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Super Deep Fantasy Sleepers: Indianapolis Colts

In the coming weeks, the RotoViz team is going to dig deep to uncover the most buried and overlooked sleepers in the fantasy football landscape.

These are the guys that seemingly have no shot at significance, but with a little imagination and a little luck, could pay off in deeper formats.

Next up, two deep sleepers for the Indianapolis Colts.

Ryan Grant

MFL10 ADP: WR95

Scenario: He holds off Chester Rogers and Andrew Luck remains upright

Prior to the positive reports regarding Luck’s shoulder I wrote about fading T.Y. Hilton. Now that Luck appears healthy, my outlook for the Colts’ passing game has understandably improved. Grant is in a battle for the No. 2 WR role in new head coach Frank Reich’s offense. Coming off a career-best season in Washington (45/563/4) the Colts signed him to a one-year, $5 million contract. Grant was extremely efficient on his short and intermediate targets in 2017.

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This matches up nicely with Andrew Luck who has been at or above league-average in terms of PACR on similar throws from a clean pocket.

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Grant is a sub-par athlete and has yet to break 600 yards receiving in a season at age 27. But targets are the lifeblood of fantasy scoring. And outside of Hilton, there’s no other Colts’ WR with a guaranteed role. With an MFL10 ADP hovering around the 19th round, Grant is an extremely cheap option within shouting distance of a decent amount of opportunity.

Christine Michael

MFL10 ADP: Undrafted

Scenario: RB injuries or rookie ineffectiveness

I understand if you’ve sworn off Michael forever after years of waiting for a breakout that hasn’t come. But as a member of a backfield with no clear-cut workhorse, there might still be an opportunity for Michael to redeem himself.

Michael finds himself in a crowded backfield led by perceived starter Marlon Mack. Rookies Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins and veterans Robert Turbin (suspended) and Josh Ferguson round out the group. That’s a lot of bodies, but not much in the way of proven production. Michael spent all of last season on injured reserve, but in 2016, showed above-average game speed, further validating his sterling athletic profile.

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And when given the chance at lead-RB duties (15+ carries) over the course of his career he’s averaged 76 yards rushing per game in seven games. He also posted three top-11 PPR performances during the first six games of 2016 in Seattle.

Michael’s one-year, $750,000 contract makes him a cut candidate if he fails to separate himself in training camp. If he does make the final 53-man roster, there’s still no guarantee he’ll see touches. But if everything lines up, and he somehow gets a shot at the starting gig, don’t you want to be holding stock in Michael when that happens?

Conclusion

If you’re searching for cheap targets, Grant appears to be a solid option in redraft assuming we get word in camp on his starting status opposite Hilton. Even if he doesn’t pan out, he’s essentially free to acquire leaving very little bust potential.

If you can avoid the traumatic flashbacks associated with previous ownership, Michael is worth a stash at the end of very deep dynasty rosters in the hopes he emerges from an unsettled backfield. In redraft, he’s strictly a watchlist option at this point.

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