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RB Snap Chat Week 5 Update: DeMarco Murray, Risers and Fallers

Another look at the ongoing saga of running back productivity vis-a-vis snaps played. The methodology is laid out in the original article, but this week I’m adding a twist. Normally these charts display a player’s fantasy points on the Y-axis and their snap percentage on the X-axis. I did that so that players on low or high volume offenses wouldn’t be punished for either a paltry or excessive number of snaps. Sounds good. But a reader last week pointed out that there’s still value in knowing the raw snap count; many RBs play a similar number, and it’s helpful to know who is more or less efficient with a similar workload. So, bubbles. On this week’s chart, the size of the bubble corresponds to the player’s raw snap count. Bigger bubble, more snaps. Mostly they look to be of a similar size, but I included a table at the end of the post with the actual data for your perusal. Let’s dig in.

Week 5 Only

Surprise! two charts! Aren’t you glad you took today off? What? You’re still at work? Screw it, from a distance these charts look very workish.

Since several running backs are now playing due to injuries elsewhere, I thought it would be good to look at just the Week 5 results. Otherwise, guys like Branden Oliver wouldn’t really show up on the season-long chart.

wk5snaps

  • Arian Foster. Nice game. Wish I could count on his hammies holding up.
  • Andre Ellington with the uber-productive day. Not sure he can stay that far above par though. He has a reasonably difficult schedule going forward. I actually traded him away in one league. YMMV.
  • Stevan Ridley out-snapped and out-produced Shane Vereen.
  • Solid performance by Pierre Thomas.
  • Antone Smith is glued to that spot on the chart.
  • Know who played bad? Matt Asiata. Know who performed worse? Jerick McKinnon.
  • Know who else had a sub-par game? Ahmad Bradshaw. Know whose was worse? Trent Richardson.
  • Andre Williams and Benny Cunningham have similar points and snap percentages, but Williams was more efficient with his work.
  • Remember last week, when I said “Timber” regarding Darren Sproles?
  • Know who else had a bad game? Darrin Reaves. Know whose was better? Silent G, the man otherwise known as Chris Ogbonnaya.

Season to Date

Here’s the top 50 PPR backs through Week 5.

wk5snaps2

  • I could get a lot more resolution on the main cluster of RBs if I just left DeMarco Murray Fantasy Superstar off the chart.
  • Matt Forte is still in the RB1 tier in terms of points, and had a much more efficient and effective game in Week 5. With a softer schedule, his bubble should start floating back to the top again.
  • Darren McMontee Fadden Ball.
  • Hey look Antone Smith is right where we left him. Seems like someone I might want to play, but never quite do. Wish Atlanta used him more.
  • With a bigger workload, Andre Williams moved pretty close to the par line. I think he’ll keep trending up as his workload increases.
  • At least Pierre Thomas’ role and efficiency are steady.
  • Several of the top backs came back to the pack a bit: Murray, Ahmad Bradshaw, Giovani Bernard, Le’Veon Bell. Nothing to worry about, I think, just a reminder that insanely great efficiency is hard to sustain.
  • Doug Martin is trending stagnant.
  • Frank Gore and Fred Jackson. Chillin’. Solid. Ride ’em til the wheels fall off.
  • I’ll let you use the graphs and table to find some observations of your own. Don’t forget to use the Fantasy Efficiency App either; it’s a great prospective research tool.

RB Snaps and PPR Points

PlayerSnapsSnaps/GmSnap PctFantasy PointsPoints/100 Snaps
M.Forte31362.691.865.821.1
D.Murray2805680.4101.436.1
L.Bell26853.677.174.828
G.Bernard1844673.258.531.5
L.McCoy260527238.214.6
D.McFadden16641.570.328.617.5
M.Ball18746.867.827.414.4
A.Ellington17844.567.75028.1
M.Lynch17042.566.779.246.5
E.Lacy18737.46450.226.7
F.Gore21843.663.75525.2
A.Foster1924859.366.334.4
J.Forsett20440.858.859.529.4
R.Jennings21342.658.560.528.2
L.Miller17042.5584727.6
F.Jackson19739.457.25125.9
A.Morris19338.657.15528.5
M.Asiata20941.855.856.226.8
B.Rainey20140.255.541.920.9
K.Davis17835.648.552.829.8
A.Bradshaw18637.247.862.133.3
T.Richardson1853747.641.222.2
S.Vereen17134.247.238.322.2
Z.Stacy13333.247.234.125.6
T.Gerhart14328.646.924.617.5
R.Bush15731.44636.322.9
S.Ridley16332.64545.127.6
T.West12531.244.838.230.4
B.Cunningham17042.544.723.514.1
D.Brown18637.243.920.210.8
C.Ivory14128.24250.836.2
C.Spiller15831.641.63824.1
J.Bell1403540.826.518.6
J.Charles13433.540.441.831.3
P.Thomas1653339.948.729.7
R.Helu15130.238.835.723.8
S.Jackson13627.238.741.530.9
C.Johnson12324.636.632.926.8
D.Martin10936.336.220.619.3
A.Williams13226.434.731.524.2
D.Sproles14729.431.94732
K.Robinson12925.831.84333.3
C.Hyde11122.230.725.523.4
I.Crowell9122.830.534.337.4
J.McKinnon1202430.421.918.3
J.Stewart9431.328.620.622.3
D.Young1553123.422.414.2
B.Oliver752518.836.949.3
L.Taliaferro1152318.728.725.2
An.Smith14128.213.649.735.5
Through Week 5 of the 2014 season

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