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Week 5 Studs/Duds

Luck1

STUDS

Terrelle Pryor – QB – Oakland Raiders

After sitting out Week 4 due to concussion symptoms, Pryor is locked and loaded to start the Raiders Monday morning game against the Chargers. Pryor faces a San Diego secondary that is giving up the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season and only has one interception so far. Along with a porous secondary, the Chargers are also allowing the third most yards/attempt for opponent rushing attacks this season meaning Pryor and the rest of the Raiders backfield should have plenty of room to run. The absence of Pryor last week hurt the value of other Raiders, including Denarius Moore who was one of my Week 4 STUDS. This week’s game should be a shootout, which boosts the value of Moore and whoever starts at RB (both McFadden and Reece are uncertain due to injuries, so it could be Rashad Jennings). I love Pryor his week as a back-end QB1 and as a cheap daily play. I’d start him over the more expensive Andrew Luck, Russ Wilson, and Tony Romo this week for what its worth. Get Pryor in your lineup.

Danny Woodhead – RB – San Diego Chargers

Danny Woodhead exploded last week totaling 10 touches (5 receptions) for 86 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Cowboys, putting him on pace for 88 catches and over 600 receiving yards for the year. This week Woodhead gets another bottom tier defense in the Raiders. As I mentioned above, I expect a ton of points in this game and Woodhead could be a huge factor. As Phillip Rivers’ primary check down option in an offense that throws quick and often, seeing 7-10 catches isn’t out of the question this week for Woodhead. I see RB2/3 value for Woodhead this week in ppr formats. He is also a cheap play on daily sites. I’d play him this week if the scenario fits for you and feels good.

Robert Woods – WR – Buffalo Bills

Another guy that had a breakout week 4 is Robert Woods. Woods posted an 8/80/1 line against the Ravens last week on 8 targets, the second consecutive week in which he’s had 8 or more targets. Woods and fellow rookie E.J. Manuel are building nice chemistry and Manuel obviously is feeling more and more confortable throwing Woods’ direction. With Browns corner Joe Haden expected to cover Bills number 1 wideout Stevie Johnson for most of the night, expect Woods to see plenty of targets again. The Browns have one of the best front sevens in the league but aside from Haden their corners leave something to be desired. I think Woods can take advantage of this matchup and post solid numbers, making him an interesting flex/WR3 play. I’m not going crazy over Woods but I wouldn’t be surprised to see an 8/100/1 line Thursday night.

DUDS

Andrew Luck – QB – Indianapolis Colts

Luck has impressed so far this year under new offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, as his efficiency numbers have improved significantly. Normally I would say he is a must-start every week, however this week he goes up against a stingy Seahawks defense. Seattle’s big corners and safeties will cause problems for the Colts receivers getting off the line and getting open. And their front seven can eat up the poor Colts offensive line. I expect to see Luck getting hit early and often. If his receivers can’t get off the ball and get open quick, Luck will have to force the ball into tight windows; against a defense that is second in the league in takeaways that could be problematic. As I said earlier, I’d start Terrelle Pryor over Luck this week especially in daily leagues.

Jacquizz Rodgers – RB – Atlanta Falcons

While Rodgers got the start last Sunday and turned in a decent fantasy game, I would stay away from the undersized back this week. He draws a New York Jets defense that has only given up 1 rushing touchdown all season and is second in YPC allowed. The Jets have a very talented front seven and linebackers that can cover, which will make it difficult for Quiz to get open coming out of the backfield. The only saving grace for Rodgers could be that Matt Ryan will be under pressure early and often, making the short, quick check downs something we see a lot. However, I’m not expecting a big game from Rodgers. He’s not worth a start in my opinion unless you’re really struggling or hit hard with bye weeks.

Mike Wallace – WR – Miami Dolphins

I thought Mike Wallace turned a corner after his stellar week 2 performance, but it appears that he is determined to kill fantasy owners. The “number 1” receiver hasn’t had a reception longer than 12 yards the past two weeks and only has 5 catches over that span. He dropped two catchable balls Monday night against the Saints and at times appeared to be back to his old Pittsburgh ways of not giving a hoot. To be fair, Ryan Tannehill has been sacked a bunch this year (league-leading 18 times) and hasn’t been given much time to let Wallace’s long-developing routes open up. This week, the Dolphins face a Ravens defense that can get after the passer and has held Wallace to an average of just over 50 yards/game over his last 8 games with the Steelers. I don’t expect to see much from Wallace this week as he is a mid end WR3 in my mind.

Week 4 Results:

My week 4 Studs/Duds weren’t exactly spot on. Romo and Lamar Miller lived up to my billing but Denarius Moore was hurt with Pryor being out. Larry Fitz absolutely burnt Revis for a touchdown killing my Dud pick, Locker was impressive again before leaving the game with an injury, and the combination of Spiller and Jackson led the way for the Bills upset of the Ravens. Hopefully this week we can get it back. Week 4 rankings are below:

Studs

Weekly Rank

Tony Romo

QB7

Lamar Miller

RB21

Denarius Moore

WR42

Duds

Jake Locker

QB10

Fred Jackson/C.J. Spiller

RB15/RB31

Larry Fitzgerald

WR17

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