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The 3 and Out: Team by Team Opportunity, Expected Points, and Actual Results

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics.

Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’re going to look at, on a team by team basis, fantasy points scored, snap percentages, opportunity shares, and expected points. This information will be presented in tables that include per game data and are sorted by expected points per game (EPPG). The 10 players with the highest EPPG for each team will be included.1 Opportunity totals the rushing attempts and receiving targets accumulated by each player. Teams that don’t get covered this week will be highlighted heading into Week 9.

Arizona Cardinals

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Kyler Murray QB 7 21.6 21.6 21.6 100% 7.0 11.00% 21.8 -0.2
David Johnson RB 7 17.4 15.2 13.1 78% 16.9 27.00% 15.6 1.7
Christian Kirk WR 4 13.0 10.0 7.0 93% 9.8 16.00% 15.5 -2.5
Larry Fitzgerald WR 7 13.1 10.6 8.0 86% 7.9 13.00% 13.7 -0.6
KeeSean Johnson WR 7 4.9 3.7 2.5 67% 4.9 8.00% 8.1 -3.2
Chase Edmonds RB 7 11.2 10.5 9.8 24% 9.4 15.00% 7.1 4.2
Damiere Byrd WR 5 6.2 4.7 3.2 75% 4.4 7.00% 6.8 -0.6
Pharoh Cooper WR 4 4.3 3.1 2.0 22% 2.8 4.00% 4.4 -0.1
Michael Crabtree WR 2 3.1 2.1 1.1 24% 2.5 4.00% 4.1 -1
Charles Clay TE 7 2.1 1.6 1.0 34% 1.6 3.00% 2.3 -0.2
  • Pharoh Cooper drew 8 targets which was 14% of passing attempts in the last two weeks. This workload translated into 13.3 EPPG. If Christian Kirk remains sidelined, Cooper could be a sneaky fill in.
  • Damiere Byrd drew seven targets in both Week 1 and Week 2 but has seen just eight since.

Atlanta Falcons

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Matt Ryan QB 7 23.8 23.8 23.8 100% 2 3.00% 20.2 3.6
Julio Jones WR 7 17.2 14.3 11.4 75% 9 15.00% 15.1 2
Austin Hooper TE 7 17.8 14.5 11.2 81% 7.9 13.00% 13.2 4.6
Devonta Freeman RB 7 13.6 11.7 9.8 64% 16.6 28.00% 12.8 0.8
Calvin Ridley WR 7 12.9 10.8 8.8 73% 6.3 11.00% 10.7 2.2
Mohamed Sanu WR 7 10.1 7.7 5.4 80% 6.3 11.00% 9.7 0.4
Ito Smith RB 7 5.2 4.4 3.6 35% 5.1 9.00% 5.7 -0.5
Brian Hill RB 1 4.5 3.5 2.5 NaN% 7 15.00% 5.6 -1.1
Matt Schaub QB 1 7.2 7.2 7.2 NaN% 1 2.00% 3.6 3.6
Luke Stocker TE 6 1.1 0.7 0.3 36% 1.3 2.00% 2.7 -1.6
  • The departure of Mohamed Sanu — who was traded to New England on Tuesday — opens up six targets per game.
  • With Matt Ryan’s status for Week 8 in the air, it’s hard to say how things will shake out this weekend but Justin Hardy and Russell Gage, Atlanta’s fourth and fifth most targeted WRs, do not become viable options as both have drawn less than two targets per game.
    • The targets vacated by Sanu will likely be evenly distributed across the roster or concentrated between Julio Jones, Austin Hooper, and Calvin Ridley.

