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Week 13 Studs/Duds

Dalton1Studs

Andy Dalton – QB – Cincinnati Bengals

Dalton has flashed at times this year as he averaged 27 fantasy points during weeks 6-8. However, he’s also been the model of inconsistency as he’s only reached 15 points twice outside of that three-week stretch. This week, the Bengals draw a favorable matchup against a San Diego defense that has given up the third-most fantasy points a game to opposing QBs. This defense is fresh off allowing Alex Smith to throw for nearly 300 yards and 3 TDs in week 12. Dalton and the rest of the Bengals offense is coming off a bye and I expect them to take full advantage of the porous Charger secondary.

Rashad Jennings – RB – Oakland Raiders

The Oakland coaching staff has insisted that they will continue to run with the hot-hand back even if Darren McFadden comes back this week. Jennings has been running very well since McFadden went down, averaging nearly 20 fantasy points per game in his last four. The Raiders get a Cowboys defense on Thanksgiving that just surrendered over 200 rushing yards to the Giants in week 12. I expect the Raiders to run the ball as much as possible in an attempt to control the clock against Dallas, and that means plenty of carries to go around even if McFadden is active. I wouldn’t be surprised to see 17-20 carries again for Jennings giving him solid RB2 value.

Rueben Randle – WR – New York Giants

This Giants offense has been maddening this year. They have talent everywhere but can’t seem to put it all together in a game. Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks have been beyond disappointing and Eli Manning hasn’t looked competent at times. One bright spot for the G-Men is the emergence of Randle. He has been solid all year pulling in 32 balls and 6 TDs. The Redskins are coming off a Monday night beat down in DC and have been horrid against the pass all year. DeAngelo Hall is their only legitimate cover corner and he should see Cruz for most of the night, meaning Randle would see some combination of Josh Wilson and David Amerson. Wilson was embarrassed against the 49ers giving up a 10/194/1 when in coverage. I like Randle’s chances there. If Nicks misses again this week, Randle would have solid flex/WR3 value.

Duds

Drew Brees – QB – New Orleans Saints

It goes without saying that Brees is one of, if not the, best quarterbacks in the game today. And obviously your starting him every week regardless of matchups. However, this week the Saints travel to Seattle on Monday night. Its tough enough playing Seattle’s defense and their strong secondary, but its another thing altogether playing them in front of the 12th Man. The Hawks don’t lose at home. Ever. Brees will still put up numbers because he’s Drew Brees, but I would temper expectations severely. Moving him down in your rankings to somewhere around 6 or 7 sounds about right to me. It will be a fun watch Monday night.

Stevan Ridley – RB – New England Patriots

Oh how the mighty have fallen. Last year Ridley was incredible, finishing with 1415 yards and 13 touchdowns. This season however, Ridley has been determined to frustrate fantasy owners everywhere. A fumble in week 1 led to a benching. A resurrection in weeks 6-11 (7 TDs in 5 games) gave us hope. And fumbles in two straight games led to only 4 carries in the win over Denver. You can’t trust Ridley at all with Belichick calling the shots right now. With the return of Shane Vereen and the presence of Brandon Bolden and LeGarrette Blount, I wouldn’t expect anything more than 10 carries for Ridley against Houston on Sunday. Look elsewhere for production.

Eric Decker – WR – Denver Broncos

Decker has appeared to be the odd man out so far this year in the Bronco offense. He’s trailing both Welker and Demaryius Thomas in catches and TDs. Decker is still putting up a decent season with 55/797/3, but it is increasingly hard to predict what he will do week in and week out. This week the Broncos play the Chiefs again and their stingy defense. Kansas City is 5th in the NFL when it comes to covering a team’s second receiver according to Football Outsiders. That, combined with the fact that Decker hasn’t posted double-digit fantasy points in since week 7 (non-ppr) is enough for me to downgrade him to flex value this week. He has incredible upside in that offense but the production isn’t consistent enough to roll with him each week.

Week 12 Results:

Week 12 yielded mixed results for the Studs and Duds. Glennon was impressive again putting up good numbers and Nate Burleson exceeded my expectations and ending tied for WR9 in PPR formats. Ogbonnaya and the Browns offense as a whole (besides Josh Gordon) failed to get going last Sunday against the Steelers. Romo was mediocre as he finished tied for QB10. Ryan Matthews was able to get into the end zone and put up RB10 numbers in PPR leagues. Ant Brown was able to get free from Joe Haden a few times Sunday and continued his stellar ways. He’s really impressed this year as the go-to-guy.

Studs

Weekly Rank (PPR)

Mike Glennon

QB8

Chris Ogbonnaya

RB19

Nate Burleson

WR9

Duds

Weekly Rank (PPR)

Tony Romo

 QB10

Ryan Matthews

RB10

Antonio Brown

WR8

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