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3 Inexpensive Devy Assets Poised For a Breakout … and a Price Increase

Acquiring devy assets is kind of like investing in the stock market. With time remaining in college, their value could drastically increase with a productive season or it could tank just as quickly. For rebuilding teams, this increases the importance of hitting on early-round picks. Additionally, with the volatility of these selections, finding a late-round gem can be incredibly valuable to teams.

Whether the player is coming from an under-the-radar college team or hasn’t broken out, skill players can quickly see their value skyrocket. Players like J.J. Arcega-WhitesideAndy Isabella, Hakeem Butler, and Darrell Henderson came from relative anonymity to become high selections in rookie drafts.

So, using the ADP data from the Devy Watch mock drafts, we’ll take a look at three unproven assets on the verge of a breakout due to exits in the program.

Jashaun Corbin, RB Texas A&M

6 feet 0 inches, 191 pounds

Trayveon Williams had been a key contributor in the Aggies’ offense since joining the team in 2016. Now, following Williams’ most productive season, the team will be forced to replace him with sophomore RB, Jashaun Corbin.

CarriesRuYardsMS RuYardsRuTDsMS RuTDs
278179162.21%1979.17%

Corbin was a four star prospect and the eighth ranked All-Purpose back in the 2018 247 Composite rankings. Despite being a wildcat QB in high school, Corbin was recruited by and had offers from multiple top programs as a RB. He compiled 4,400 all-purpose yards and 49 touchdowns during his high school career, including back-to-back 1,000 yard rushing seasons to close out his career. And with three seasons over 300 yards receiving, it helps demonstrate why college scouts believed he could provide a spark in the passing game in addition to his contributions as a runner.

During his freshman season in College Station, he saw limited time in the backfield. He only managed 71 total touches and 431 all-purpose yards, but at 5.7 yards per carry and 8.5 yards per reception, he was an efficient back who will likely earn more work this year. And as Anthony Amico has found, contributing in special teams can be an important component of prospect evaluation. Corbin averaged more than 30 yards per return on his 14 kick returns, including a 100-yard return for a touchdown.

Corbin is eligible for the 2021 NFL Draft and is currently being drafted 93rd overall in mock drafts. With all of Williams’ volume needing to be replaced, Corbin could be poised for a major increase in price.

Patrick Taylor Jr., RB Memphis

6 feet 3 inches, 223 pounds

Darrell Henderson became the gem of the RB class following an incredibly productive and efficient season. However, his backup, Patrick Taylor, may be an equally exciting prospect when the 2019 season finishes due to the volume leftover by Henderson’s exit.

CarriesRuYardsMS RuYardsRuTDsMS RuTDs
215193749.09%2347.92%

Taylor was a three-star prospect in the class of 2016 and ranked as the 107th RB in the 247 composite rankings. During his high school career, he amassed 2,467 all-purpose yards and 31 scores, including a senior year that saw him rush for 1,431 yards and 20 TDs. He also caught 17 passes for 190 yards and two TDs.

As a freshman, Taylor contributed 583 yards of offense and two scores and he followed it up with 1,014 yards in his sophomore campaign. Through his first two years, he averaged more than 5.6 yards per carry and looked poised to see increased volume as a junior. He had 208 attempts for 1,122  yards and 16 scores in a timeshare with Henderson while also catching 17 passes for 197 yards.

Taylor is entering his senior season and is currently being drafted as the 115th player overall in mock drafts. If he can absorb most of Henderson’s vacated production, Taylor could be an intriguing member of the 2020 RB class.

Elijah Moore, WR Ole Miss

5 feet 9 inches, 181 pounds

Ole Miss’s WR corps was at the center of discussions prior to the NFL draft with two projected early round selections and another receiver with a high pedigree. The exits of A.J. BrownD.K. Metcalf, and Demarkus Lodge have opened up unending volume for the younger members of the Rebels’ roster. And entering the 2019, only one receiver remains who has received meaningful volume at the collegiate level.

RecRecYardsMS RecYardsRecTDsMS RecTDs
194306273.66%1571.43%

Moore was a four star prospect in the 2018 class and ranked as the 38th WR in the 247 composite rankings as the 203rd overall prospect. Moore wasn’t a highly productive high school player with only 518 all-purpose yards and six touchdowns for his career. But he was a highly sought after recruit. Moore was a Georgia commit until he flipped on National Signing Day. QB Matt Corral was the jewel of the 2018 class and as the projected starter, he and Moore are projected as two key members of the offense.

Moore was a beneficiary of Metcalf’s early season injury as it allowed him to rank third in receptions for the team. As a freshman, he accumulated 36 receptions, 398 yards and two TDs. His 398 yards represented a 9.6% share of the team’s yardage total. And with the four of the team’s top six in receptions gone, Moore looks like the most likely contributor from the slot receiver position. In addition to his freshman season receiving production, Moore added over 250 return yards with 12 kick returns and 10 punt returns.

Moore is eligible for the 2021 NFL Draft and has a devy ADP of 103 overall. At 5 feet 9 inches and 181 pounds, Moore’s smaller frame is likely contributing to his low ADP along with his limited production, but with more than 3,000 available yards, his production is unlikely to be a question mark if he becomes the receiving leader.

Image Credit: Daniel Dunn/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Jashaun Corbin.

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