Using the Dynasty ADP App for Fun and Profit – Part I

The Dynasty ADP App does more than just provide current dynasty ADP. It also reveals long term trends, compares player values, helps you analyze trades, and will even import and diagnose your specific dynasty league(s). This tutorial breaks it all down.

Dynasty ADP

Let’s start with the core functionality. The Dynasty ADP App gets all its data from My Fantasy League, which hosts literally thousands of dynasty leagues. Because we’re plugged in to their API, the data is always fresh and relevant. It’s also historical, as we’ll see in a minute. To begin, let’s set our filter options.

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  • Position – Analyze data for one, two, three, or all four positions.
  • QB Starters – Select one for traditional dynasty leagues; select two for Superflex leagues.
  • Draft Type – Select startup or rookie.
  • Select a date range – This is the most important filter in my opinion. It lets you analyze ADP during any given date range, going back to 2008.

Now let’s take a look at the output.

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The output comes in table form and is sorted by overall ADP. I’ve circled the column headings to point out that you can re-sort the table by clicking on any column header. Also you can use the search box at the top-right of the table to search for a specific player.

The “Player” and “Position” columns are self explanatory but let’s briefly review the rest.

  • Positional ADP – the player’s ADP rank within their own position. In this example, Odell Beckham is the first wide receiver drafted, Antonio Brown is the second, and so on.
  • Overall ADP – the player’s ADP rank regardless of position. In this example, Todd Gurley has a positional ADP of 1.0, as the first running back taken, but an overall ADP of 6.8.
  • Standard Deviation – A measure of how variable the player’s ADP is. Lower is more consistent. For example, DeAndre Hopkins and Julio Jones have the same ADP (3.8). But Hopkins has a slightly higher standard deviation, which means he’s selected at a greater range of picks than Jones. In other words, Jones’ ADP is more “locked in” than Hopkins.
  • Drafted – The number of drafts (either startup or rookie, whichever you’ve selected) in which the player was selected. It’s your sample size. A larger sample of drafts will give you more accurate ADP.

But wait, there’s more. Scroll to the bottom of the table and check this out.

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The number of entries and buttons to click to following pages of ADP data are straightforward, but those boxes underneath each column are less obvious. They’re actually column filters. So you could type “WR” in the POS box to view only WR ADP. Or you could type a name (full or partial) in the “Name” box to search for a player, like this.

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Another useful tip is to plug a number into the “Drafted” box. In the previous screenshot you can see that there are 402 players that have an ADP. That’s a lot of players. But remember we can sort by the “Drafted” column. If I do that, I see that the maximum number of times drafted in this date range is 55. So, let’s plug “55” into the “Drafted” column filter.

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Now my table of results includes just 133 players. More specifically, it includes only the 133 players that were selected in all 55 drafts.1

I mentioned at the beginning that you can use the date range filter to look at ADP values during different time frames. There’s another way to drill down into changes over time, which brings us to the next tab in the app.

Focus Players

The Focus Players tab graphs the ADP changes for one – or several – players over whatever date range you select. For example, here’s Martavis Bryant‘s ADP from January to early April 2016.

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Each red dot symbolizes one dynasty draft. The red line represents the best-fit trend during the date range. You can select multiple players to compare; let’s add Josh Gordon.

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There are a number of applications for this, but most simply it tells you who’s trending up and who’s trending down. It also might help you identify exploitable opportunities. For example, if you think Bryant will return to action in 2017 and continue to be electrifying, then that ADP plunge would represent a buying opportunity for you. If you also believe Gordon will return after his suspension, you might be disappointed to see that his ADP has held steady, so there’s less chance for a discount.

We’re actually only halfway through the Dynasty ADP App. There are two more tabs of awesomeness to come in a follow up article.

  1. Several other apps have these column filters as well; they’re an underrated way to isolate data.  (back)