The Points Per Target Danger Zone: Wide Receivers Due for Regression

Dave Caban
July 11, 2018

Points per target (PPT) is not a sticky stat. The relationship between a wide receiver’s PPT in year N has little correlation with his PPT in year N+1. Simply put, we can’t count on a player’s efficiency in terms of PPT carrying from season to season.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

What’s included in your subscription??

Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
- A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
Revolutionary Tools
- Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
Groundbreaking Articles
- RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
Weekly Projections
- Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
Expert Rankings
And a whole lot more…

Dave Caban

Senior Fantasy Analyst, app developer, hosts the RotoViz Radio Flagship, auction draft enthusiast.

Range of Outcomes: 2026 Updates and the Tool That Brought Me Out of “Retirement”

Dave Caban August 11, 2026

Dave Caban returns to RotoViz armed with a new version of the Range of Outcomes tool — a perennial favorite that’s consistently given readers a sharper read on risk and reward than ADP or a typical projection ever could. Consider it the “one thing” that could drag him out of “retirement.” The last time I published an article on RotoViz was in December 2024. Life…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Going Deep: Week 17 Passing Matchups Preview

Dave Caban December 23, 2024

Dave Caban uses charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools like the Passing Game Matchup Rater to understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in Week 17.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Going Deep: Week 16 Passing Matchups Preview

Dave Caban December 20, 2024

Dave Caban uses charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools like the Passing Game Matchup Rater to understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in Week 16.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Range of Outcomes: 2026 Updates and the Tool That Brought Me Out of “Retirement”

Dave Caban August 11, 2026

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Going Deep: Week 17 Passing Matchups Preview

Dave Caban December 23, 2024

Dave Caban uses charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools like the Passing Game Matchup Rater to understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in Week 17.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Going Deep: Week 16 Passing Matchups Preview

Dave Caban December 20, 2024

Dave Caban uses charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools like the Passing Game Matchup Rater to understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in Week 16.