Baltimore Ravens

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Lamar Jackson QB 7 27.4 27.4 27.4 95% 12 18.00% 22.6 4.8
Mark Andrews TE 7 14.1 11.6 9.0 49% 7.9 12.00% 12.8 1.3
Mark Ingram RB 7 16.0 15.2 14.3 50% 15.9 24.00% 12.5 3.5
Marquise Brown WR 5 14.3 12.2 10.1 57% 7.8 11.00% 12.5 1.8
Robert Griffin QB 1 7.7 7.7 7.7 30% 4 6.00% 9.4 -1.8
Gus Edwards RB 7 4.3 4.0 3.8 30% 8 12.00% 6.2 -1.9
Hayden Hurst TE 7 4.9 3.9 2.9 38% 2.7 4.00% 5.5 -0.7
Willie Snead WR 7 7.1 6.0 4.9 67% 3.3 5.00% 5.1 2
Nick Boyle TE 7 3.8 2.9 2.1 60% 2.7 4.00% 4.9 -1.1
Seth Roberts WR 7 3.1 2.4 1.6 55% 2.3 3.00% 3.4 -0.3
  • If you’re still holding onto Justice Hill feel free to stop doing so. With Lamar Jackson controlling 33 percent of rushing attempts and the Ravens passing just 32 times per game, the rookie’s odds of emerging are slim at best.
    • Gus Edwards remains a solid handcuff and would likely absorb nearly the entire workload being given to Mark Ingram if the former Heisman winner gets sidelined.

Buffalo Bills

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Josh Allen QB 6 20.2 20.2 20.2 94% 7.5 13.00% 19.6 0.6
Cole Beasley WR 6 11.1 8.6 6.1 66% 7.5 13.00% 12.1 -1
John Brown WR 6 15.5 12.7 10.0 86% 7.7 13.00% 11.7 3.8
Frank Gore RB 6 10.4 9.9 9.3 50% 15.7 26.00% 11.0 -0.6
Matt Barkley QB 1 4.4 4.4 4.4 29% 0 0.00% 7.6 -3.2
Dawson Knox TE 6 6.1 5.1 4.1 60% 4 7.00% 6.5 -0.3
Zay Jones WR 5 2.8 2.1 1.4 48% 3.8 6.00% 6.5 -3.7
Devin Singletary RB 3 9.7 8.9 8.0 50% 7.7 13.00% 5.6 4.1
T.J. Yeldon RB 5 4.9 3.9 2.9 30% 4.4 7.00% 4.4 0.5
D’haquille Williams WR 2 8.1 6.9 5.6 78% 2.5 5.00% 4.1 4
  • Devin Singletary created some excitement in his first two professional games. He missed Weeks 3 through 6 but returned to action over the weekend and was given seven carries.
    • Despite scoring nearly 27 points in Weeks 1 and 2, Singletary is averaging less than six expected points per game. Absent of entirely taking over Frank Gore on the depth chart, it’s hard to expect the rookie to have standalone value.
  • Dawson Knox drew five targets in each of his last two games. However, he ranked 29th among tight ends in expected points per game during this stretch.

Carolina Panthers

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Christian McCaffrey RB 6 30.2 27.3 24.4 96% 28.7 48.00% 23.6 6.6
Cam Newton QB 2 13.2 13.2 13.2 100% 2.5 4.00% 19.4 -6.1
Kyle Allen QB 4 18.4 18.4 18.4 100% 1.8 3.00% 15.2 3.2
D.J. Moore WR 6 14.0 11.3 8.5 90% 8.5 14.00% 13.1 0.9
Curtis Samuel WR 6 12.4 10.5 8.6 88% 8 13.00% 12.7 -0.3
Greg Olsen TE 6 10.3 8.5 6.6 90% 6.3 10.00% 10.2 0.1
Jarius Wright WR 6 4.3 3.3 2.3 62% 3.5 6.00% 5.1 -0.8
Chris Hogan WR 4 1.4 1.0 0.6 13% 1.2 2.00% 2 -0.6
Reggie Bonnafon RB 3 4.8 4.8 4.8 10% 2.7 5.00% 1.7 3.2
Alex Armah RB 6 1.6 1.4 1.3 16% 1 2.00% 1.2 0.3
  • Outside of the players that are guaranteed to be owned, Carolina has little else to offer from a fantasy perspective.
  • Christian McCaffrey controls nearly half of the team’s opportunity and is by and large the most leveraged offensive player in the league.
  • Jarius Wright has been targeted four times per game in the Panthers last three contests and could be worth monitoring in deep leagues.

