3 Reasons to Love Landon Collins

 

The Giants drafted Alabama safety Landon Collins with the first pick of the second round in the 2015 NFL Draft. There are some legitimate reasons to think he has the potential to be one of the top IDP defensive backs this season.

The College Comparables

To begin, I pulled a set of college seasons similar to Collins’ final year at Alabama.

Name Year Solo Assist TFL Tot Tkl Sack QBH FumFor PBU Int
Landon Collins 2014 60 43 4.5 103 0 2 1 7 3
Average AVE 59.4 34.9 4.6 98.9 0.5 0.6 1.6 7.1 3.0
Clayton Geathers 2013 64 36 4.5 104.5 0 0 2 10 2
Jimmie Ward 2013 62 33 2.5 97.5 1 0 1 10 7
Duke Williams 2012 69 36 5.5 110.5 0 0 3 9 1
Kenny Vaccaro 2012 59 37 3.5 99.5 0 3 2 5 2
Johnathan Cyprien 2012 54 39 3.5 96.5 0 0 1 5 4
Bradley McDougald 2011 68 21 5 94 1 0 1 5 2
DeJon Gomes 2010 55 44 3 102 1 0 2 7 3
Quinton Carter 2010 59 38 2.5 99.5 0 0 0 6 4
Eric Berry 2009 56 31 7 94 0 3 1 7 2
T.J. Ward 2008 64 37 5.5 106.5 1 0 4 8 1
Darrell Stuckey 2008 60 38 4.5 102.5 0 0 2 7 5
Patrick Chung 2008 58 34 6.5 98.5 2 1 1 6 1
Barry Church 2008 57 36 5.5 98.5 0 0 3 6 1
Rashad Johnson 2008 60 29 5 94 1 0 1 11 5
William Moore 2008 55 31 6.5 92.5 1 1 3 6 1

That’s an admittedly hand-picked set of comparables; there are many other players with similar seasons who didn’t accomplish anything in the NFL. But it demonstrates the potential of a player with Collins’ history of production. The main variable that distinguishes these players, and Collins, from the also-rans is draft pedigree.

The Draft Doppelgangers

Here’s a look at at all the 200+ pound safeties drafted within 10 picks of Collins, since 2006.

Player Ht Wt 40 SpdScore Vert Broad Explosion Shuttle Cone Agility Dpos
Landon Collins 72 228 4.53 108.3 35 120 155 4.33 7.38 11.71 33
Average 71.48 201.4 4.47 101.4 34.3 116.1 150.4 3.94 6.10 10.04 34.76
Kenny Phillips 74 217 4.48 107.7 32.5 121 153.5 4.27 6.97 11.24 31
Jonathan Cyprien 72 217 4.64 93.6 38.5 119 157.5 4.44 7.01 11.45 33
Harrison Smith 74 214 4.54 100.7 34 122 156 4.12 6.63 10.75 29
Patrick Chung 71 212 4.49 104.3 34 119 153 0 0 0 34
Deone Bucannon 73 211 4.48 104.8 36.5 125 161.5 4.26 6.96 11.22 27
Nate Allen 72 210 4.5 102.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 37
Daniel Bullocks 72 210 4.38 114.1 38 124 162 4.18 6.92 11.1 40
Matt Elam 70 208 4.43 108.0 35.5 118 153.5 0 0 0 32
Jimmy Williams 74 205 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 37
Aaron Williams 72 204 4.55 95.2 37.5 127 164.5 4.07 6.72 10.79 34
Louis Delmas 71 202 4.52 96.8 37 126 163 4.17 6.67 10.84 33
Daniel Manning 71 202 4.48 100.3 39 123 162 4.08 7.24 11.32 42
Brandon Meriweather 71 200 4.47 100.2 35 111 146 4.33 7.06 11.39 24
Eric Weddle 71 200 4.48 99.3 33.5 113 146.5 4.12 6.78 10.9 37
T.J. Ward 70 200 4.56 92.5 34 121 155 0 0 0 38
Jarius Byrd 70 200 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 42
Tyrell Johnson 71 200 4.41 105.8 32 127 159 0 0 0 43
Roman Harper 72 200 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 43

On a raw basis, he’s one of the slowest, and the least agile of the group. Shawn Siegele rightfully refers to his athleticism as linebacker-esque.1

But he’s also the heaviest safety listed. When weight is factored in, he has one of the top speed scores in the group. I’m not so much saying that speed score is an important metric for strong safeties, as I am saying that in the context of his size, his speed is actually above average. Collins compares well athletically to this cohort, which in turn has been largely successful in the NFL.

Can You Start Today?

So Collins has good college and draft comparables. But perhaps the biggest thing he has going for him is opportunity. The Giants are missing a total of 2188 plays from 2014 at the safety position. That’s…a lot of plays to fill.

To add to that extreme level of opportunity, the rest of the Giants’ safety corps is uninspiring, to say the least. It includes a second year player who ran a 4.71 40-yard dash and played just 32 defensive snaps last season, a fifth round tweener fully expected to be a role player, a converted corner recovering from microfracture surgery, another converted corner who only managed to play 292 defensive snaps last year, and a third-year player who’s appeared in a total of 10 games and recorded no defensive stats last season. So even if Collins struggles, it will be extremely difficult for the Giants to take him off the field, given the lack of talent and depth behind him.

Conclusion

Departed S Antrel Rolle was a top-20 IDP DB last season. That should be Collins’ floor. Combine his strong history of production and draft status with plenty of available playing time and weak competition, and a DB1 finish seems likely. In tackle heavy formats, he could contend for the top finish overall.

  1. That’s not necessarily a bad thing. If you head to Mock Draftable and compare Collins to LBs, his comps include Eric Kendricks, Kwon Alexander, and Lavonte David.  (back)
What we do
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.