The NFL landscape this week is very news-oriented. Doing the traditional DK Buffet would’ve led to way too many qualifiers on who’s playing and what may happen in each game. This is the last slate of full games until next September and season-long leagues are over for most, so I figure a lot of people are going for their lottery ticket win in GPPs. What better way to take down a GPP then looking for stacks.
Patrick Mahomes ($7,100) is shaping up to be the most popular QB on the slate. He’s only scored under 20 points in one game this year. Mahomes has thrown for multiple touchdowns in each of his last ten games. Tyreek Hill ($8,400) and Travis Kelce ($7,200) can both easily hit 20 percent ownership this weekend and it’s for good reason. They both have 25-plus DK-point ceilings and make sense in any format. If you’re looking for a way to get Mahomes in a more unique lineup, a stack of him with Chris Conley ($4,200) can give you some leverage. Over the past five games, Conley has seen a bump in usage thanks to Sammy Watkins’ absence. During that stretch, he’s seen 26 targets, including six in the red zone.
Saquon Barkley ($8,200) will be popular this week. He’s one of the most talented RBs in the league and there’s no real threat of them pulling him to save him for the playoffs because they aren’t making the playoffs. The team on the other side has nothing to gain either. The Cowboys are locked into the #4 seed in the NFC regardless of what happens on Sunday. Barkley will be playing against some combination of under-motivated defenders and/or second stringers. That bodes well for the New York Giants defense ($2,100), as well.
There are plenty of ways to stack other games and teams, but I figured I’d throw in some of my favorite contrarian stacks, rapid-fire style.
- Nick Mullens ($4,700), Kendrick Bourne ($3,800), and George Kittle ($6,300)
- Kittle is the obvious play here. He has #narrativestreet on his side as he chases the tight end single-season receiving record. He’s only dipped below seven targets on three occasions this season and has seen 61 over the past six games. Based on Michael Dubner’s touchdown expectation formula, he’s a full 2.5 TDs below expectation just in that time frame.
- Stacking him with Mullens and Bourne will virtually assure you of having a unique lineup, and if Kittle goes off, Mullens will easily pay off. If Bourne can find the end zone, this stack will provide massive value and it still allows you to pay up for whoever you want elsewhere.
- Matt Ryan ($6,300) and Calvin Ridley ($5,300)
- Ridley was hot garbage during the two-week stretch where they faced the Packers and Ravens but has seen 12 targets over the past two weeks and has flashed his upside already this season.
- Deshaun Watson ($6,600), Lamar Miller ($4,600) and Houston ($3,300)
- As nearly a touchdown favorite, the Texans are in a good spot in a must-win game. Bill O’Brien confirmed on Friday that Miller is good to go for Sunday. Watson has had multiple touchdowns in five of his past eight games. Heading into December, we saw the type of football the Texans wanted to play and it involved Miller in a big way. If the game goes that way, you’d imagine the Texans will get after Blake Bortles and we all know his propensity for turnovers.