I’m typically not targeting many rookie WRs in re-draft leagues, but I’m intrigued by Kelvin Benjamin. If you browse the archives of RotoViz, you’ll see no shortage of articles on Benjamin. Matthew Freedman goes in depth researching his (in)comparables. While Whiskey Tango Foxtrot argues that he is a touchdown machine, there are some concerns. Justin Winn believes that K-Benjy is the rookie WR to own in dynasty AND your re-draft leagues. Meanwhile DJ Jon Moore of RotoViz Radio knocks out two reasons why Benjamin is a steal in your drafts this year. With an ADP of 124 according to My Fantasy League I think the value is undeniable when you look at where he landed. Cam has to throw the ball somewhere after they lost all of their WRs. Why not to the 6’5″ 243 pound behemoth that is Kelvin Benjamin?
Third year receiver Marvin Jones is one of my favorite players to target this year. Checking in with an ADP of 128 and a redzone conversion rate of 64%, it’s hard not to like the guy (even if the red zone touchdown rate comes screaming back to earth). Matthew A. Berry believes Jones is comically undervalued, and I think I would have to agree with him. However, with the good, comes the bad. Shawn Siegele makes a case for why Jones won’t break out in 2014. The third year is typically considered the “break-out” year for WRs, although, Alshon Jeffery may have something to say about that. While people are reaching for Sammy Watkins, who has an ADP of 58 (people are really drafting him that early, yikes..) I’ll gladly take Marvin Jones 60+ picks later.
If you’re throwing darts in the later part of your draft, why not take a gamble on Kenny Stills? Shawn Siegele has already pegged him as a must own breakout WR in 2014. One of the reasons I like Stills is for his big play ability. Yes, the Saints drafted Brandin Cooks, but I think people should temper their exceptions when it comes to rookie WRs. Usually a lot of hype surrounds these rookie WRs, but the production doesn’t typically follow that hype. Although, there are exceptions, as there always is.
I plugged Drew Brees into the AYA app to see how efficient he was when throwing to Stills. For those of you that don’t know, AYA stands for adjusted yards per attempt, a variation of yards per attempt that factors in touchdowns and interceptions. In a nutshell, it shows how efficient a QB is when throwing to a certain WR. 13.92 is an outstanding AYA. Kenny Stills certainly took advantage of his opportunities when Brees did decide to throw to him. Dan Schneier takes the analysis on Kenny Stills a step further and tells you why he’s due for an expanded role in the Saints offense. Throw a dart at Kenny Stills this year late in your draft and chances are you’ll be glad you did.