Happy Holidays and welcome to college football DFS for special Week 14 Black Friday fun and another main slate takedown. This is your one-stop shop for Cash and GPP plays!
If you’ve been following along this season, we’ve had some crazy high hit rates on our player pools, but if you have any questions on Player X versus Player Y feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @FF_TravisM. I’d be glad to help.
So without further ado, let’s dive in.
The quarterbacks are pretty gross for us on this slate, but let’s try to find the few worth looking at.
|Quarterback||Team||Salary||Expected Points||Points/Game||Pass Comp + Rush Att Per Game||Implied Team Points||Opponent Pass Yds/Game Allowed|
|Anthony Gordon||Washington State||8700||29.18||36.03||41.64||28||217.5|
|Jett Duffey||Texas Tech||7000||24.85||22.63||33.63||27||298|
|Zac Thomas||Appalachian State||6900||23.50||21.15||23.18||38||271.6|
Studs to Start
It’s essentially just Sam Ehlinger ($8,200, Texas) and Anthony Gordon ($8,700, Washington State) and then a pretty steep drop off in expected scoring. Ehlinger is without Collin Johnson but faces off with Texas Tech’s pass defense that allows over 300 yards through the air per game. Gordon plays a tougher matchup, but always gets the volume of opportunity to drop at least 25 or 30 points anyway.
Best of the Rest
Jett Duffey ($7,000, Texas Tech) gets to play Texas so he could very well finish as the QB1 this week. He’s posted at least 311 total yards four games in a row thanks to his leg and arm combo.
Bryce Perkins ($6,800, Virginia) also adds some value on the ground, which keeps his value alive this week. The Virginia vs Virginia Tech rivalry shouldn’t be high scoring, but all of the points should come from Perkins on the Cavaliers side as they have all year long.
Zac Thomas ($6,900, Appalachian State) faces a softer than usual Troy team and is under $7000 quarterbacking a team that could score 40.
Brady White and Max Duggan are generally safe bets for 20 points and they both have okay matchups, but they aren’t in smash spots or show to have much value in price anymore.
This QB slate truly is “meh” to the nth degree. Hopefully the chalk holds for you.
Priority: (1) Ehlinger, (2) Gordon, (3) Duffey, (4) Perkins, (5) Thomas, (6) White, (7) Duggan
The running backs on this slate are actually pretty straight forward thanks to their pricing, with a few exceptions.
|Running Back||Team||Salary||Expected Points||Points/Game||Touches/Game||Implied Team Points||Opponent Rush Yds/Game Allowed|
|Darrynton Evans||Appalachian State||7200||22.60||23.15||19.82||38||154.5|
|George Holani||Boise State||6100||19.80||16.54||15||36||205.5|
|Patrick Taylor Jr.||Memphis||6700||19.31||20.07||18||34.5||133.7|
|Max Borghi||Washington State||7900||18.34||26.34||16.36||28||142.5|
|Michael Warren II||Cincinnati||6700||17.07||19.88||19.36||23||166.5|
|SaRodorick Thompson||Texas Tech||5600||15.68||16.87||16.18||27||146.1|
|Marcus Williams Jr.||Appalachian State||4300||13.96||6.69||9||38||154.5|
Studs to Start
Darrynton Evans ($7,200, Appalachian State) is the likely money play here. He’s an all-purpose freak that draws a favorable matchup on the ground and has the second greatest workload average of the bunch.
Kenny Gainwell and Patrick Taylor (Memphis backs) should only be started sparingly in GPP and nowhere else. Cincinnati plays keep away and likes to play run defense. With this looking like a committee a game against Cincinnati is not a great recipe for safety.
Max Borghi ($7,900, Washington State) is essentially a lock thanks to his truly unique usage in the receiving game. He’s averaging over 26 points per week on just 16 touches. Even in a tough spot against Washington he could easily be the RB1.
Best of the Rest
Salvon Ahmed ($6,700, Washington) should see nearly 20 touches against a Washington State team that struggles to stop the run against good teams.
George Holani ($6,100, Boise State) is potentially the lock of the week against Colorado State. The Rams give up over 200 yards per game on the ground and Boise is expected to score nearly 40 points. That’s some easy math.
If Otis Anderson continues to hold the lead UCF job he should have an amazing week on the ground. USF is also allowing over 200 rushing yards per game and should allow for plenty of scoring opportunities. Greg McCrae was eased in last week, but at $5,100, if he and Anderson smash USF for 350 yards like UCF tandem backs have done to opponents this year then both could be fruitful.
SaRodorick Thompson ($5,600, Texas Tech) is continuing to show that he is the best Red Raider back we’ve seen in a long time. He just logged 28 touches against Kansas State and should easily coast to 100 total yards this week against Texas.
Priority: (1) Holani, (2) Evans, (3) Borghi, (4) Ahmed, (5) Anderson, (6) Thompson
While the quarterbacks and running backs didn’t do much to impress this week, the wide receivers didn’t disappoint.
|Wide Receiver||Team||Salary||Expected Points||Points/Game||Touches/Game||Implied Team Points||Opponent Rec Yds/Game Allowed|
|Brandon Arconado||Washington State||7400||16.49||23.31||7||28||217.5|
|Easop Winston Jr.||Washington State||7300||16.24||22.49||7||28||217.5|
|Warren Jackson||Colorado State||7500||15.27||25.06||7.67||22||228.8|
|RJ Turner||Texas Tech||5000||14.14||14.43||4.56||27||298|
|Calvin Austin III||Memphis||3000||12.72||9.3||2.14||34.5||231.5|
|Dezmon Patmon||Washington State||5200||12.55||14.63||4.36||28||217.5|
|Renard Bell||Washingon State||4800||11.40||11.68||3.82||28||217.5|
|Kelley Joiner Jr.||USF||3900||7.40||5.09||6.5||20||N/A|
Studs to Start
Devin Duvernay ($7,700, Texas) was already averaging nearly 10 catches per game with Collin Johnson in the lineup against tough competition. Now he draws Texas Tech with no real market share threats? This is the cashiest play on the board this week.
Brandon Arconado, Easop Winston Jr., and Warren Jackson are all averaging at seven receptions per game or more on the season. They’re in “neutral” pass defense matchups, but the volume is pretty hard to fade for cash. Jackson should be played naked, but the Wazzu options definitely need to be paired with Gordon everywhere.
Best of the Rest
The UCF receivers are all risky, but they could easily all score first-half touchdowns on their way to an early 28-0 lead.
Aaron Fuller and Hunter Bryant should both find the end zone and grab about a half dozen catches against Washington State’s porous pass defense allowing 290 yards per game through the air.
Taye Barber (TCU) continues to be free money at $4,500. He’s seeing almost five catches per game, but still won’t be priced up.
The skeleton key this week could again be Kelley Joiner Jr. for USF. He’s listed at receiver, but he’ll likely lead the ground attack with Jordan Cronkrite still sidelined. Enjoy the free points there on the cheap.
Priority: (1) Duvernay, (2) Arconado, (3) Winston, (4) Fuller, (5) Turner, (6) Barber, (7) Bryant, (8) Jackson
And that’s all folks! Hope your teams kill it in the main slate of Week 14 Black Friday College Football. Please find me on Twitter @FF_TravisM to chat more about all things college football and NFL. And as always, keep living that DFS Life.