revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

ADP Arbitrage: Is Lance Moore Still Undervalued?

8233517706_46d0bd9c64_b

Image via Flickr/Football Schedule

Unless you’ve been living under a fantasy rock you’ve heard of Lance Moore. Or you could be new. Or maybe you have some personal vendetta against ever drafting Saints players. Or…No I’m out of ideas. Basically, you’ve likely heard of Lance Moore and are familiar with his resume.

He had his breakout year back in 2008 when Colston went down for an extended period of time. People were ready to love the guy in fantasy, but he responded in 2009 by missing over half the season. Ever since, people seem to dismiss Lance Moore as a fantasy after-thought. A guy with value, perhaps, but a guy no one really gets excited about.

Make no mistake about it, Lance Moore lacks sex appeal…But many fantasy drafts are won on “boring” picks. So let’s take a closer look at Lance Moore’s 2013 prospects.

Advantages:

· No more Robert Meacham. (Who left in 2011 free agency for the Chargers.)

· No more Devery Henderson. (Who just left this off-season for the Redskins.)

· Sean Payton is back. This can only mean good things for the Saints offense.

· Drew Brees is still his quarterback.

While there may be some sleepers we like on the Saints roster, there’s no real or immediate threat to his #2 WR status yet. And he’s only 29.

Dis-advantages:

· I heard a rumor he doesn’t like yogurt. I mean, I may have made this one up in my head. But I love yogurt. It’d break my heart if it were true.

· ………..

Yeah…That’s all I got. Sorry. I guess the only real “knock” on Moore is that we can likely think of him as only the 3rd or 4th best option on his team, behind Graham, Colston and possibly Sproles, which would limit his theoretical upside. Sure, Moore may not finish in the top 10 WRs this year – barring injuries to any of the guys mentioned…but again, fantasy leagues are generally won or lost by the guys on your roster who are NOT elite options at their position. You need depth. Depth like Lance Moore.

Let’s take a look at this ADP Arbitrage data provided by the Rotoviz app:

NAME SEAS OFF AGE WEIGHT GMS TRGS RECS YDS TDS recFPOP YPT ADP
Lance Moore 2012 NO 29 190 15 6.93 4.33 69.4 0.4 0.3 10.01 40

Comparables

NAME SEAS OFF AGE WEIGHT GMS TRGS RECS YDS TDS recFPOP YPT ADP
Pierre Garcon 2012 WAS 26 210 10 6.8 4.5 64.4 0.4 0.27 9.47 23
Cecil Shorts 2012 JAC 25 205 14 7.5 3.93 69.93 0.5 0.29 9.32 34
Randall Cobb 2012 GB 22 192 15 6.93 5.33 63.6 0.53 0.37 9.17 9

Overall ADP:  Cobb 3rd round. Garcon 5th round. Shorts 8th round. Moore 10th round

Yet look how eerily similar all these players are. Maybe those three guys have a theoretical higher upside than Moore, but at this discount I’ll be a buyer on Lance Moore as often as possible.

recent and related...

in case you missed it...

Bracket Busting: For All The Marbles

High-stakes writers Monty Phan and John Lapinski chronicle their entry in the FFPC Super Bracket contest. The Super Bracket regular season runs for just 11 weeks, and the league is far from decided. After a solid win last week, we’re right back in the thick of it. Here are the

Read More

Week 11 Yahoo! DFS Picks

Identifying my Week 11 NFL DFS picks was easier than it’s ever been thanks to the continued work of our apps development team. The NFL Stat Explorer, the DFS Lineup Optimizer, and our world-famous Game Splits App are three windows I never close on my screen. Let’s build a plan

Read More

Week 11 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 11 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.1 DSF Week 11 Primetime Slate DFS Week 11 Primetime Slate theory thoughts: The two games on this slate are dramatically different

Read More

High Staked: Hello Darkness, My Old Friend

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. Welcome to Week 11 in FFPC high stakes, where, once again, we’re reminded that there’s a big difference between what we think should happen and what actually occurs. For a lot of teams, it’s – mercifully – the final

Read More

Week 12 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 12 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in

Read More
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.