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Game Level Similarity Projections : Tight End Week 13

Here we are, folks. We have returned, complete with the GLSP numbers for tight ends heading into Week 13 of the NFL season. As always, the number come courtesy of the great Dave Caban. These projections are here to help you make the right choice when it comes to naming your lineups for the week ahead, in particular at the TE spot.

The GLSP, or Game Level Similarity Projections, offer you a tantalizing glimpse into how players could produce this week based on previous matchups. Let’s dive in and see what the numbers have in store this week.

PlayerTeamOppLowMedHighAVG
Travis KelceKCOAK13.31820.317.3
George KittleSFSEA10.716.32217.3
Zach ErtzPHIWAS8152216
Jordan ReedWASPHI814.317.314
Jared CookOAKKC712.71513
Rob GronkowskiNEMIN6.312.31513
Eric EbronINDJAX6111712.7
OJ HowardTBCAR6.312.715.712
Austin HooperATLBAL6.31014.312
Gerald EverettLARDET69.71511.3
Jonnu SmithTENNYJ61114.711
Chris Herndon IVNYJTEN6913.310.7
David NjokuCLEHOU4.78.71210
CJ UzomahCINDEN4.79.71210
Greg OlsenCARTB3.38.712.39.3
Vance McDonaldPITLAC47.710.79.3
Kyle RudolphMINNE48.7119
Evan EngramNYGCHI3.7711.79
Geoff SwaimDALNO4.37.712.39
Mark AndrewsBALATL36.710.38.7
Nick VannettSEASF3.36.712.38.7
Antonio GatesLACPIT2.77.311.38.3
Jeff HeuermanDENCIN26108
Ricky Seals-JonesARIGB2.36.79.38
Trey BurtonCHINYG46.79.37.7
Cameron BrateTBCAR2.76.3107.7
Vernon DavisWASPHI3.3597.7
Michael RobertsDETLAR25.79.77.3
Erik SwoopeINDJAX3787
Ed DicksonSEASF1.75.38.76.3
Jimmy GrahamGBARI1.746.35
Jesse JamesPITLAC1.7575
Dallas GoedertPHIWAS1.33.35.75
Benjamin WatsonNODAL1464.3

As big a Gerald Everett fan as I am — and I am a huge fan1 — I’m not in love with his projections this week. Sure, Everett had a huge game last time out against the Chiefs. But before that, he had only two games with three receptions this season. He has 48 yards or less in every game, and he had one touchdown. Yes, his numbers were great last time. But he only ran 11 routes. Tyler Higbee, a player not fit to lace Everett’s boots in my humble opinion, ran 36. This is going to cap any breakout from Everett.

The New York Jets offense would appear to be a mess regardless of whether the grandad (Josh McCown) or grandson (Sam Darnold) are playing at quarterback. That being said, rookie TE Chris Herndon has shown himself to be a reliable pass-catching option. He has eclipsed 10 fantasy points in four of his last six games. He’s not flashy or particularly exciting, admittedly. But if you are desperate for help — maybe you’ve lost O.J. Howard or Jack Doyle — Herndon offers something approaching a floor and a ceiling.

I’m done with you, C.J. Uzomah. Seriously, I can’t keep doing this with you. Every week, the projections tell me you’re in for a big game. Every week. But what have you given us? One game with more than 9.9 fantasy points. One game with more than 45 receiving yards. We’re done. The Bengals offense looks broken, and with a new QB in Jeff Driskel at the helm, all bets are off in my opinion. Do not trust Uzomah again.

  1. I’ve been writing about this kid for years.  (back)

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