Chicago Bears

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Allen Robinson WR 6 17.6 14.2 10.7 92% 9.7 17.00% 15.8 1.8
Mitchell Trubisky QB 5 12.4 12.4 12.4 76% 1 2.00% 14.6 -2.2
Chase Daniel QB 2 15.0 15.0 15.0 95% 3 5.00% 14.1 0.9
Tarik Cohen RB 6 9.1 6.7 4.2 50% 10.5 18.00% 11.3 -2.3
David Montgomery RB 6 9.1 8.2 7.3 54% 14.3 25.00% 11 -2
Taylor Gabriel WR 4 10.4 9.2 7.9 84% 4.5 8.00% 7.2 3.2
Anthony Miller WR 6 4.6 3.5 2.4 52% 4.2 7.00% 6.1 -1.6
Trey Burton TE 5 4.0 2.7 1.4 59% 3.8 7.00% 5.8 -1.8
Cordarrelle Patterson WR 6 3.6 3.2 2.8 16% 3.2 6.00% 3.5 0.1
Mike Davis RB 4 2.5 1.7 1.0 24% 4 7.00% 3.3 -0.8
  • On the season, Tarik Cohen and David Montgomery have seen similar workloads and EPPG. However, since Week 4, Montgomery’s EPPG have plummeted to three.
    • In this time frame, Cohen has been targeted eight times per game as Chicago’s second option in the passing game. This has significantly reduced the rookie’s percentage of plays that he’s on the field and also suppresses the potential for Bears pass catchers not named Allen Robinson.

 Cincinnati Bengals

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Andy Dalton QB 7 19.3 19.3 19.3 100% 1.9 3.00% 20.9 -1.5
Tyler Boyd WR 7 14.0 10.8 7.6 89% 10.6 18.00% 16.6 -2.5
John Ross WR 4 16.7 14.7 12.7 83% 8 14.00% 13.1 3.6
Joe Mixon RB 7 8.9 7.8 6.8 53% 15 26.00% 12.3 -3.4
Auden Tate WR 6 10.1 8.3 6.4 81% 7 12.00% 11.9 -1.8
Giovani Bernard RB 7 4.6 3.4 2.3 45% 7.1 12.00% 7.7 -3.1
Alex Erickson WR 7 6.4 5.1 3.7 25% 4.6 8.00% 6.8 -0.4
Tyler Eifert TE 7 5.0 3.8 2.5 41% 3.6 6.00% 5.8 -0.9
Damion Willis WR 5 3.4 2.5 1.6 53% 2.8 5.00% 4.3 -0.9
C.J. Uzomah TE 6 3.1 2.5 1.8 55% 2 3.00% 3.1 0
  • The high hopes that Cincinnati entered the season with were expediently crushed. The team has struggled to stay healthy and at this point has little reason to rush A.J. Green back.
    • Joe Mixon has been an absolute disaster for fantasy owners and is averaging just three yards per rushing attempt.
      • He does rank 27th in EPPG among RBs but starting him any time in the foreseeable future looks dangerous at best.
    • The Bengals rank 27th in yards per game, 28th in points, and 29th in sacks allowed.

