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Week 4 Quarterback Streaming: Three to Target and One to Avoid

Have you noticed that other QB streaming articles don’t include a “QB1 to avoid” choice? I have, and I’m starting to understand why. Week 3 was my worst so far, but still respectable. I just hope you didn’t bench Matthew Stafford and miss out on his garbage time bonanza.

StatusQBFanDuel PointsQB Rank
Option 1Ryan Tannehill21.08
Option 2Joe Flacco13.821
Option 3Sam Bradford10.626
AvoidMatthew Stafford27.53

And the season-long standings still look good: two QB1s and a high-end QB2. But Stafford’s Week 3 performance put the “avoid” slot in contention with the top two streaming spots.

StatusFanDuel PPGSeason-long rank
Option 122.76
Option 220.19
Option 317.114
Avoid21.16

One note before we dig into the streamers: if Carson Wentz is available, add him. The Eagles have a Week 4 bye, but Wentz gets Detroit and Washington in Weeks 5 and 6. Wentz should be a hot commodity next week, so make room for him now to save yourself some waiver bucks.

Option 1: Ryan Tannehill @ Cincinnati

Rostered: 36.8 percent
Spread: +7
O/U: 44.5

Trevor Siemian was the QB1 last week against the Bengals. If that’s not enough to make you want to start Tannehill, I don’t know what else to say. But I guess I’ll try. The Bengals have allowed 22.3 FanDuel points per game to opposing QBs, fourth most in the league. Their QB opponents – Ryan FitzpatrickBen Roethlisberger, and Siemian – have averaged just 13.2 FanDuel points per game against non-Bengals opponents.

Tannehill himself is the QB7 through three weeks, and the Dolphins running game is non-existent. They have just 61 rush attempts on the season, fifth fewest in the league, and 12 of them belong to Tannehill. Indeed, he’s the team’s leading rusher with 54 yards and a touchdown.

The scary thing about Tannehill is the Dolphins’ implied total of 18.75. But I pegged Tannehill this offseason as a low-end QB1, and so far he’s living up to expectations. Add in the Bengals’ penchant for giving up points through the air, and Tannehill remains a top option this week.

Option 2: Brian Hoyer v. Detroit

Rostered: 1.5 percent
Spread: +2.5
O/U: 46.5

In Hoyer’s seven complete games with Houston in 2015, he averaged 17.1 FanDuel points per game. In Week 3, he picked up where he left off, posting 317 yards and 2 touchdowns in a blowout loss to Dallas.

The Lions, meanwhile, have allowed a league-leading 26.5 FanDuel points per game to opposing QBs in 2016. True, they’ve faced Andrew LuckMarcus Mariota, and Aaron Rodgers. But those QBs have averaged only 15.3 FanDuel points per game against non-Lions opponents.

It would help Hoyer’s cause if Kevin White could put together a decent game. He led the team in Week 3 with 14 targets, but he managed only a Mike Evans-like 6 catches for 62 yards.

Option 3: Trevor Siemian @ Tampa Bay

Rostered: 4.8 percent
Spread: -2.5
O/U: 44.5

Chasing points? Chasing points.

Siemian’s 29.0 FanDuel points were the most in Week 3 and the fourth most all season. Unfortunately, that was also Siemian’s first game inside the top 24 fantasy QBs. This is a desperation only play.

Still, the Buccaneers have allowed 21.2 FanDuel points per game, fifth most in the league. And their opponents — Matt RyanCarson Palmer, and Case Keenum — have averaged only 14.9 FanDuel points per game against non-Buccaneers opponents.

Avoid: Eli Manning @ Minnesota

Rostered: 93.1 percent
Spread: +4.0
O/U: 43.5

Minnesota is becoming a second tier “avoid” defense, just behind Denver and Seattle. The Vikings have allowed 17.5 FanDuel points per game, about league average. But that includes 6.5 FanDuel points per game to QBs on the ground; Manning totaled 6.1 FanDuel points on the ground in 2015. Plus, the Vikings’ QB opponents – Marcus MariotaAaron Rodgers, and Cam Newton – have averaged 21.2 FanDuel points per game against non-Vikings opponents.

Manning, meanwhile, is QB20 on the season, averaging only 15.9 FanDuel points per game. His opponents – Dallas, New Orleans, and Washington – have allowed 20.2 FanDuel points per game to other QBs. Manning is a streaming option until further notice, and the Vikings are not a defense to target for streaming.

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