRs, but Hopkins has been way more efficient with his targets. If I am taking a Texans WR, I am leaning Hopkins.
Reggie Wayne could make for a safe cash game play as he is substantially cheaper than his WR counterpart, T.Y. Hilton. Wayne’s price point and matchup make him an appealing option for me in Week 13.
Tight end can be one of the more difficult positions to try and figure out how to manage on a week-to-week basis. Or you can just select Rob Gronkowski and go from there. If I am not paying up for Gronk, I am probably looking at Travis Kelce.
Kelce has been an intriguing option all year at TE. However, his usage has been frustrating under Andy Reid. Per Pro Football Focus Kelce has only run 218 pass routes, which is 28th in the league. On the flip side of that, among TEs Kelce ranks second in the league in yards per route run at 2.49, he’s tied for second in fantasy points per snap at .54 (tied with Julius Thomas, ahead of Jimmy Graham) and he has the sixth-most receiving yards despite his inconsistent usage. Starting Kelce doesn’t come without the risks, but with the boom or bust nature with the majority of TEs, Kelce could be worth the risk at a modest price point across the industry.
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