Cleveland Browns

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Baker Mayfield QB 6 14.1 14.1 14.1 99% 1.3 2.00% 17.8 -3.8
Nick Chubb RB 6 21.6 19.9 18.3 77% 23.3 43.00% 17.1 4.5
Odell Beckham Jr. WR 6 13.5 11.1 8.7 97% 9.3 17.00% 15.1 -1.6
Jarvis Landry WR 6 11.7 9.6 7.5 95% 7.5 14.00% 11.9 -0.2
David Njoku TE 2 6.9 5.9 4.9 54% 3.5 6.00% 6.6 0.2
Antonio Callaway WR 2 2.1 1.6 1.1 58% 3.5 7.00% 6.5 -4.4
Damion Ratley WR 5 3.7 2.9 2.1 58% 3 6.00% 5.6 -1.9
Rashard Higgins WR 1 6.6 5.6 4.6 44% 3 5.00% 4.6 2
Ricky Seals-Jones TE 5 6.7 6.0 5.3 28% 2.4 4.00% 4.2 2.4
Dontrell Hilliard RB 5 5.2 4.7 4.2 16% 3 5.00% 4.1 1.1
  • Like their aforementioned divisional foe, the Browns have been a major disappointment. To put things in perspective, Odell Beckham Jr. ranks 34th among WRs in points per game and Jarvis Landry 43th.
  • Of the team’s fantasy stars only Nick Chubb has scored more points than expected.
  • To be fair, Beckham Jr. has seen as many EPPG as Julio Jones so it is possible that he salvages his season with a correction in efficiency over the back half of the season.

Dallas Cowboys

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Dak Prescott QB 7 24.9 24.9 24.9 99% 3.4 5.00% 18.6 6.4
Ezekiel Elliott RB 7 19.7 18.0 16.2 80% 23.7 38.00% 18 1.7
Michael Gallup WR 5 15.0 12.3 9.6 83% 8 12.00% 12.3 2.7
Amari Cooper WR 7 18.6 15.9 13.2 71% 7.1 11.00% 11.5 7.1
Randall Cobb WR 6 8.3 6.8 5.2 77% 5.3 9.00% 8.4 -0.1
Jason Witten TE 7 9.2 7.3 5.5 74% 4.4 7.00% 8 1.2
Tavon Austin WR 5 5.3 4.5 3.7 46% 2.6 4.00% 4.9 0.4
Tony Pollard RB 7 4.8 4.5 4.2 18% 7 11.00% 4 0.8
Devin Smith WR 4 5.6 5.0 4.3 51% 2.2 4.00% 3.8 1.8
Blake Jarwin TE 7 5.0 4.2 3.4 38% 2.1 3.00% 3.5 1.5
  • Despite Amari Cooper averaging nearly 19 points per game, Ezekiel Elliott has controlled a significant portion of the Cowboys’ high-leverage opportunities.
    • In fact, Cooper is averaging over 7 points per game more than expectation.
      • In Cooper’s most efficient season, 2018, he managed to score two-and-a-half points over expectation on a per-game basis. If you’re looking to sell high and transition a single asset into multiple WRs or an upgrade at RB and are a Cooper owner, the time to do so is now.

Denver Broncos

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Joe Flacco QB 7 14.2 14.2 14.2 100% 1.6 3.00% 16.9 -2.7
Phillip Lindsay RB 7 14.5 13.1 11.7 49% 17.4 30.00% 13.9 0.7
Courtland Sutton WR 7 15.8 13.2 10.6 91% 7.9 14.00% 13.5 2.2
Royce Freeman RB 7 11.5 9.7 7.9 54% 15.3 26.00% 12.1 -0.6
Emmanuel Sanders WR 7 11.5 9.4 7.2 75% 6.1 11.00% 10.8 0.7
Noah Fant TE 7 5.2 4.1 3.1 69% 3.7 6.00% 5.8 -0.6
DaeSean Hamilton WR 7 3.1 2.3 1.5 63% 3.1 5.00% 5.2 -2.1
Jeff Heuerman TE 6 2.3 1.7 1.1 49% 1.7 3.00% 2.6 -0.3
Andy Janovich RB 4 1.3 1.0 0.8 29% 0.5 1.00% 0.8 0.5
Andrew Beck RB 7 0.3 0.2 0.1 15% 0.4 1.00% 0.7 -0.4
  • Emmanuel Sanders started off the season hot but has cooled down since.
    • DaeSean Hamilton enthusiasts are hopeful that the departure of Sanders to San Francisco will lead to more points for the third-year WR.
      • Unfortunately, Sanders averaged under five targets per game since Week 3 and under eight EPPG.
        • As a result, Hamilton would need to be the beneficiary of over 60% of Sanders’ vacated target share to begin to approach an EPPG of 10.
  • Royce Freeman continues to inch closer to overtaking as the Broncos’ most leveraged player and surprisingly has been the recipient of 31 targets in contrast to Phillip Lindsay’s 27.

