Waiver Wire Dumpster Diving takes you beyond the obvious plays and helps you find undervalued gems for deep leagues.
At this point honorary Dumpster Dive inclusion goes to any Kansas City pass catcher that isn’t owned in your league. If you are in a super deep league and need emergency help, let’s face it, anyone on Kansas City’s roster right now is just as likely to catch a touchdown as anyone else in the league.
Hopefully you read last weeks column and snagged Tyler Boyd before he blew up for 137 yards of total offense and a score stacking up 19+ PPR points. Let’s see what other underowned gems we can find.
Dallas Goedert, TE (Philadelphia Eagles) owned 1.9%
By no means do I think that Goedert is going to surpass Zach Ertz in the Philly pecking order anytime soon. But the Eagles pass-catching corps has been gimping through a series of injuries that have left Carson Wentz with limited options. I fully expect two-tight-end sets to be used heavily by the Eagles moving forward. Considering Goedert’s snaps more than doubled from 17 in Weeks 1 and 2 to 55 this past week(67 percent snap share).
The Buy Low Machine shows Philadelphia’s next four weeks are quite favorable for the TE position. Even the Minnesota matchup might not seem as daunting after we saw what Buffalo did to them in Week 3.
In Wentz’s first week back he targeted the TE position heavily as Ertz and Goedert lead the team in targets, with 10 and seven respectively. Goedert made the most of his opportunity, pulling in all seven for 73 yards and a touchdown. With better QB play, increased playing time and a cushy schedule, Goedert will be a regular fantasy producer for the next handful of weeks.
Mark Andrews, TE (Baltimore Ravens) owned 1.1%
Andrews has been showing flashes in his rookie campaign making big play after big play. He may have only seen three targets in Week 3, but his two receptions went for 29 and 30 yards. Joe Flacco just missed him on a third attempt deep down the field. He is certainly making a case for more playing time.
One item I track that can help to predict increases in volume is the ratio of targets to snaps. Very often, when that ratio is high and production matches, more volume may be coming. As you can see above, Andrews currently ranks eighth among TEs in that ratio.
In Week 4 the Ravens matchup against Pittsburgh, who have not only given up an average of 30 points per game, but just surrendered 106 yards and a touchdown to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers TEs. Andrews is a big play gamble, but this is the kind of matchup where the risk is worth the reward.
Jalen Richard, RB (Oakland Raiders) owned 5.0%
The Raiders seem completely unable to close out a game, which is great for fantasy football. Late in games, after they blow the lead, Richard has been feasting in PPR formats. With 18 targets in the first three weeks, he is on pace for 96 targets and 79 receptions for the season.
Eric Moody noted Richard was a prime “late-round flier” in drafts this year, and it turns out you can still take a flier on him as he is available in 95 percent of leagues.
Richard hasn’t been involved on the ground much, logging only seven rushing attempts thus far. But that is all the more reason to buy in early. Two out of three weeks this season Richard has topped double-digits in PPR. If he starts to get more involved in the rushing attack, that is just going to be the cherry on top.
Over the last three seasons, Richard has been one of Derek Carr’s most productive receivers according to the AYA App.
The Raiders look to have a number of problems in their final season in Oakland, and those struggles are going to translate into passing game opportunities. Richard is a steady PPR Flex play or RB fill in.
BONUS DUMPSTER DIVE!
Christian Kirk, WR (Arizona Cardinals) owned 6.2%
It would be bad process to really list him here as I have few numbers to back it up . . . but I am going to anyway.
If you have the roster spot, or just find yourself in a pinch, Kirk is a great gamble to roll the dice on. In Week 3, Kirk reeled in seven of his eight targets for 90 yards. His production has increased each of the first three weeks of the season and now he gets a fresh new quarterback in fellow rookie Josh Rosen, who is slated to start Week 4. Hopefully Rosen can challenge defenses more than Sam Bradford has so far in 2018.