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Updating Our Buy/Sell Advice for the 6 Strongest Dynasty WR Buys of the Summer

Back in June I started a series looking at the dynasty value for top-40 wide receivers in our 2019 RotoViz redraft rankings. The idea behind this analysis is to imagine that our redraft rankings are exactly correct, and then consider how each WR’s projected finish is likely to affect his dynasty value in 2020.

Here are the original articles:

But a lot has changed since June, shifting our redraft rankings and dynasty ADP. So, to help you pull off some last-minute trades before the season I’m revisiting the analysis with the newest data in hand.

The players below were originally strong buys.

PlayerRV Redraft WR (June)FFPC Dynasty WR (June)RV Redraft WR (Current)FFPC Dynasty WR (Current)
JuJu Smith-Schuster5423
Stefon Diggs910910
Kenny Golladay16141516
DJ Moore18161617
Calvin Ridley25211820
Keke Coutee39464349

Juju Smith-Schuster

Smith-Schuster’s price has risen over the preseason but so has our expectation for him. As our WR2 in redraft, you’re still getting a discount on that finish with his WR3 dynasty ADP.

Coming off a WR2 finish and entering the 2020 season at just age 23, JuJu is a lock to be the consensus WR1 season in 2020. And as I laid out in June, we should expect this to be the case even if Ben Roethlisberger retires.

Given our rankers bullishness on Smith-Shuster for 2019, he’s a priority target even at his increased cost.

  • Previous Designation
    • Strong Buy
  • New Designation
    • Strong Buy

Stefon Diggs

Diggs ranking and ADP are exactly where they were in June. My previous analysis still holds:

Diggs is a 25-year-old coming off back to back top-20 finishes who is being drafted at a discount to his projected WR9 finish. He has upside to be a consensus first-round selection in 2020, and has limited downside based on his age and production.

  • Previous Designation
    • Strong Buy
  • New Designation
    • Strong Buy

Kenny Golladay

Our ranking has increased from WR16 to WR15 and yet Golladay’s ADP has dropped from WR14 to WR16. Take advantage of this discount.

As a third-year player with a high floor, Golladay’s dynasty ADP should be higher than his redraft rankings … not two spots lower.

  • Previous Designation
    • Strong Buy
  • New Designation
    • Strong Buy

D.J. Moore

Moore is in a similar position to Golladay, in that his redraft ranking has improved (from WR18 to WR16) yet his ADP has fallen (from WR16 to WR17).

Additionally, as I wrote a couple weeks ago, Moore owners were holding him with a vise grip through the early summer. But the steady hype around Curtis Samuel likely has Moore’s owner at least listening to offers again.

Moore is a rare mix of elite upside and safety and remains one of the best buys in dynasty.

  • Previous Designation
    • Strong Buy
  • New Designation
    • Strong Buy

Calvin Ridley

Ridley is slightly more expensive than earlier in the summer, moving up from WR21 to WR20. But our redraft rankers are much more bullish than before, moving him up from WR25 to WR18. I’ll go out on a limb and say this has something to do with Shawn Siegele’s highly compelling case for Ridley’s impending stardom. But Ridley’s safety is also unparalleled among the young upside plays at WR. As I wrote in June:

But Ridley is also an extremely safe investment. As we saw with his comps, while owners aren’t fully pricing in his upside, they’re unlikely to bail on him in 2020 no matter how 2019 plays out. His current ADP essentially allows you to get a free look at a potential 2019 breakout. Even Ridley skeptics should be investing at his current cost.

Many Ridley owners are aware of what they have, but if the owner in your league is willing to sell at market value or at a slight premium, pounce.

  • Previous Designation
    • Strong Buy
  • New Designation
    • Strong Buy

Keke Coutee

Coutee has fallen from WR39 to WR43 in our redraft ranks and from WR46 to WR49 in dynasty ADP. And enthusiasm on the trade market has likely been dampened by his uncertain health and the acquisition of Kenny Stills.

That said, Coutee still has a highly underrated prospect profile and his potential for a second-year breakout remains. Stills is a 2020 cut candidate, so if Coutee delivers on his promise, his trade value upside is as high as it ever was.

However, there’s new risk of Coutee becoming a forgotten man in dynasty. With his lower draft pedigree (4th round pick), he’s not the type of player that’s likely to become a trendy pick in 2020 after failing to produce a top 40 season as a sophomore, especially if owners are worried that Coutee will again get lost in the shuffle with Stills in 2020.

Given Coutee’s discounted price, he remains a buy. But he’s definitely a riskier acquisition than he was in June.

  • Previous Designation
    • Strong Buy
  • New Designation
    • Red-Flag Buy
Image Credit: Todd Kirkland/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Calvin Ridley.

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