This weekend’s race is as Kansas Speedway, a 1.5-mile tri-oval with variable banking in the corners. There are 267 laps scheduled, so dominators are important this weekend. Here’s his week’s picks and projections for the DraftKings NASCAR Kansas slate.
If you’re new to daily fantasy NASCAR, or simply need a refresher, check out the large oval section of my track types article. Brush up on your general GPP strategy and game theory if you want to have a shot at taking down a big GPP. If you’re more of a cash game player, check out how to target high floor drivers and how to identify the race dominator.
Now let’s get to my cash and GPP picks, along with my fades and machine learning model projections for this weekend’s DraftKings NASCAR Kansas contests.
DraftKings NASCAR Kansas MODEL PROJECTIONS
The model projections I create assume that each driver finishes the race. As a result, these finishing position projections will operate under that assumption.
|Martin Truex Jr.||4||7.85||30.92||25.23||52.65||11100|
|Ricky Stenhouse Jr.||18||17.40||0.30||1.02||27.79||7200|
DraftKings NASCAR Kansas CASH GAME PICKS
Matt Kenseth ($8700) – Matt Kenseth is fantastic at Kansas. He has the second most laps led since 2013. Starting from the pole, I expect Kenseth to be out in front at multiple points during the race, especially with the premier pit stall selection. He’s the top candidate for dominator points this weekend.
Kyle Busch ($10,000) – Kyle is a bit underpriced this weekend in my opinion. He’s fourth, but is the second best Kansas driver in recent years after Kenseth. He’s on the outside pole, and either he or Kenseth will get you those early dominator points. I expect another strong run from Kyle this weekend.
Kyle Larson ($9400) – Larson has a fantastic run in the first Kansas race before getting caught up in a wreck not of his making. He was blazing fast in the post-qualifying practice sessions, and starts 24th for a potentially big day in the place differential department.
Casey Mears ($5900) – The Richard Childress drivers and affiliates (which includes A.J. Allmendinger as well) have shown a lot of pace this weekend. Mears qualified a lowly 29th, but showed more pace in the post-qualifying practice sessions. If he avoids trouble, he’ll put up a significant day in the place differential category.
DraftKings NASCAR Kansas GPP PICKS
Kevin Harvick ($10,900) – It’s always prudent to have shares of Harvick, but I would consider going overweight on him this week. he was super happy with his car all weekend, and the Stewart-Haas clan seem to have their act together this weekend at Kansas. I expect a large chunk of fastest laps from Harvick.
Tony Stewart ($7600) – Stewart had a bad fast car in the two post-qualifying practice sessions. He finished 12th in the first Kansas race this year, and has nothing to lose having been eliminated for the chase. Look for him to be aggressive and either encounter problems, or finish toward the front.
Kurt Busch ($8800) – I know Kurt is going to the rear after wrecking in Happy Hour. I also know he had a fast car up to that point, and he has a knack for Kansas, with an average finish of 5.7 since he joined Stewart-Haas racing. He’ll be incredibly low owned due to moving to the rear, and with Kenseth and Carl Edwards priced $100 below and above him respectively.
Jamie McMurray ($7900) – McMurray might go a bit under-owned due to his poor track history compared to others in his price range. However, McMurray posted the 10th fastest single lap in both post-qualifying practice sessions, and also put up a 10-lap average faster than Jimmie Johnson despite going out in the heat of the afternoon, whereas Johnson posted his while the track was a bit cooler. I like McMurray to avoid problems, because he’s a very consistent driver on a day that will have very high winds.
DraftKings NASCAR Kansas FADES
Joey Logano ($9200) – On this week’s podcast I listed Logano as a GPP play. And then they practiced. Logano was awful in both post-qualifying practice sessions, both in single lap speed and in long run speed.
RotoDoc holds a Ph.D. in Mathematics and is a two-time qualifier for the DraftKings Main Event, The King of the Speedway. Additionally, RotoDoc has won multiple high paying NASCAR GPPs, including both the $100k and $75k tournaments for the 2016 Sprint Cup season opening slate, The Sprint Unlimited.