Fantasy football waiver wire advice for Week 4 of the 2017 season.
The parameters and assumptions of this weekly waiver wire advice column can be found in the preseason introduction. Let’s review my previous recommendations, and then see what we can scrounge up for Week 4 waiver wire advice.
Season to Date Waiver Wire Recap
Presented by the week and in the order in which they were recommended.
|Player||Week First Recommended||Comment|
|Charles Sims||Preseason||A non-factor so far. Safe to drop.|
|Kendall Wright||Preseason||Leads Bears WRs in targets. Small value in deep leagues, safe to drop in shallow leagues.|
|Sam Bradford||Preseason||Will be a viable starter when he returns from injury.|
|Charcandrick West||Preseason||Safe to drop.|
|Sterling Shepard||1||Solid hold; see below.|
|Austin Hooper||1||No need to roster in most formats. Matchup based play.|
|Jamaal Charles||1||Solid hold; see below.|
|Shane Vereen||1||Usage fell off after Week 1; hold if desperate.|
|Cole Beasley||1||13 targets in two games. Deep league hold, pending MNF.|
|De'Angelo Henderson||1||Safe to drop.|
|Tarik Cohen||2||Potential league winner. Most hold, worth a trade inquiry.|
|Kerwynn Williams||2||Safe to drop.|
|Marqise Lee||2||Jaguars leading receiver by targets and air yards. Solid hold.|
|Allen Hurns||2||Less usage but TDs help. Hold.|
|Nelson Agholor||2||Deep league hold, shallow league drop.|
|Javorius Allen||2||Solid hold; see below.|
|Jermaine Kearse||2||Solid hold in deep leagues. Hold if desperate in shallow leagues.|
|Danny Amendola||2||Safe to drop but keep on the radar.|
|Cooper Kupp||2||Solid hold in deep leagues. Hold if desperate in shallow leagues.|
|Paul Richardson||2||Solid hold; see below.|
|Chris Carson||2||Solid hold.|
|Chris Ivory||2||Straight handcuff, nothing more.|
|Tyler Ervin||2||Safe to drop.|
|Charles Clay||2||Solid hold, viable streamer and spot starter.|
|Devin Funchess||3||Solid hold; see below.|
|Rashard Higgins||3||Hold in deep leagues. Hold if desperate in shallow leagues.|
|Ben Watson||3||Safe to drop but keep on the radar. Streamer / matchup potential.|
|Zach Miller||3||Safe to drop.|
|Samaje Perine||3||Safe to drop.|
A full analysis of each of these players would take more time than either you or I have. Fortunately, most situations are straightforward. If they’re not, please hit me up in the comments. In brief:
- Sam Bradford should be a solid streamer when he returns.
- Marqise Lee has 33 percent of Jacksonville’s air yards and is a weekly candidate for a flex spot. Allen Hurns has a solid 21 percent share of air yards and decent TD upside. These two should have rest of season value.
- Jermaine Kearse was overshadowed by Robby Anderson but should still have more value rest of season.
- Tarik Cohen is arguably an RB2 or flex option with rest of season value.
- Javorius Allen looks like he’ll have rest of season value too, despite a poor Week 3.
- Charles Clay should be rostered and is a candidate to start most weeks.
- The rest of the TEs recommended so far may have streaming appeal based on matchup but probably don’t need to be rostered in most formats.
- Some of the rest will be covered below, as part of Week 4 waivers.
Week 4 Waiver Wire Advice
Percent of ESPN leagues where the player is available is in parentheses. Players are listed in the order I prefer them, but that may not apply to your league settings. Hit me up in the comments or on the Message Boards for more specific advice.
Tarik Cohen (60%)
He should be owned everywhere. He leads all RBs1 with 20 catches and 25 targets and is 16th in rushing yards. Even when Jordan Howard is racking up huge totals, Cohen is still producing startable points: 25, 14, and 14 in his first three games. If for some reason he’s still available in your league, make a big bid to get him.
Javorius Allen (57%)
Week 3 was a disaster, but Allen still led the Ravens in targets. Alex Collins had a better rushing line, but it was accrued almost entirely in garbage time. Terrance West started but lost a fumble and has just four targets through three games. Allen remains the best bet in Baltimore’s backfield. He’s still worth a modest to large bid.
