QB: Matt Flynn- $9,429
If you’ve seen what opposing quarterbacks have done to the Dallas defense this season, then it should be no surprise as to why Matt Flynn could be an ideal play this week. The Cowboys allow the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and in half of their games this year the Cowboys have allowed at least two passing touchdowns or more, with four of them being four touchdown games. Flynn is completing 63% of his passes on the season and last week he completed 75% of them. With the Cowboys allowing on average 22.8 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and having the 32nd ranked pass defense in the league then I would expect Flynn to exceed his value of $9,429 on Sunday, if he is indeed starting again over Rodgers.
RB: Rashard Mendenhall- $7,668
As an Andre Ellington supporter, it is hard for me to recommend Mendenhall for the second time in three weeks. However, Mendenhall keeps getting steady work. Last week he was on the field for 49% of the snaps compared to 34% for Ellington. Prior to last week Mendenhall was averaging 4.0 yards per carry. The Titans allow the second most fantasy points to opposing running backs at 25.8 FPPG. Inside the red zone Mendenhall is involved 21.74% of the plays compared to Ellington at 14.13%. As long as Mendenhall remains the healthier of the two backs, I’d expect him to continue to get the lion’s share of the carries.
Side note: If you’re looking for a more feast or famine type of play, consider C.J. Spiller for $7,777 against the 27th ranked Jacksonville rush defense.
WR: Cordarrelle Patterson- $7,099
No Vikings receiver has more than 70 total fantasy points in 2013 – crazy, right? Over the past five weeks, Patterson has led the Vikings in targets per game at 6.8. Last week in an odd game versus the Ravens, Patterson had 141 yards and a touchdown on seven targets. With Cassel getting the starting job over Ponder again, I feel even more confident in Patterson this week. The Eagles average giving up 205 receiving yards per game and 37.9 fantasy points to opposing wide receivers per game, both league worsts. With the possibility of the Vikings missing Adrian Peterson and Toby Gerhart this week, they could be leaning on the passing game even more. Vegas has this game projected with an over/under of 50.5, so it has potential to be high scoring in all the right places.
TE: Charles Clay- $8,087
Clay’s price tag jumped $2,653 on DraftStreet this week, but that still isn’t going to deter me from plugging him into my daily line up. Tight ends have been exploiting this Patriots defense lately. In the last four weeks they’ve given up four touchdowns to go along with 311 yards and last week they had no answer for Jordan Cameron. The Patriots are sixth worst versus tight ends, giving up 12 FPPG. Clay also averages 1.08 red zone targets per game. The Miami TE has 34 targets in the last four weeks and accounts for 25% of Tannehill’s touchdown passes, as well as 20% of Tannehill’s receiving yards on the season. Given this match up, I think Clay will continue to stay strongly involved, as the Patriots have been vulnerable at defending the tight end this year.
Good luck to everybody in week 15!