If you’re employing the late round quarterback strategy in your draft this year or you plan on rostering two QBs on your squad, then this article may pique your interest. The list below includes three QBs that I will be targeting myself in my own redraft leagues and also in best ball formats.
According to the ADP information at My Fantasy League, Smith is sitting at No. 161. If you’re the type of drafter that is employing the late round QB strategy or rostering more than one QB, Smith could be an ideal player to target in the later rounds of your draft. As Rich Hribar points out in his Intra Division Matchup article, Smith absolutely loved playing divisional opponents. He averaged 26.34 fantasy points in those match ups, while putting up 25 or more points in four of those five games. In his first year under Andy Reid, Smith completed 61 percent of his passes for 3,313 yards, 23 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while also adding on 431 rushing yards and a rushing score. Now in his second year in this system, I think he should improve on those numbers.
While I love Russell Wilson, he only scored 18 more fantasy points than Smith last year (depending on your scoring format) but he is going 75 picks ahead of Alex Smith. Positional players like Terrance Williams, DeAndre Hopkins, Dennis Pitta, and Stevan Ridley all have similar ADPs to Wilson, while players like Jace Amaro, Brian Hartline, team defenses, and Mark Ingram are being selected around Smith’s ADP. I don’t know about you, but I’d rather get relatively the same production in Alex Smith in the later rounds and snag some of the better talent at other positions in the early stages of the draft. If you need any more convincing, you may want to ask one of the guests from episode 4 of RotoViz Radio, C.D. Carter. He’s one of the biggest Smith supporters I know.
As Kevin Cole has already pointed out, Ryan Fitzpatrick could indeed be one of the most undervalued QBs coming into the 2014 season. My Fantasy League currently has his ADP at 226, which means he probably isn’t being drafted, except for in the deepest of redraft leagues or in best ball formats where your points are optimized for you and you’re rostering multiple QBs. Fitzpatrick doesn’t have bad weapons at his disposal, either. He has post-hype sleeper, DeAndre Hopkins, and opposite him, Andre Johnson. He also has potential tight end break out candidate, Ryan Griffin (Fitzpatrick had a 6.80 AYA when throwing to Delanie Walker last year.) James Todd also wrote about Griffin earlier in the year about his potential outlook.
In Fitzpatrick’s 11-game season last year, according to the RotoViz game splits app, he averaged 18.97 fantasy points per game. The FPPG may be skewed a little due to a 38.15 point performance against the Arizona Cardinals. For a guy who is hardly being drafted, Fitzpatrick could be a good player to target for the late round QB drafter or if you’re looking for a flyer in a deep league.
With the weapons Carson Palmer has, it is hard to find a reason not to like him, especially at his current ADP of 171 according to My Fantasy League. I know playing in the NFC West could be cause for some concern, especially when Pro Football Focus shows that Palmer ranked dead last in the league when facing pressure last year. Although, if you look at the RotoViz game splits app, you’ll see that maybe there isn’t much cause for concern at all when he’s facing the stellar defenses within his division.
If the Cardinal’s offensive line has improved, Palmer’s numbers could be even better this year. On the flip side, when he wasn’t facing pressure, Palmer was sixth-best in the league. With veteran Larry Fitzgerald and third-year receiver Michael Floyd, Palmer has one of the better receiving corps in the league. There has also been some chatter in training camp about how impressive John Brown has been, who Matthew Freedman, the Dissenting Costanzan himself, likes quite a bit. Davis Mattek also touched on him in May. Palmer has the talent around him to be a solid QB2 on your fantasy squad, with potential for some huge games. He’s one of my favorite late round QBs to target this year.