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DraftKings NASCAR Kansas 2 Picks and Projections

This weekend’s race is as Kansas Speedway, a 1.5-mile tri-oval with variable banking in the corners. There are 267 laps scheduled, so dominators are important this weekend. Here’s his week’s picks and projections for the DraftKings NASCAR Kansas slate.

If you’re new to daily fantasy NASCAR, or simply need a refresher, check out the large oval section of my track types article. Brush up on your general GPP strategy and game theory if you want to have a shot at taking down a big GPP. If you’re more of a cash game player, check out how to target high floor drivers and how to identify the race dominator.

Now let’s get to my cash and GPP picks, along with my fades and machine learning model projections for this weekend’s DraftKings NASCAR Kansas contests.


The model projections I create assume that each driver finishes the race. As a result, these finishing position projections will operate under that assumption.

Matt Kenseth16.8051.8428.4658.608700
Kyle Busch27.3425.4025.4250.3810000
Carl Edwards39.0223.2513.6241.578900
Martin Truex Jr.47.8530.9225.2352.6511100
Alex Bowman517.222.833.2716.917700
Joey Logano610.7330.8915.9744.259200
Denny Hamlin711.7414.599.7736.069000
Brad Keselowski89.9013.0313.9242.419700
Ryan Newman913.940.942.4026.548000
AJ Allmendinger1015.361.752.7325.087000
Kevin Harvick116.9427.7226.2261.1610900
Austin Dillon1213.830.352.1329.508200
Chase Elliott1310.4215.9620.3050.309500
Tony Stewart1414.831.122.0729.657600
Kurt Busch1510.671.825.2240.738800
Paul Menard1616.950.391.4626.936400
Ryan Blaney1714.570.521.4932.737500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.1817.400.301.0227.797200
Danica Patrick1922.250.621.3219.336200
Kasey Kahne2015.000.351.8134.998500
Jimmie Johnson2111.2112.3112.3151.8010600
Greg Biffle2219.820.111.5327.157100
Jamie McMurray2315.960.061.8236.017900
Kyle Larson248.877.1311.5257.809400
Trevor Bayne2518.550.161.7332.806600
Regan Smith2627.090.060.2215.955500
Matt DiBenedetto2729.300.070.1212.485000
David Ragan2829.460.050.2313.215700
Casey Mears2922.620.030.4127.975900
Chris Buescher3024.050.090.5326.196000
Clint Bowyer3121.590.100.4632.087300
Brian Scott3226.430.080.1823.255200
Michael McDowell3325.370.120.2626.425100
Landon Cassill3426.760.200.2624.665300
Aric Almirola3523.150.100.4532.966800
Cole Whitt3630.640.330.0818.854700
Michael Annett3731.030.280.0719.044800
Joey Gase3831.550.490.1019.084900
Reed Sorenson3931.410.330.1120.324600
Josh Wise4031.570.270.0820.984500

Matt Kenseth ($8700) – Matt Kenseth is fantastic at Kansas. He has the second most laps led since 2013. Starting from the pole, I expect Kenseth to be out in front at multiple points during the race, especially with the premier pit stall selection. He’s the top candidate for dominator points this weekend.

Kyle Busch ($10,000) – Kyle is a bit underpriced this weekend in my opinion. He’s fourth, but is the second best Kansas driver in recent years after Kenseth. He’s on the outside pole, and either he or Kenseth will get you those early dominator points. I expect another strong run from Kyle this weekend.

Kyle Larson ($9400) – Larson has a fantastic run in the first Kansas race before getting caught up in a wreck not of his making. He was blazing fast in the post-qualifying practice sessions, and starts 24th for a potentially big day in the place differential department.

Casey Mears ($5900) – The Richard Childress drivers and affiliates (which includes A.J. Allmendinger as well) have shown a lot of pace this weekend. Mears qualified a lowly 29th, but showed more pace in the post-qualifying practice sessions. If he avoids trouble, he’ll put up a significant day in the place differential category.

DraftKings NASCAR Kansas GPP PICKS

Kevin Harvick ($10,900) – It’s always prudent to have shares of Harvick, but I would consider going overweight on him this week. he was super happy with his car all weekend, and the Stewart-Haas clan seem to have their act together this weekend at Kansas. I expect a large chunk of fastest laps from Harvick.

Tony Stewart ($7600) – Stewart had a bad fast car in the two post-qualifying practice sessions. He finished 12th in the first Kansas race this year, and has nothing to lose having been eliminated for the chase. Look for him to be aggressive and either encounter problems, or finish toward the front.

Kurt Busch ($8800) – I know Kurt is going to the rear after wrecking in Happy Hour. I also know he had a fast car up to that point, and he has a knack for Kansas, with an average finish of 5.7 since he joined Stewart-Haas racing. He’ll be incredibly low owned due to moving to the rear, and with Kenseth and Carl Edwards priced $100 below and above him respectively.

Jamie McMurray ($7900) – McMurray might go a bit under-owned due to his poor track history compared to others in his price range. However, McMurray posted the 10th fastest single lap in both post-qualifying practice sessions, and also put up a 10-lap average faster than Jimmie Johnson despite going out in the heat of the afternoon, whereas Johnson posted his while the track was a bit cooler. I like McMurray to avoid problems, because he’s a very consistent driver on a day that will have very high winds.

DraftKings NASCAR Kansas FADES

Joey Logano ($9200) – On this week’s podcast I listed Logano as a GPP play. And then they practiced. Logano was awful in both post-qualifying practice sessions, both in single lap speed and in long run speed.


RotoDoc holds a Ph.D. in Mathematics and is a two-time qualifier for the DraftKings Main Event, The King of the Speedway. Additionally, RotoDoc has won multiple high paying NASCAR GPPs, including both the $100k and $75k tournaments for the 2016 Sprint Cup season opening slate, The Sprint Unlimited.

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