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Dynasty Hit Rates: 2014 Draft Class


The 2014 draft class is the gold standard of draft classes. Mike Evans, Odell Beckham Jr. Davante Adams, Jarvis Landry and Brandin Cooks headline a very deep WR class. The early success of 2014 probably influenced NFL teams and Dynasty owners to reach at the position in the years following.

Since 1990, there have been 109 WR seasons, age 26 or older, with 1,300 or more receiving yards. Compare this to the 48 WR seasons, age 25 or younger with 1,300 or more receiving yards over same time period. Five of the 48 WR seasons were from WRs in the 2014 class. We may have not even seen this class’s best years yet.

Here is the 2014 dynasty rookie class. If there’s blank space following a player’s name it means they didn’t finish inside the top-12 quarterbacks or tight ends or top-24 running backs or wide receivers in PPR that year. This table shows the first two rounds of 12-team dynasty ADP, plus any players drafted after Round 2 that finished top at their positions.


The Perennial Studs

As mentioned above, there’s plenty to still chase or hold with Evans, Beckham, Adams, Landry and Cooks. All have three or more top-24 finishes, which puts them in very elite company historically.

The Rest of the WRs

Adam Theilen is turning 29 years old this year. There’s no reason to think he can’t continue to produce for a couple more years. He might be available at a discount from youth-focused dynasty owners.

Sammy Watkins is signed with Kansas City through 2020 and should be targeted in both dynasty and redraft leagues. Regardless of what happens with Tyreek Hill, Watkins is still young and has a ton of upside in the offense.

Allen Robinson has yet to come close to the 1,400yd-, 14TD-season he posted in 2015. He’s still a top 70 dynasty ranked player.

Sadly, injuries may have slowed a once promising career of Jordan Matthews. He and Kelvin Benjamin just missed a second hit on the grid with a top-25 finish.

Marquise Lee has two seasons with at least 700 receiving yards. There’s a possibility he’s on fellow college teamate Robert Woods’ career trajectory. With new QB Nick Foles under center, he’s worth a stash in leagues with deep rosters.

The RBs

The class has had mixed results at RB. Some have compared the 2019 class to this one. Bishop Sankey was a crushing disappointment in a dynasty class this good. Jeremy Hill slightly burned anybody who drafted him early in 2015 but was useful the first three years. The best in the class, Devonta Freeman,has been quiet the last few years. He could be a decent bounceback candidate for 2019. Isaiah Crowell just signed a one-year deal with Oakland. Depending on what they do in the draft, Crowell could find his way on some Zero-RB lists. James White joins a long list of short-term producing New England RBs mentioned in the article on the 2011 Draft Class.

The TEs

Eric Ebron rewarded any dynasty owner who was patient with him. It remains to be seen if Ebron can match his 2018 TD production. At 26 years old, he’s three years younger than Zach Ertz and four years younger than Travis Kelce. There’s still plenty of career in front of him. Austin Seferian-Jenkins flashed in 2017 and has a chance to produce in New England.

The 2014 class is far from finished. It’s on track to be the best of the decade and possibly one of the best dynasty classes ever.

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