Welcome back to When The Devy Breaks, your weekly rundown of the college football landscape and how it affects your devy league rosters. It’s been a wildly entertaining regular season up to this point. And with just one week, the stakes couldn’t be higher.
Week 14 offers up five marquee matchups between ranked opponents, each one with either conference title or national title implications. Cincinnati heads to Memphis, Oklahoma travels to Oklahoma State, Minnesota hosts Wisconsin, Ohio State goes to Michigan, and Auburn welcomes Alabama. But before we dig into a terrific Thanksgiving weekend slate of games, let’s get a sense of how the devy market is moving.
Pooka Williams, RB, Kansas
Williams has been one of the most dynamic RBs in the country over the last two seasons. As a freshman in 2018, he amassed 1,414 total yards and 9 TDs, averaging 7.3 yards per touch. His per-touch efficiency has slipped this season (5.5 yards per touch). But he’s still averaging over 100 total yards per game.
At just 170 pounds, it’s fair to worry about Williams’ long term durability. And a domestic battery charge last year is a mark on his prospect profile that can’t be erased. But on the field, few Power Five RBs have shown his level of explosiveness and production as both a runner and receiver at such a young age. Williams is a high-upside devy prospect who will continue to gain value assuming he sees no more off-field troubles.
Denzel Mims, WR, Baylor
After posting back-to-back seasons with eight TDs, Mims has 11 TDs this season and is closing in on his second 1,000-yard receiving campaign. He’s also posted consecutive seasons with a Dominator Rating of 0.30 or better, surpassing the threshold we generally look for in WR prospects.
The downside here includes Mims’ age (22.1) and expiring eligibility, two factors worth considering come prospect evaluation time. But nonetheless, he’s an interesting prospect with good size and speed who could rise up draft boards next spring.
Warren Jackson, WR, Colorado State
At 6 feet 6 inches, 215 pounds, you’d assume it would be tough for Jackson to sneak up on anyone. But he’s very quietly been dominating this season, ranking fourth in the country in yards receiving on a per-game basis (115). And he’s doing so at just 20.5 years old. If he declares early and gets drafted this spring, he’ll be in the enviable position of being a 21-year-old rookie, a positive indicator for his future outlook.
His poor athletic profile from high school gives me pause when it comes to his pre-draft workouts, but I’m willing to wait and see if he’s made enough progress during his three collegiate seasons. Jackson should be on everyone’s devy radar as a low-risk, high-reward type prospect.
Jake Fromm, QB, Georgia
This is a tough one for me considering how high I’ve been on Fromm in the past. But after a sophomore season where he averaged 10.1 adjusted yards per attempt, it appears we’ve seen some regression in Fromm’s game. He’s still completing 63% of his throws while limiting his turnovers (just 3 INTs). But there’s almost no flash left in his game operating in a Georgia offense that scares no one.
It’s possible Fromm returns for his senior season and improves his numbers. And even if he does declare early this spring, he’ll still be one of the younger QBs in the class (21.3), a positive sign for his outlook. But I no longer view Fromm as a guaranteed first-round devy pick in superflex leagues like I once did.
Trade Target Of The Week
Joe Ngata, WR, Clemson
Ngata arrived at Clemson this spring with plenty of fanfare. But he also landed in one of deepest and most talented WR corps in the entire country. But through 11 games he has the third-most targets on the team (33) posting a 16-223-3 receiving line. His Dominator Rating won’t come close to breakout territory this season. But with Tee Higgins, Amari Rodgers, and Diondre Overton all potentially leaving after this season, Ngata is staring at a big opportunity bump in 2020.
Most devy owners likely realize this, making this acquisition a tricky one. But I’m willing to get aggressive in this case knowing Ngata has at least one more season tied to Trevor Lawrence. He’s a priority target for me heading into next season.