It’s late July and FanDuel has already released their pricing for Week 1. So here I am trying to delve into these prices already. I’m not going to go too in depth on these, but just wanted to rattle off my thoughts. A lot can change between now and then, between injuries and roster changes, but these are my first impressions of their pricing. I suppose this is a good time to mention that my Joe 2 Pro series will be returning for it’s second year. Here is my first article on how to enter daily fantasy sports without drowning immediately. Some items will be changing in that article this season like my starting bankroll on each site, but otherwise everything in that article still holds true.
For Week 1 there are four games that have an over/under over 50. The first QB that sticks out to me is Matt Ryan ($8,800) at home against Philadelphia with a current over/under of 53.5. We all know Chip Kelly runs a fast paced offense which gives opponents more offensive opportunities as well. Eli Manning ($8,300) against a Dallas secondary that is fairly weak (they’re ranked in the bottom 10 in pass coverage according to Pro Football Focus) also looks good. The Giants ran the fourth most plays in the league last year and now Manning should have Odell Beckham JR ready right away, something he didn’t have at the beginning of last year. If you’re looking to go ultra cheap at QB, if Sam Bradford isn’t able to go, Mark Sanchez is only $6,600 against Atlanta with the highest over/under on the slate. Aaron Rodgers tops the list of QBs at $9,700, and would make for an easy cash game anchor for your lineups if you’re the type of person that pays up at QB. The Bears defense is one of the absolute worst in the league and Rodgers shouldn’t have a problem having his way with them.
Adrian Peterson is the highest priced RB at $9,200, but I am not sure I am willing to pay for that price tag on someone who has been out of the league for an entire season, despite the 49ers losing some key pieces in the LB corps. But if I do have an abundance of salary leftover, some exposure to AP won’t hurt. Eddie Lacy ($8,500) priced at RB8 against a weak Chicago defense will likely find his way on to many of my rosters Week 1. Jonathan Stewart ($7,100) finally has the backfield to himself and Carolina are four point favorites against Jacksonville’s mediocre run defense.
The very first thing I noticed yesterday when prices came out was how outrageously cheap Jordan Matthews was. He’s a mere $6,800 priced at WR26 against an Atlanta secondary that is ranked fourth worst per Pro Football Focus. Allen Robinson at $6,100 will make for a great salary cap saver as he comes in $500 under the average salary per player. If you don’t want to pay the $9,000 for Julio Jones, Roddy White ($7,600) has a fair price against Philadelphia. This sounds repetitive, but I’ll probably have a lot of exposure to the Eagles and Falcons game.
At tight end usually it’s the same question every week …. “do I play Gronk?” Luckily he’s got the the Thursday game Week 1 so the Gronk conundrum is already solved for us for the Sunday slate. Jimmy Graham ($6,900) is not somebody I’ll be actively targeting. Typically, if I’m not paying for Gronk I’ll dive to the lower tier of tight ends. Although Travis Kelce ($6,000) could be an exception. The Texans only have one linebacker who received a positive pass coverage grade from Pro Football Focus.
When healthy, Jordan Cameron ($5,500) has been one of the more efficient tight ends in the league, he could make for an intriguing play Week 1. And you knew this one was coming …. Ladarius Green ($5,700) finally gets to start with the suspension of Antonio Gates.
When actually thrown to, he’s been one of Philip Rivers’ better targets, but he’s been overshadowed by Gates, playing only 27 percent of snaps last season. Per Pro Football Focus, Green ranked 19th in fantasy points per opportunity and he also tied Kelce for the third best catch percentage (83 percent) in the league among TEs.
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