Detroit Lions

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Matthew Stafford QB 6 23.3 23.3 23.3 100% 2.5 4.00% 18.4 5
Kerryon Johnson RB 6 11.7 11.0 10.2 65% 17.7 28.00% 13.9 -2.2
Kenny Golladay WR 6 14.6 12.5 10.4 89% 7.8 13.00% 13.3 1.3
Marvin Jones WR 6 16.5 14.0 11.5 87% 7.2 11.00% 12.3 4.2
Danny Amendola WR 5 10.2 8.2 6.2 46% 6.2 10.00% 9.6 0.6
T.J. Hockenson TE 6 8.7 7.2 5.7 66% 5 8.00% 9.1 -0.4
J.D. McKissic WR 6 4.2 3.6 3.0 16% 4.2 7.00% 4 0.2
Ty Johnson RB 6 3.3 2.6 2.0 13% 5.3 9.00% 3.9 -0.6
C.J. Anderson RB 2 2.2 2.2 2.2 26% 8 12.00% 3.8 -1.7
Jesse James TE 6 2.2 1.6 1.0 53% 2 3.00% 2.9 -0.8
  • Kerryon Johnson is headed to the IR which opens up a great deal of opportunity for the rest of the offense.
    • Of Johnson’s 18 opportunities per game, only two were rushing attempts.
      • Ty Johnson figures to be the initial beneficiary of the vacated rushing workload.
        • Johnson was drafted in the sixth round of the 2019 NFL Draft out of Maryland.
          • He played four seasons as a Terrapin with his most impressive coming as a sophomore when he rushed for 1,006 yards and six touchdowns.
            • As a professional, Johnson has rushed 23 times for 83 yards which equates to 3.6 yards per attempt.
              • As a point of reference, Kerryon Johnson averaged 3.3 yards on his 92 attempts in 2019.
      • J.D. McKissic, who had already carved out a role in the receiving game, can expect an extra one and a half to two targets per game.

Green Bay Packers

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Aaron Rodgers QB 7 23.1 23.1 23.1 100% 2.7 5.00% 20.4 2.7
Aaron Jones RB 7 20.1 18.1 16.2 60% 19.3 33.00% 16.3 3.7
Davante Adams WR 4 15.7 12.6 9.5 88% 9 15.00% 15 0.7
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR 7 10.8 9.3 7.8 83% 5.7 10.00% 8.9 1.8
Tra Carson RB 1 7.2 5.2 3.2 32% 10 17.00% 8.8 -1.6
Jamaal Williams RB 6 10.8 9.5 8.2 39% 10.3 17.00% 8.5 2.3
Jimmy Graham TE 7 8.2 6.9 5.6 65% 4.3 7.00% 8.2 0
Geronimo Allison WR 7 6.8 5.6 4.3 59% 4.4 7.00% 7.6 -0.8
Marcedes Lewis TE 6 3.5 2.7 2.0 42% 2 3.00% 3.2 0.3
Jake Kumerow WR 5 4.2 3.6 3.0 43% 1.6 3.00% 2.6 1.7
  • Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams have both been efficient and viable fantasy options this season.
  • Interestingly, both players have recorded more of their EPPG in the passing game with targets responsible for seven of Jones’ 16 and five of Williams’ eight and a half.
  • Aaron Rodgers exploded over the weekend passing for five touchdowns and rushing for one.
    • This 48-point performance was his best since a 50-point performance against Denver in Week 4 of 2011.
  • Geronimo Allison has led the team in targets for last three weeks.

