There is a lot to like about the potential of a Lance Dunbar breakout this year. I think most of this hype has started once Scott Linehan was brought on to the coaching staff. There have been a few promoters of the Dunbar bandwagon on the RotoViz staff. Right now, the drivers for that bandwagon are Rich Hribar and Dan Schneier, and he was even on Shawn Siegele’s top sleeper list back in January. James Todd on the other hand, has some doubts about Dunbar or at least has some interesting points against him.
However, I am here to tell you why I like Lance Dunbar this year, especially in PPR leagues. As Dan Schneier points out, Linehan typically implements a two back system and Joique Bell and Reggie Bush finished last year with 64 and 76 targets. Although for this to happen the Cowboys may have to pick up the pace on offense, or their defense needs to step up, because they ranked 28th in total offensive drives last season. Dunbar certainly has the physical attributes to get the job done, (5-foot-8 and 205 pounds), and he has the athleticism, if you look at his pro day numbers. With an ADP of 197 according to My Fantasy League, he’s basically free.
I originally had Andre Brown in this slot, until I read Fantasy Douche’s article on the 7 Running Backs to Target in Your Draft. Why draft Andre Brown or any other back-up running back when you can get a starting running back who’s current ADP is 163? The Kearrane brothers did raise some good points about how Williams is(n’t) a bargain. Jonathan Stewart is hurt again and is considered to be out for 2 to 4 weeks. He’s supposedly going to be ready for the season, but if I had a nickel for every time I heard a player say that….. Well, you know the rest. If you look at William’s splits where Stewart has played, you can see there isn’t much difference in the fantasy output, so how much cause for concern is there if Stewart does play? If you’re throwing darts at the end of your draft, why not throw one at DeAngelo Williams?
For my last recommendation, I was torn between Hill and Terrance West. They both have outstanding profiles, they’re both built like every down backs and there is a plethora of articles on both of them at RotoViz if you put either “Jeremy Hill” or “Terrance West” in the search bar. He currently has an ADP of 129, which is similar to Terrance West’s and 40-70 picks earlier than the names I mentioned above. I hold a lot more stock in rookie RBs than I do rookie WRs. I think Green-Ellis could slowly begin to be faded out of this offense, but nothing is guaranteed. As Davis Mattek points out, BJGE doesn’t fumble, but that’s about all he has going for him. He’s 29-years-old, he doesn’t catch the ball and he averaged 3.4 YPC last year (yawn). Shawn Siegele does a great job about looking into Hill as a prospect, compared to Carlos Hyde. Max Mulitz also dove into Jeremy Hill hype back in May. If Hill can surpass BJGE on the depth chart then he could certainly be one of the most valuable rookies in your redraft league, especially when Darren McFadden and Michael Bush both saw 150+ carries and they also caught the ball a combined 90 times when Hue Jackson was in Oakland.