Joe 2 Pro: Daily Fantasy Football – How to Navigate Week 17

Ben Roethlisberger

If you missed my first article introducing the “Joe 2 Pro” series, you can read it here. It gives a brief overview on how to attack daily fantasy football without feeling like you’re drowning. What I am trying to do with the Joe 2 Pro series is bring up topics regarding daily fantasy football that I wish I knew about when I had first started playing. There’s definitely a learning curve when you go from seasonal leagues to daily fantasy football.

For Week 17 it is very important to pay attention to which playoff-bound teams don’t have much on the line. You don’t want to risk starting players who may sit at any point throughout the game. I’ve provided a link of possible playoff scenarios for every team so that you can see which players you should look to avoid or target.

Quarterbacks

The two QBs I am looking at for Week 17 are Ben Roethlisberger and Matt Ryan. I like both of these players because each of their teams’ playoff hopes are in their hands on Sunday. The Steelers take their division with a win, and the same goes for the Falcons.

GLSP_Projections_-_QB_-_RotoViz

Ryan has a great looking median projection at 18.5. His high projection on DraftKings would be slightly higher because of the three-point bonus QBs receive at 300 yards. Roethlisberger has insane home/road splits this year, and three weeks ago he threw for 350 yards and three TDs on this Bengals team.

The_Game_Splits_App_-_RotoViz

Running Backs

I am definitely going to try and fit in Le’Veon Bell. Despite Bell’s high price tag, it’s hard to get away from the volume of touches he receives per game, currently 24. Along with that, he’s a running back that has 17 percent market share of team pass targets. Bell is essentially two players for the price of one. He’s also one of the more efficient pass-catchers on the team.

NAMETRGSTRGMSreEPreFPOEreFPOEPT
Antonio Brown1680.299204.7385.170.51
Martavis Bryant460.13355.6951.611.12
Le'Veon Bell990.17698.7135.190.36
Markus Wheaton820.14689.311.40.14
Heath Miller840.149104.2111.290.13
Lance Moore260.05934.44.40.17
Justin Brown210.09727.58-12.18-0.58

C.J. Anderson’s price tag has gone up, but not enough to keep me from using him. Once again, his price tag has not caught up to his production. His price rose $500 on FanDuel and a measly $100 on DraftKings. Week 16 marked Anderson’s fourth game in five weeks where he racked up 26 touches or more. Denver will receive a first round bye with a win or a Bengals loss. The Bengals don’t play until Sunday night, so the Broncos are going to be playing at full strength. The Raiders offer the second-best matchup for RBs using the RotoViz Buy Low Machine. Another RB I love is Jeremy Hill. Partly because the Bengals have something to play for, and he’s been a great RB in general this season.

NAMEruATTSruATTMSruEPruFPOEruFPOEPA
Jeremy Hill860.49440.1730.630.36
Giovani Bernard560.32220.631.970.04

This table is from Week 12 when Giovani Bernard first returned from injury, until now. Hill has been the most efficient of the two RBs, along with receiving the lion’s share of the carries. Hill still has a modest price point around the industry, and a great matchup against the Steelers.

Wide Receivers

If you want to roster Bell, you’re going to have to dig pretty deep and sacrifice at tight end and wide receiver. Some low-priced WRs I’m looking at include Marqise Lee, Charles Johnson, Andre Johnson, and Jarvis Landry. Lee has the second-best matchup using the RotoViz Buy Low Machine, and he has six or more targets in each of the last four weeks.

NAMETRGSTRGMSreEPreFPOEreFPOEPT
Marqise Lee360.21642.761.540.04
Allen Hurns370.22241.21-7.01-0.19
Cecil Shorts390.23444.93-23.93-0.61

Lee has actually been the only efficient Jaguars WR since Week 12. Lee makes for a risky cash game play, but we’re going to have to dig a little deeper to roster Bell.

NAMETRGSTRGMSreEPreFPOEreFPOEPT
Jarius Wright170.11618.3125.191.48
Greg Jennings270.18433.9323.470.87
Charles Johnson (2)360.24539.5317.570.49
Adam Thielen10.041.020.680.68
Cordarrelle Patterson70.0487.10.60.09

Johnson hasn’t been blowing up the box score, but he’s been the most targeted Vikings WR since Week 12, and one of my favorite reasons for liking him is because he has played 90 percent or more of the snaps for the team in that same span. We at least know he’s going to be on the field for a large percentage of plays. Andre Johnson hasn’t been all that spectacular this season as DeAndre Hopkins has seen the most production of the two Texan’s WRs. However, Johnson played all of the snaps after coming back from his concussion and Case Keenum targeted him 13 times.

The_Game_Splits_App_-_RotoViz

Looking at his splits when Keenum has played, I don’t think those 13 targets are a mirage. Johnson has a great price on DraftKings and FanDuel in Week 17. He should make for a high floor play. Using Landry simply comes down to the amount of targets that he is receiving compared to everyone else on the team. He’s reached double-digit targets since three times since Week 12, including 11 targets against the Jets in Week 13. Mike Wallace is only priced slightly higher than him. I’d also be fine with Wallace. If you’re not rostering Bell, you’ll have a little more flexibility and it could be a little easier trying to balance out your team.

Tight Ends

I am not going to go near the Patriots and Rob Gronkowski because I don’t imagine them playing starters very much. Quite honestly there are only two TEs that I am looking to play. Greg Olsen and Delanie Walker.

NAMETRGSTRGMSreEPreFPOEreFPOEPT
Greg Olsen1200.229138.1637.040.31
Delanie Walker950.211112.7420.660.22

Walker and Olsen have both been fairly efficient among TEs. Olsen is currently the No. 2 TE in overall in fantasy among TEs (tied with Jimmy Graham) and Walker is sitting at TE No. 7. Olsen has been one of the more consistent TEs in the league, which is a rarity in such a volatile position. He has 11 games over 50 receiving yards, along with 11 games that include five receptions or more. Aside from Jonathan Stewart, he’s also leading the Panthers in red zone touches, with 18. The Colts are one of the worst teams at defending the TE as they rank as the fourth-best matchup for TEs using the RotoViz Buy Low Machine.

The_Game_Splits_App_-_RotoViz

Walker’s production has decreased a little with Whitehurst under center, but not enough to make me get away from him this week. One thing to keep in mind is the Colts don’t have much to play for, which makes him and his price a little more appealing come Sunday.

Good luck to everybody in Week 17!

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