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When The Devy Breaks: Chris Olave Is Set Up For A Monster Season In 2020

Welcome back to When The Devy Breaks, your weekly rundown of the college football landscape and how it affects your devy league rosters. Here are a few quick storylines from last weekend’s slate of action:

  • Miami (FL) went to Tallahassee and beat rival Florida State 27-10, which ending up being the final game for former Seminoles’ head coach Willie Taggart.
  • Georgia QB Jake Fromm was excellent against Florida throwing for 279 yards, two TDs, and no INTs in a 24-17 win against Florida.
  • USC QB Kedon Slovis threw for three TDs against Oregon but also tossed three INTs in a rough 56-24 loss at home in the Coliseum.

Looking ahead to Week 11, the slate is jam-packed with impactful matchups both on a macro-level with regards to the college football playoff, as well as on a micro-level highlighting terrific individual situational spots. But first, let’s take a look at who’s up and who’s down from a devy value perspective.

Stock Up

David Bell, WR, Purdue

Bell arrived at Purdue a highly-touted recruit looking to fill in a secondary role behind all-world WR Rondale Moore. But with Moore sidelined for the last six games, it’s been Bell who has emerged as the go-to target in the Boilermakers’ passing game.

Despite totaling just 41 yards receiving in his last two games, Bell is averaging 91 yards per game against Big Ten opponents. He’s done so with a revolving cast of characters at QB, most recently catching passes from another true freshman, Jack Plummer. We should expect Bell’s production to dip if/when Moore returns. But he’s shown enough in Moore’s absence to make him a clear buy target in devy formats.

Zack Moss, RB, Utah

Moss has been on the devy radar for some time now. He entered 2019 off consecutive seasons with at least 1,000 yards rushing and 10 TDs while also serving as a competent pass catcher averaging 1.2 receptions per game. And despite battling injuries this season, the 5-foot-11-inch, 222-pound senior continues to impress.

Currently on pace to set career highs in yards rushing, TDs, and yards receiving, Moss appears to be peaking at just the right time. He was already primed to be a draft value based on a loaded 2020 class. But if Utah continues their march to a potential playoff berth, Moss’s draft capital should only increase.

Dyami Brown, WR, North Carolina

The ascendance of Tar Heels’ true freshman QB Sam Howell can largely be attributed to the emergence of sophomore WR Dyami Brown. A top-200 recruit from the 2018 class, Brown saw limited opportunity last season (17-173-1 in 9 games) but has quickly become the field stretcher in North Carolina’s passing attack.

Brown has accounted for 29% of his team’s receiving yards and TDs so far this season while averaging over 20 yards per reception. With at least one more season of eligibility left to grow with an exciting young QB, Brown needs to be rostered in almost every devy league, especially those with deeper benches.

Stock Down

Mohamed Ibrahim, RB, Minnesota

It’s difficult to find flaws in this undefeated Gophers squad.1 But one slight disappointment has been Ibrahim who entered the season as one of the better sophomore RBs in the country based on freshman-year production:

It’s not all Ibrahim’s fault of course, as Minnesota is blessed with two other talented and experienced RBs in Rodney Smith and Shannon Brooks. Looking ahead to 2020, it’s likely we see Ibrahim assume a lead role with Smith and Brooks on their last year of eligibility. But for those who were hoping for a sophomore jump in 2019, it’s been a letdown thus far.

Trade Target Of The Week

Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State

Not only is Olave leading the Buckeyes in receiving yards (402) and TDs (8) through eight games, he’s also in spitting distance of finishing his sophomore season with the preferred 0.30 Dominator Rating.2 He’s also likely to see an additional bump in opportunity next season with K.J. Hill, Binjimen Victor, and Austin Mack all on their last season of eligibility.

Tied to a Heisman Trophy candidate in QB Justin Fields for at least one more season, it’s possible we’ve only scratched the surface of what Olave’s ceiling looks like. A stream of four- and five-star recruits is bound for Columbus to challenge Olave, along with the much-hyped Garrett Wilson. But Olave seems cemented in his role as a lead WR in a lethal offense headed on an upward trajectory.

Image Credit: Adam Lacy/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Chris Olave.

  1. Aside from their dreadful special teams which rank 128th in the nation according to ESPN.  (back)
  2. Olave has accounted for 25% of Ohio State’s receiving production this season.  (back)

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