Wendell Smallwood (98%)
This is contingent on Darren Sproles missing significant time. In Sproles absence, Smallwood earned 12 attempts and averaged 5.9 yards per carry in Week 3. He’s still in a committee with LeGarrette Blount, but Smallwood should still see a decent amount of rushing attempts and pick up most of Sproles passing targets. I wouldn’t argue if you liked him more than Javorius Allen. However, I think Smallwood will be the higher profile waiver add, so he’ll probably cost more than Allen. He’s worth a modest to large bid, since he should have solid value as long as Sproles is out.
Paul Richardson (97%)
His seasonal (24 percent) and weekly (20 percent) share of air yards are strong, and he has just two fewer targets than Jimmy Graham. He’s been targeted more often than Tyler Lockett and gets the Colts and Rams defenses next. He’s worth a modest bid, possibly a large bid if Doug Baldwin’s injury looks like it will cost him time.
Sterling Shepard (69%)
He’s earned 19 percent of the Giants air yards and 22 targets through three weeks. Eli Manning is second in the league in pass attempts; I expect the high volume of passing to continue, but Shepard’s upside is capped by Odell Beckham and Evan Engram. Even Brandon Marshall showed signs of life in Week 3. He’s worth a modest bid.
Devin Funchess (88%)
He hasn’t produced much, but the opportunity is there. He has 33 percent of Carolina’s air yards through three weeks, bolstered by a 55 percent share in Week 3 when Kelvin Benjamin left with an injury. If Benjamin misses time, Funchess stands to get a lot of work. His status is limited a bit by Carolina’s poor overall offense. For WR needy teams, he’s worth a modest bid.
Jamaal Charles (80%)
He’s received at least nine rushing attempts in each of Denver’s three games, and out-carried C.J. Anderson in Week 3. For the season, he’s averaging 5.1 yards per carry, not far off his career average of 5.4. I’m not sure he’s the Charles of old, but he does seem to be forcing a more even split of work in the Broncos backfield. The immediate upside may not be there as long as Anderson is healthy and playing well, but I still think Charles is worth a moderate bid based on the potential upside.
Will Fuller (100%)
In Week 3 it was Bruce Ellington that earned 33 percent of Houston’s air yards. But I believe Fuller is a better player, and since he’s back practicing, he should see game action soon. Ellington will command some attention on the waiver wire, but Fuller will hopefully go unnoticed. You might be a week early, but I think it’s worth grabbing Fuller now while it will take just a small bid.
Ryan Griffin (100%)
A solid streaming option as long as C.J. Fiedorowicz is on injured reserve. Griffin earned 74 targets last year, and Fiedorowicz earned 89. Griffin’s six targets in Week 3 could be the new normal. Only warrants a small bid. Most fantasy owners won’t be on him.
D’Onta Foreman (96%)
After earning 12 opportunities (attempts plus targets) in Week 2, Foreman earned 11 in Week 3. Despite this rather sizable workload, Lamar Miller is still top-eight in terms of rushing attempts. Foreman is on the cusp of carving out standalone value, and if Miller misses time Foreman should get a huge workload. He warrants a small bid right now.
Evan Engram (83%)
Tied for seventh in TE targets. Volume should be there in New York. He’s worth a small bid for streamers and desperados.
Shane Vereen (72%)
His usage has cratered since Week 1. You may not need to spend anything to pick him up, and you may not want to. He should have a valuable role on a team that needs to pass a lot, but so far it hasn’t emerged.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins (99%)
He caught 5 of 6 targets in his return to action. The Jets should be passing a lot. Worth a look in very deep leagues.
Vernon Davis (96%)
Definitely consider him whenever Jordan Reed looks unlikely to play, but no need to roster him otherwise.
Geronimo Allison (100%)
He’s worth a look if Randall Cobb (or another Packers WR) looks likely to miss time, but otherwise doesn’t need to be rostered.
Elijah McGuire (100%)
He earned almost as much work as Matt Forte, who got dinged up in Week 3. But it’s still a three-way committee on a bad offense. Only for the deepest of leagues or most desperate situations.
Other than Tarik Cohen and maybe Javorius Allen, there aren’t any real slam dunk choices this week. There’s a little bit of everything, which should help keep prices down. This is a good week to remind you that, if you don’t have a glaring need, you don’t necessarily have to bid on anyone.
The order I’ve listed players in this week is also a bit subject to your needs. I like the offenses for Richardson and Smallwood better than for Shepard and Funchess, but the latter pair could see greater overall volume. Charles and Foreman have very modest value right now, but huge contingent value if Anderson or Miller miss time. That might make them worth a higher bid. Tight end is a streamable position so I don’t ever spend much there, but I like Griffin as a sneaky candidate to put up low-end TE1 numbers over the rest of the season.
- Through Sunday night. (back)