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2018 NFL Draft Prospect: Michael Gallup

On December 16th, Michael Gallup will lead the Colorado State Rams against the Marshall Thundering Herd in the New Mexico Bowl. Gallup has paired with quarterback Nick Stevens and running back Dalyn Dawkins to form the 14th most efficient offense in the country according to S&P+.

After two seasons at Butler Community College, Gallup transferred to Colorado State and has since exploded onto the FBS scene. In just 25 games, Gallup has 170 receptions, 2,622 yards receiving, and 21 touchdowns.

A TORRID FINISH IN 2016

As a three-star JUCO recruit according to 247 Sports, Gallup was a bit of an unknown heading into the 2016 season. And through the first five games of the season, results were middling — 248 receiving yards and 2 TDs. Then, things escalated quickly.

In his final eight games, Gallup scored at least one TD in every game, averaged 128 receiving yards, and never had fewer than 91 receiving yards in a game. On the season, Gallup accounted for 44 percent of Colorado State’s receiving yards and TDs. This metric, known as Dominator Rating, is an excellent way to contextualize the true share of production for a single player.

Because of his stellar debut at the FBS level in 2016, Gallup was on my radar as a guy to watch for 2017. One strong season doesn’t always signal future success.

CONTINUED PRODUCTION IN 2017

After starting off strong against Oregon State with 134 receiving yards on 11 receptions, Gallup continued to produce at a high level, albeit in a somewhat inconsistent manner.

OPPONENTRECREYDSRETDS
Oregon State111340
Colorado5670
Abilene Christian101081
Alabama5810
Hawaii82121
Utah State7880
Nevada132633
New Mexico6580
Air Force71611
Wyoming4290
Boise State111021
San Jose State7470

I’ll admit, we’d rather not see a literal statistical roller coaster when discussing one of the best WRs in the country, but what Gallup lacked in consistency, he more than made up for with insane upside. And against Alabama, the ninth-most efficient pass defense according to S&P+, Gallup hit the 80-yard threshold, just the second player to do so this season.

Gallup’s Dominator Rating dipped to 0.32 in 2017, largely due to the precipitous drop in TD production compared to 2016. Still, his market share numbers impress compared to 2017’s Tier Two prospects and when measured against last year’s four-year seniors.1

NFL Draft Prospects

Michael Gallup has two seasons of impressive production at the FBS level, accounting for a combined 38 percent of Colorado State’s receiving production since 2016. He’s shown streaks of consistent production as well as incredible single-game ceilings.

On the downside, Gallup is 6-foot-1, 200 pounds, lacking the ideal size we generally associate with top-end NFL producers at the WR position. He also failed to produce at times in his final season, often against sub-par competition. And he falls in a sub-optimal node of Kevin Cole’s WR Regression Tree.

Gallup’s draft stock is rising as the seventh-ranked WR according to CBS Sports’ prospect rankings. He’ll also be participating in the 2018 Senior Bowl, another opportunity to impress scouts. But in the meantime, check him out against Marshall in the New Mexico Bowl. Until then you can find highlights below.

  1. He trails Corey Davis and Zay Jones but trumps the rest.  (back)

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