Houston Texans

 
Team Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
HOU Deshaun Watson QB 7 27.3 27.3 27.3 100% 5 8.00% 19.6 7.8
HOU DeAndre Hopkins WR 7 16.8 13.3 9.8 97% 9.7 16.00% 16 0.8
HOU Carlos Hyde RB 7 10.3 9.9 9.5 54% 17.1 28.00% 11.3 -1
HOU Will Fuller WR 7 13.9 11.4 9.0 95% 7 12.00% 11.2 2.6
HOU Duke Johnson RB 7 8.4 7.5 6.6 48% 9.4 16.00% 7.6 0.8
HOU Keke Coutee WR 6 6.0 4.9 3.8 46% 4 6.00% 7.2 -1.3
HOU Kenny Stills WR 5 10.1 8.6 7.1 37% 3.8 7.00% 5.7 4.3
HOU Darren Fells TE 7 7.7 6.4 5.2 70% 3.1 5.00% 5.5 2.1
HOU Jordan Akins TE 7 6.9 5.8 4.8 61% 2.9 5.00% 4.7 2.2
HOU DeAndre Carter WR 7 0.1 0.1 (0.0) 7% 0.1 0.00% 0.2 -0.1
  • Will Fuller could miss several weeks. In his absence, Keke Coutee could become the second option in the passing game. This bodes well for Coutee owners as the second-year WR could realistically see an increase of three targets per game.
    • It’s true that Coutee has scored one fantasy point more in games that Fuller did play, but given that there have only been two instances in which Coutee played without Fuller the split can not be relied upon.
    • Of course, Kenny Stills also figures to capture a portion of Fuller’s vacated target share and has been more successful as a downfield receiver. This makes him more likely to capture the high-leverage plays that have historically belonged to Fuller.

  • Duke Johnson remains underutilized and unlike Carlos Hyde has been efficient.
    • Johnson has outpaced or been on target with expectations in all but one season of his career. In contrast, Hyde has underperformed expectations for three seasons running.
  • Deshaun Watson has been fantastic, and it’s only a matter of time before we see a couple of monster games from DeAndre Hopkins.

Indianapolis Colts

 
Team Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
IND Jacoby Brissett QB 6 22.1 22.1 22.1 100% 4.8 8.00% 21 1.1
IND T.Y. Hilton WR 5 18.1 15.1 12.1 78% 8.2 13.00% 14.6 3.5
IND Marlon Mack RB 6 13.5 12.6 11.8 61% 21.8 34.00% 13.8 -0.3
IND Devin Funchess WR 1 6.2 4.7 3.2 57% 5 8.00% 8.7 -2.5
IND Eric Ebron TE 6 8.6 7.5 6.4 41% 4.2 7.00% 7.8 0.8
IND Jack Doyle TE 6 6.3 4.9 3.5 71% 4.2 7.00% 7.2 -0.9
IND Nyheim Hines RB 6 5.9 4.4 2.8 28% 6.2 10.00% 6.7 -0.8
IND Parris Campbell WR 4 5.7 4.5 3.2 41% 3.5 6.00% 5.8 -0.1
IND Zach Pascal WR 6 9.4 8.3 7.2 50% 3.3 5.00% 5.7 3.6
IND Deon Cain WR 5 1.8 1.4 1.0 50% 2.4 4.00% 4.1 -2.2
  • Jacoby Brissett ranks ninth in points per game and fifth in EPPG. With three QB1 performances to boot he’s managed to keep T.Y. Hilton in the top five of WR rankings.
  • Zach Pascal found the end zone twice over the weekend, and while you may recall a couple of big games from him last season, don’t get carried away. He’s being targeted less than four times per game and scored 15 points more than expected in Week 7.
    • That’s not to say that Pascal can’t be helpful for teams in deeper leagues, but just a warning to temper expectations.

