Welcome to the 59th installment of The Wrong Read. Last offseason we found that rookie year efficiency not only tends to persist for WRs, but also signals increased opportunity and fantasy scoring in subsequent seasons. And that’s not all. Efficiency is actually far more predictive than you’ve been told. Volume is king, or so they say. It’s true — nearly a truism — that opportunity...
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Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...
If you must forecast, then forecast often — and be the first one to prove yourself wrong. — Paul Saffo Things are constantly changing in the NFL and the fantasy football landscape. As a site, we’ve changed our minds on many things and have come to discover that the ways we’ve understood certain elements in the past no longer hold, for whatever reason. FantasyDouche once…...
The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers. I’m updating this…...
Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...
If you must forecast, then forecast often — and be the first one to prove yourself wrong. — Paul Saffo Things are constantly changing in the NFL and the fantasy football landscape. As a site, we’ve changed our minds on many things and have come to discover that the ways we’ve understood certain elements in the past no longer hold, for whatever reason. FantasyDouche once…...
The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers. I’m updating this…...
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