Dave Caban

Senior Fantasy Analyst, app developer, hosts the RotoViz Radio Flagship, auction draft enthusiast.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2024 Projections: Can Joe Burrow Sustain 2 Top-12 Wide Receivers?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Caleb Williams, D.J. Moore, and the Bears’ Revamped Passing Attack

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Chicago Bears while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Jonathon Brooks and Diontae Johnson Look to To Take Control of the Panthers’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Carolina Panthers while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: King Henry Reigns in Baltimore and Zay Flowers Has WR1 Upside

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Kyle Pitts and Drake London Look to Take Flight Alongside Kirk Cousins

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey Benson Look to Ignite the Cardinals’ Offense

Welcome to our first team-specific projection of 2024. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands of times. This year, I have added steps to better understand how a player’s fantasy scoring could…...

2024 Projections: Why This Year’s Will Be Our Most Actionable Set Yet

Last week, I published my first set of 2024 projections on the site. In previous years, I have shared a note like the one below when introducing them for the first time each season. Creating accurate fantasy football projections is a time-consuming process, but it’s one that I’ve grown to appreciate. It’s an important part of my annual offseason preparation because it helps me understand…...

Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

RB Breakaway Scores: Measuring the Explosiveness of the 2024 Rookies

Dave Caban uses his RB Breakaway Score metric to evaluate the 2024 rookie RB class and find the most explosive players in the class. It’s hard not to love explosive running backs — players who can take a handoff or a screen, find a hole, juke past a linebacker, and race to the end zone. These are the type of plays that circle through our…...

Using Regression Tree Analysis To Better Understand WR Prospects, Predict Where They Will Be Drafted, And Project The 2024 WR Class

Heading into the 2021 draft, Ja’Marr Chase was lauded by many as one of the best wide receiver prospects to enter the NFL in a decade. He was the highest-ranked prospect in our Rookie Guide that season and sat inside our top-20 dynasty rankings before the NFL Draft. Why were we, and many others, so optimistic about his future? It was pretty simple. He projected…...

Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, and Using A Historical Context to Evaluate the 2024 Rookie QB Class

Playing quarterback in the NFL is hard. Doing it well might be one of the most difficult things in all of sports. Predicting the players that will do so could be an equally challenging task. What can fantasy managers do to combat this and make the most of their rookie draft picks? Dave Caban reviews the relationship between collegiate production and NFL fantasy scoring to…...

Going Deep: Week 17 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 3

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 17 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 17 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 16 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 16 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 15 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 15 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 14 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 14 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

2024 Projections: Can Joe Burrow Sustain 2 Top-12 Wide Receivers?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Caleb Williams, D.J. Moore, and the Bears’ Revamped Passing Attack

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Chicago Bears while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Jonathon Brooks and Diontae Johnson Look to To Take Control of the Panthers’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Carolina Panthers while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: King Henry Reigns in Baltimore and Zay Flowers Has WR1 Upside

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Kyle Pitts and Drake London Look to Take Flight Alongside Kirk Cousins

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey Benson Look to Ignite the Cardinals’ Offense

Welcome to our first team-specific projection of 2024. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands of times. This year, I have added steps to better understand how a player’s fantasy scoring could…...

2024 Projections: Why This Year’s Will Be Our Most Actionable Set Yet

Last week, I published my first set of 2024 projections on the site. In previous years, I have shared a note like the one below when introducing them for the first time each season. Creating accurate fantasy football projections is a time-consuming process, but it’s one that I’ve grown to appreciate. It’s an important part of my annual offseason preparation because it helps me understand…...

Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

RB Breakaway Scores: Measuring the Explosiveness of the 2024 Rookies

Dave Caban uses his RB Breakaway Score metric to evaluate the 2024 rookie RB class and find the most explosive players in the class. It’s hard not to love explosive running backs — players who can take a handoff or a screen, find a hole, juke past a linebacker, and race to the end zone. These are the type of plays that circle through our…...

Using Regression Tree Analysis To Better Understand WR Prospects, Predict Where They Will Be Drafted, And Project The 2024 WR Class

Heading into the 2021 draft, Ja’Marr Chase was lauded by many as one of the best wide receiver prospects to enter the NFL in a decade. He was the highest-ranked prospect in our Rookie Guide that season and sat inside our top-20 dynasty rankings before the NFL Draft. Why were we, and many others, so optimistic about his future? It was pretty simple. He projected…...

Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, and Using A Historical Context to Evaluate the 2024 Rookie QB Class

Playing quarterback in the NFL is hard. Doing it well might be one of the most difficult things in all of sports. Predicting the players that will do so could be an equally challenging task. What can fantasy managers do to combat this and make the most of their rookie draft picks? Dave Caban reviews the relationship between collegiate production and NFL fantasy scoring to…...

Going Deep: Week 17 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 3

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 17 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 17 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 16 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 16 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 15 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 15 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 14 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 14 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

2024 Projections: Can Joe Burrow Sustain 2 Top-12 Wide Receivers?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Caleb Williams, D.J. Moore, and the Bears’ Revamped Passing Attack

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Chicago Bears while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Jonathon Brooks and Diontae Johnson Look to To Take Control of the Panthers’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Carolina Panthers while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: King Henry Reigns in Baltimore and Zay Flowers Has WR1 Upside

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Kyle Pitts and Drake London Look to Take Flight Alongside Kirk Cousins

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey Benson Look to Ignite the Cardinals’ Offense

Welcome to our first team-specific projection of 2024. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands of times. This year, I have added steps to better understand how a player’s fantasy scoring could…...

2024 Projections: Why This Year’s Will Be Our Most Actionable Set Yet

Last week, I published my first set of 2024 projections on the site. In previous years, I have shared a note like the one below when introducing them for the first time each season. Creating accurate fantasy football projections is a time-consuming process, but it’s one that I’ve grown to appreciate. It’s an important part of my annual offseason preparation because it helps me understand…...

Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

RB Breakaway Scores: Measuring the Explosiveness of the 2024 Rookies

Dave Caban uses his RB Breakaway Score metric to evaluate the 2024 rookie RB class and find the most explosive players in the class. It’s hard not to love explosive running backs — players who can take a handoff or a screen, find a hole, juke past a linebacker, and race to the end zone. These are the type of plays that circle through our…...

Using Regression Tree Analysis To Better Understand WR Prospects, Predict Where They Will Be Drafted, And Project The 2024 WR Class

Heading into the 2021 draft, Ja’Marr Chase was lauded by many as one of the best wide receiver prospects to enter the NFL in a decade. He was the highest-ranked prospect in our Rookie Guide that season and sat inside our top-20 dynasty rankings before the NFL Draft. Why were we, and many others, so optimistic about his future? It was pretty simple. He projected…...

Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, and Using A Historical Context to Evaluate the 2024 Rookie QB Class

Playing quarterback in the NFL is hard. Doing it well might be one of the most difficult things in all of sports. Predicting the players that will do so could be an equally challenging task. What can fantasy managers do to combat this and make the most of their rookie draft picks? Dave Caban reviews the relationship between collegiate production and NFL fantasy scoring to…...

Going Deep: Week 17 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 3

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 17 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 17 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 16 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 16 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 15 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 15 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 14 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

Going Deep: Week 14 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an…...

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