Jacksonville Jaguars

 
Team Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
JAC Leonard Fournette RB 7 18.0 16.0 14.0 91% 26 43.00% 19.8 -1.9
JAC Gardner Minshew QB 7 20.0 20.0 20.0 97% 4.3 7.00% 16.8 3.2
JAC Dede Westbrook WR 7 11.2 8.9 6.6 75% 8.3 14.00% 13 -1.9
JAC D.J. Chark WR 7 17.6 15.2 12.9 75% 7 12.00% 11 6.6
JAC Chris Conley WR 7 8.2 7.0 5.8 78% 4.7 8.00% 7.7 0.5
JAC James O’Shaughnessy TE 5 8.3 6.9 5.5 61% 4 7.00% 6.7 1.5
JAC Geoff Swaim TE 6 3.3 2.2 1.1 49% 2.8 5.00% 4.5 -1.2
JAC Ryquell Armstead RB 5 2.9 2.7 2.5 10% 3.6 6.00% 3.2 -0.3
JAC Nick Foles QB 1 7.8 7.8 7.8 19% 0 0.00% 3.1 4.7
JAC Keelan Cole WR 7 1.4 1.3 1.2 13% 0.6 1.00% 1.2 0.3
  • D.J. Chark was one of the biggest surprises of the season and his ranks among WRs are impressive. However, he’s been massively efficient thanks to five receiving touchdowns.

    • That’s not to say that Chark will come crashing down to earth, but it’s possible that we see some of the production he’s enjoyed shift to Dede Westbrook.
  • Westbrook remains the team’s leader in targets per game and non-QB/RB EPPG. He’ll face on overall favorable schedule for the rest of the season and is still a buy-low candidate.

Kansas City Chiefs

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Patrick Mahomes QB 7 25.0 25.0 25.0 98% 2.4 4.00% 18.3 6.8
Travis Kelce TE 7 14.0 11.3 8.6 89% 8.1 14.00% 13.5 0.5
Sammy Watkins WR 5 15.5 13.2 10.9 79% 7.6 13.00% 12.9 2.6
Damien Williams RB 5 9.1 7.6 6.1 53% 12 22.00% 11.0 -1.9
Tyreek Hill WR 3 15.2 13.5 11.8 33% 6 11.00% 10.0 5.2
LeSean McCoy RB 7 10.8 9.8 8.7 38% 11 19.00% 9.8 1
Demarcus Robinson WR 7 9.9 8.5 7.0 86% 5.1 9.00% 8.4 1.5
Mecole Hardman WR 7 9.7 8.4 7.1 66% 4.6 8.00% 7.4 2.3
Darrel Williams RB 6 7.6 6.6 5.7 30% 5.3 9.00% 6.6 0.9
Matt Moore QB 2 4.8 4.8 4.8 13% 1 2.00% 5.3 -0.4
  • Given the Chiefs’ RB usage over the last three weeks, it seems unlikely that the team relies heavily on any one back. As a result of this,  LeSean McCoy and Damien Williams carry approximate value into the rest of the season and the higher scorer, on a weekly basis, is likely to be the one that can find the end zone.

  • Since Tyreek Hill returned from injury in Week 6, he and Travis Kelce controlled 46% of targets.
    • Demarcus Robinson controlled 14% in this timeframe as the team’s third option in the passing game.
      • It should be noted, however, that this share equated to an EPPG total of 14.
        • Like the rest of the offense, Robinson will be looking forward to Patrick Mahomes’ return from injury. If his production does drop while playing with Matt Moore, Robinson will be a strong buy-low candidate.
Image Credit: Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Demarcus Robinson.

  1. Injured players have not been removed.  (back)

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Chris Godwin is So Hot Right Now

Chris Godwin is running extremely hot. He leads all WRs in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) and is second in FPOE per game. He’s first in PPR per game among WRs, but just 11th in expected (EP) points per game. As you can see above, Godwin’s WOPR — his weighted market

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Week 7 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

Rant Forgive me, but why in the world is Stephen Gostkowski still owned in 21% of Yahoo leagues? If you have him, please cut him and pick up your favorite running back handcuff, even if the starter is not on your team. Or check out my Do Not Cut List

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Week 7 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 7 of the 2019 fantasy football season. I’ve returned from the wild (literally) and I want to thank Shawn Siegele for holding down the QB streaming fort in my absence. I will try to maintain the enthusiasm

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