We’ve spent a lot of time prognosticating this offseason. We’re still confident in most of our calls. Some…not so much. As training camp approaches, our staff took some time for quiet reflection and identified the calls we’re most afraid will be wrong. Martavis Bryant Some part of my trepidation over my Martavis Bryant article from earlier in the off-season is inherent to a player like…...

Russell Wilson, QB Contract talks between Wilson and the Seahawks seem to have broken down. Popular opinion suggests Seattle has two options: pay him a market-level contract, or use the franchise tag. I humbly suggest there’s a third option: YOLOQB! Here’s how our own Editor-in-chief describes the strategy: …there aren’t enough pocket passing QBs to supply an entire professional football league…NFL teams should just say eff…...

In real life, I sometimes have to hire – or fire – people. It’s not personal, it’s business. To keep track of the comings and goings, our corporate HR department tracks annual employee turnover using a simple formula: Separations / Total Positions = Turnover Rate I thought I’d apply the same formula to dynasty fantasy football to see which positions are the most stable. Up next: Running…...

In real life, I sometimes have to hire – or fire – people. It’s not personal, it’s business. To keep track of the comings and goings, our corporate HR department tracks annual employee turnover using a simple formula: Separations / Total Positions = Turnover Rate I thought I’d apply the same formula to dynasty fantasy football to see which positions are the most stable. Up next: Tight…...

In real life, I sometimes have to hire – or fire – people. It’s not personal, it’s business. To keep track of the comings and goings, our corporate HR department tracks annual employee turnover using a simple formula: Separations / Total Positions = Turnover Rate I thought I’d apply the same formula to dynasty fantasy football to see which positions are the most stable. Up first: Quarterbacks…....

The Dynasty App offers a number of useful features, among them the ability to review dynasty startup ADP and spot situations to exploit, or avoid. Here are 10 players to avoid at their current ADPs, and some recommendations for alternate selections. While I’m writing in the context of a dynasty start up, many of these thoughts apply to redraft leagues as well. Scoring is PPR. Quarterback Matthew…...

Amari Cooper was the first wide receiver selected in this year’s NFL draft, and expectations are high for his rookie season. Team RotoViz likes Cooper a lot as well – perhaps too much. Here’s our staff composite projection for Cooper’s rookie season. Player Proj Finish FP Tar Rec Yds YPR TD Amari Cooper WR18 226.6 132 82 1019 12.5 6.6 On the surface, that seems like…...

Cheap pass catchers. It’s what Dire Straits was really singing about. Here’s a quick rundown of some wide receiver values, courtesy of the ADP Arbitrage App. Vincent Jackson vs. Marques Colston I’ve been waiting for Colston to reach the end of the line for a while now, but he’s so cheap he’s become a good investment. Our staff projections have them finishing within a few points…...

Jared Abbrederis is on the roster bubble, in part because Jeff Janis is “way ahead of him.” Might want to acquire Janis if your bench has room. If you look at all the non-Jordy Nelson, non-Randall Cobb receivers in Green Bay, Janis looks to be the best of the bunch. Player Ht Wt 40 SpdScore Explosion msRECYDS msTDs TD/G Jeff Janis 75 219 4.42 115 160.5 0.45 0.45…...

As both the NFL and fantasy seasons are on summer vacation, I thought I’d take a quick look at some deep sleeper wide receivers that might, maybe, possibly, have some fantasy relevance later. Odds are against these players; think of this exercise as updating your emergency waiver claim lists. To get an opportunity, these players would need to flat-out dominate in training camp, or benefit from an injury…...

You wanna stream quarterbacks? You wanna do the “late round” thing? You wanna try the newest version of the hair-on-fire QB strategy? Consider the Buffalo Bills’ potential starting quarterback. Not this guy: Cassel doesn’t move well, he doesn’t always throw the prettiest ball, and has easily had the worst-looking practice performances of all of the quarterbacks.  …...

It’s an annual rite of summer. Prognosticating which underwhelming veterans are likely to be overtaken by intriguing rookies. This year is no exception, with many people forecasting big things for new Arizona Cardinals’ running back David Johnson, at the expense of incumbent lead back Andre Ellington…....

Cleveland Running Backs Apparently, Cleveland wants to pass more to their running backs. On the one hand, they had a crappy wide receiver corps last year and still didn’t pass much to RBs, so keep that in mind. On the other hand, presumably even NFL coaches are capable of adapting. We’ll see. I do agree with Justin Bailey’s recent point that, whether running or receiving,…...

The RotoViz team has been hunkered down at our corporate headquarters, churning out fantasy football projections for the upcoming season. We’re using a souped-up version of the Projection Machine to do this, and in turn, those projections are powering various site Apps, like the Best Ball ADP App and Draft Optimizer App. Here’s a quick look at a few players we like more than the…...

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  A quick rundown of IDP rookie situations around the league, starting with NFC teams. For this post I’ll use the same basic idea used in the pre-draft IDP Opportunity Reports. Players are listed in order of greatest opportunity. Opportunity is simply defined as the net number of missing plays from 2014 at the player’s position, after accounting for offseason roster changes. There are obviously more…...

  The Giants drafted Alabama safety Landon Collins with the first pick of the second round in the 2015 NFL Draft. There are some legitimate reasons to think he has the potential to be one of the top IDP defensive backs this season. The College Comparables To begin, I pulled a set of college seasons similar to Collins’ final year at Alabama. Name Year Solo Assist TFL…...

  As My Fantasy League MFL10 season heats up, here’s a look at a few late round quarterback options you might want to consider. Past Results Do Not Guarantee Future Performance This is a true statement. But most of the time, we don’t act like we know it. To demonstrate, I prepared this simple chart. Using last year’s MFL10 results, I determined that the threshold…...

Theo Riddick A 2015 breakout might be off the table, but a recent article at MLive provides some reasons to think Riddick will have a valuable role in 2015. First is that Riddick is probably a better pass catcher than either Joique Bell or Ameer Abdullah at this point. Second is that, if offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi mimics his New Orleans roots, having three backs with diverse…...

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