Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season.
I didn’t think I could see a worse score for a starting quarterback than the 0.9 points that Drew Brees recorded for our Main Event team two weeks ago when he injured his thumb.
Then we started Case Keenum.
That pretty much set the tone for our day in fantasy. But that was just for one of our FFPC Main Event teams.
For the other Main Event team, the tone was set on Thursday, with this:
That was based on this wonderful analysis that I provided to my three teammates:
And here were the scores posted by the aforementioned players, all on our bench:1
So, as you can see, everything went exactly according to plan – that is, if this were golf, and if we were trying to get the lowest score possible.
For all the analysis I both dispense and consume during the offseason, it’s extremely frustrating when you consider just how much the difference is between “what I think should happen” and “what actually does occur.” Examples of grievances I have:
What I thought should happen: Miles Sanders was set up perfectly to smash against Green Bay’s soft run defense. It was a lock!
What actually occurred: An Eagles running back smashed, all right – but it was Jordan Howard, whom no one started in any of my high-stakes leagues, and who is still on the wire in one of them. Among our three high-stakes teams, we started Sanders, Agholor and Zach Ertz. The Eagles scored five TDs, and they went to a running back, wide receiver and tight end who were all different from the ones we started.
What I thought should happen: The Vikings would turn to the passing game – and one of the league’s best WR duos in Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs – and avoid continually testing Chicago’s stifling run defense.
What actually occurred: It seemed nearly the entire game followed the pattern of Dalvin Cook run left on first down; Kirk Cousins incomplete pass on second; Cousins sacked on third; punt. It was maddening, especially since Thielen, who had maintained a healthy floor even in the Vikings extremely conservative passing offense, was held to 2 catches for 6 yards, and Diggs, who was the riskier play because he seemed to be the odd man out on offense, went for 7 catches and 108 yards. But don’t listen to me:
Adam Thielen: "At some point, you're not going to be able to run the ball for 180 yards, even with the best running back in the NFL. That's when you have to be able to throw the ball. … You have to be able to hit the deep balls."— Chad Graff (@ChadGraff) September 30, 2019
What I thought should happen: The Falcons lost last week against the Colts, a game in which Matt Ryan threw 34 passes, only one of which was to Calvin Ridley (who caught it for 6 yards). Surely, Atlanta would look to get Ridley more involved this week.
What actually occurred: Ryan threw the ball 53 times: 12 to Mohamed Sanu, 11 to Austin Hooper, 9 to Devonta Freeman and 7 to Julio Jones. Only 6 targets went to Ridley, who caught three of them for 32 yards. The Falcons lost again.
What I thought would be happening: Our Main Event teams would be leading each league in total points while my friends and I congratulated each other on how awesome we are at fantasy football.
What has actually occurred: One team, led by Keenum, Ridley and Thielen, just scored the fewest amount of points of any team in that league this season. Our other team barely did much better. We have seven more weeks to turn it around.
What will be happening on Wednesday: We’re dropping Case Keenum.
Image Credit: Andy Lewis/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Nelson Agholor.
- At least I was right about Phillip Dorsett! (back)